Bitnomial gains CFTC approval to launch prediction markets in the US

cointelegraph2025-12-12 tarihinde yayınlandı2025-12-12 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Bitnomial Clearinghouse LLC has obtained approval from the U.S. CFTC to clear fully collateralized swaps, enabling its parent company, Bitnomial, to launch prediction markets and provide clearing services to external platforms. The prediction markets will cover crypto and economic events, allowing traders to take positions on outcomes like token prices and macroeconomic data. This expands Bitnomial’s existing suite of Bitcoin and crypto derivatives products. The company’s operates as an infrastructure-only clearing provider, offering margin and settlement systems with support for both USD and cryptocurrency collateral. The approval follows recent regulatory clearance for Bitnomial to operate a CFTC-regulated spot crypto exchange. The article also notes the growing momentum of prediction markets in the U.S., highlighting platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, the latter of which recently received CFTC approval for intermediated trading platform operations.

Bitnomial Clearinghouse LLC received approval from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to clear fully collateralized swaps, enabling its parent company, Bitnomial, to launch prediction markets and offer clearing services to other platforms.

According to Friday’s announcement, Bitnomial’s prediction market will cover crypto and economic events, alongside its existing Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto derivatives products. The contracts are designed to allow traders to take positions on outcomes, such as token price levels and macroeconomic data.

The approval expands the umbrella of the trading products offered by Bitnomial. Based in Chicago, the company’s exchange and clearing arms offer perpetuals, futures, options contracts and leveraged spot trading. The company’s clearinghouse also supports crypto-based margin and settlement, allowing approved products to be margined and settled directly in digital assets.

Bitnomial president Michael Dunn said the approval allows the company to serve “both our own exchange and external partners, building a clearing network that strengthens the entire prediction market ecosystem.”

Bitnomial Clearinghouse operates as an infrastructure-only clearing provider, rather than a retail competitor, giving approved partners access to its margin and settlement systems and allowing collateral to be converted between US dollars and cryptocurrency.

The approval follows a recent green light to launch a CFTC-regulated spot cryptocurrency trading platform in the US, allowing customers to buy, sell and trade leveraged and non-leveraged crypto products on a federally supervised exchange.

Event contracts on Polymarket. Source: Polymarket

Related: Coinbase may debut prediction markets, tokenized stocks on Wednesday: Report

Polymarket gains momentum in the US

Prediction markets have emerged as a major trend in 2025. According to DefiLlama data, prediction market Kalshi has generated $5.27 billion in trading volume over the last 30 days, while blockchain-based Polymarket recorded just under $2 billion over the same time period.

Kalshi trading volume. Source: DefiLlama

In November, Polymarket received regulatory approval from the CFTC to operate an intermediated trading platform, allowing access through registered brokers under the rules governing US markets.

The approval followed the closure of an investigation in July led by the CFTC and US Department of Justice into whether Polymarket had allowed trading by US users, a probe that included an FBI search of founder Shayne Coplan’s home.

Polymarket, which settles contracts on the Polygon blockchain using the USDC (USDC) stablecoin, has also secured several partnerships in recent months, including the UFC and Zuffa boxing and fantasy sports operator PrizePicks in November.

Magazine: Meet the onchain crypto detectives fighting crime better than the cops

Trend Kriptolar

İlgili Okumalar

a16z: Top Talent Flows to AI Infrastructure, Infrastructure Design Will Be 'Redesigned from Scratch'

a16z Unveils "Machine Age Fund": AI Infrastructure Faces Massive Overhaul Silicon Valley VC giant a16z (Andreessen Horowitz) has launched a new "Machine Age Fund" dedicated to AI infrastructure, citing a vast and growing "supply-demand fracture." Key takeaways: * **Unlimited Demand vs. Constrained Supply:** AI demand is growing exponentially (estimated near 1000% annually for tokens), while supply chains for chips, memory, data centers, and power are booked through 2027-2028. GPU prices are rising against historical trends. * **A Resource Problem, Not Engineering:** The bottleneck is no longer software engineering but physical resources (hardware, power, cooling). Money and compute directly translate to intelligence output, removing traditional scaling limits. * **Complete Infrastructure Rebuild Needed:** Existing data centers and computing stacks, designed for a different era, are hitting physical limits. Everything needs rethinking from first principles: chip architecture, memory hierarchy, networking, power delivery (shifting to 800V DC), and cooling (moving to liquid). * **Investor & Founder Shift:** Top entrepreneurs are increasingly moving into hardware, with deals in the space rising from ~3-5% to over 20-30% of a16z's top-tier deal flow. Founders need to be "systems thinkers" who understand manufacturing and supply chains. * **Massive Economic Scale:** Training a frontier model now costs $3-5B. With inference needing to recoup ~$10B, saving 20% in efficiency ($2B) can justify developing a custom ASIC for a single model—a previously unthinkable economic dynamic. * **Long-Term Horizon:** a16z believes we are in the very early stages of a decades-long era where compute is applied to vast new domains (science, materials, biology, creative work). The firm re-frames AI as "Machine Intelligence," emphasizing the critical, foundational role of hardware in this new age.

marsbit29 dk önce

a16z: Top Talent Flows to AI Infrastructure, Infrastructure Design Will Be 'Redesigned from Scratch'

marsbit29 dk önce

Claude's Safety Mechanism Backfires Spectacularly, AI Deletes Developer's 700GB Home Directory in a Fit of Rage

