Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Drops for the Third Time in a Row. What Does This Mean?

RBK-crypto2025-12-11 tarihinde yayınlandı2025-12-11 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Bitcoin mining difficulty has decreased for the third consecutive time, dropping by 0.74% to 148.2 trillion on December 11. This means miners now need to compute approximately 148 trillion hash functions on average to add a new block and earn the 3.125 BTC reward (around $281,000 at current rates). This prolonged decline in difficulty, last seen in 2024 after the halving event, reflects reduced mining activity. The global hashrate has fallen from its peak of 1.31 Zh/s on October 24 to 1.14 Zh/s, indicating some miners are switching off unprofitable equipment. According to Anton Gonterev, Commercial Director of Intelion, this adjustment reflects the market adapting to Bitcoin's lower price. Since reaching approximately $126,000 on October 6, Bitcoin's price has fallen 28% to $90,000. Despite this, mining difficulty is still over 40% higher than a year ago, indicating sustained structural demand for computational power and continued investor interest in mining. The current correction is seen as a normal industry dynamic where less efficient operators are gradually leaving the network. Mining is shifting towards players with modern equipment, stable infrastructure, and controlled project economics, particularly those with access to predictable, competitive energy prices. These efficient operators remain stable despite short-term fluctuations in Bitcoin's price or mining difficulty.

On the morning of December 11, Bitcoin's mining difficulty decreased by 0.74%. According to Cloverpool, the indicator dropped to 148.2 T (trillion). This means that miners now need to compute approximately 148 trillion hash functions on average to add one block to the Bitcoin network and receive the new reward of 3.125 BTC (about $281,000 at the current exchange rate).

Today's drop in Bitcoin's mining difficulty is the third consecutive one. Such a prolonged decline was only observed in 2024 during the months following the halving, when the miners' reward was cut in half, and they turned off equipment that had become unprofitable.

The difficulty recalculation takes into account the reduced activity of miners, indicated by the global hashrate—the total power of all devices actively mining Bitcoin. The hashrate reached a maximum of 1.31 Zh/s (zettahashes per second) on October 24. As of 5:00 PM Moscow time on December 11, the average hashrate over the past 24 hours is 1.14 Zh/s.

"An Element of Industry Dynamics"

The current decrease in mining difficulty reflects the market's adaptation to a more restrained Bitcoin price, says Anton Gonterev, Commercial Director of Intelion. After reaching a new high of around $126,000 on October 6, the first cryptocurrency has since depreciated by 28%, to $90,000.

Nevertheless, a year ago, the difficulty was approximately at 104 T, and a growth of over 40% over the year indicates the continuation of structural demand for computing power, the expert says. According to him, investor interest in mining remains, and the market still highly values Bitcoin's long-term potential.

He noted that against this backdrop, the differences in mining costs are particularly noticeable: operators with predictable and competitive energy prices navigate such cycles much more confidently. This fully applies to sites with their own generation, where it is possible to maintain low electricity costs and reduce the impact of market fluctuations, the expert says.

"This is precisely why the current correction is perceived by us as a normal element of industry dynamics. Less efficient capacities are gradually leaving, and the share of mining is shifting to those who rely on modern equipment, sustainable infrastructure, and controlled project economics. Such operators remain stable regardless of short-term movements in difficulty or the price of Bitcoin," said