Claude's safety mechanisms backfired spectacularly, leading an AI to delete a developer's entire 700GB home directory. The developer, Guillemot, asked Claude Fable 5 to write a script to create isolated sandbox folders in /tmp for AI agents and clean them up afterward, ensuring files in use wouldn't be deleted. Because the task involved risky delete operations, Claude's built-in safety system triggered an "adversarial review," automatically downgrading the model from the capable Fable 5 to the more conservative Opus 5, and then to Opus 4.8, to perform a security check. The Opus 4.8 model successfully tested the script, correctly identifying the /tmp and home directories as off-limits for deletion. However, during the cleanup phase that followed the test, it reused a variable name from the testing phase. This variable contained the path to the user's home directory. Consequently, the model executed a delete command on that exact path it had just deemed unsafe, wiping out 700GB of data. The intended /tmp directory remained untouched. The incident highlights critical flaws in Anthropic's safety downgrade system, which community developers have criticized for being overly sensitive, reducing model capability for complex tasks, and being "sticky" for an entire session once triggered. The irony is that a mechanism designed to hand off dangerous tasks to a safer, more conservative model instead delegated it to a weaker model that made a catastrophic error in variable scope and path handling.

marsbit51 dk önce

Claude's Safety Mechanism Backfires Spectacularly, AI Deletes Developer's 700GB Home Directory in a Fit of Rage

marsbit51 dk önce

Starting from Anthropic, Dissecting the Hyperliquid Perpetual Contract Sector

The article explores the emergence of pre-IPO perpetual synthetic asset markets on Hyperliquid's HIP-3 protocol, focusing on platforms like Ventuals, Trade.xyz, and Entropy. It begins with the intense secondary market demand for Anthropic stock, as illustrated by Jesse Leimgruber's experience. The HIP-3 protocol allows anyone to launch a perpetual DEX by locking $40M, with 30% of Hyperliquid's volume flowing through it. The piece details the rise and fall of Ventuals, the first major platform for trading pre-IPO synthetics like Anthropic and SpaceX. Its failure was due to extreme funding rates (reportedly hitting 8,700% annualized for Anthropic) and a pricing model vulnerable to thin liquidity, leading to a 45% crash in a SpaceX contract. Trade.xyz succeeded by using a simple 30-minute internal TWAP for pricing and dominates HIP-3 volume. Entropy, backed by a $14M Ribbit Capital-led round, attempts to improve on Ventuals by capping funding rates and using a hybrid oracle that blends its order book with private market valuations, while pricing Anthropic by total market cap. However, it struggles with accurately pricing private companies like Anthropic, unlike public stocks like SanDisk (SNDK) where arbitrage bots align prices. The article concludes by noting a potential Kraken testnet deployment on HIP-3, suggesting regulated entities may adopt its technology within permissioned frameworks. The evolution of these platforms highlights the challenges and iterative progress in creating decentralized markets for private company exposure.

marsbit1 saat önce

Starting from Anthropic, Dissecting the Hyperliquid Perpetual Contract Sector

marsbit1 saat önce

İşlemler

Spot

Popüler Makaleler

US Nasıl Satın Alınır

HTX.com’a hoş geldiniz! Talus Network (US) satın alma işlemlerini basit ve kullanışlı bir hâle getirdik. Adım adım açıkladığımız rehberimizi takip ederek kripto yolculuğunuza başlayın. 1. Adım: HTX Hesabınızı OluşturunHTX'te ücretsiz bir hesap açmak için e-posta adresinizi veya telefon numaranızı kullanın. Sorunsuzca kaydolun ve tüm özelliklerin kilidini açın. Hesabımı Aç2. Adım: Kripto Satın Al Bölümüne Gidin ve Ödeme Yönteminizi SeçinKredi/Banka Kartı: Visa veya Mastercard'ınızı kullanarak anında Talus Network (US) satın alın.Bakiye: Sorunsuz bir şekilde işlem yapmak için HTX hesap bakiyenizdeki fonları kullanın.Üçüncü Taraflar: Kullanımı kolaylaştırmak için Google Pay ve Apple Pay gibi popüler ödeme yöntemlerini ekledik.P2P: HTX'teki diğer kullanıcılarla doğrudan işlem yapın.Borsa Dışı (OTC): Yatırımcılar için kişiye özel hizmetler ve rekabetçi döviz kurları sunuyoruz.3. Adım: Talus Network (US) Varlıklarınızı SaklayınTalus Network (US) satın aldıktan sonra HTX hesabınızda saklayın. Alternatif olarak, blok zinciri transferi yoluyla başka bir yere gönderebilir veya diğer kripto para birimlerini takas etmek için kullanabilirsiniz.4. Adım: Talus Network (US) Varlıklarınızla İşlem YapınHTX'in spot piyasasında Talus Network (US) ile kolayca işlemler yapın.Hesabınıza erişin, işlem çiftinizi seçin, işlemlerinizi gerçekleştirin ve gerçek zamanlı olarak izleyin. Hem yeni başlayanlar hem de deneyimli yatırımcılar için kullanıcı dostu bir deneyim sunuyoruz.

454 Toplam GörüntülenmeYayınlanma 2025.12.11Güncellenme 2026.06.02

US Nasıl Satın Alınır

Tartışmalar

HTX Topluluğuna hoş geldiniz. Burada, en son platform gelişmeleri hakkında bilgi sahibi olabilir ve profesyonel piyasa görüşlerine erişebilirsiniz. Kullanıcıların US (US) fiyatı hakkındaki görüşleri aşağıda sunulmaktadır.

活动图片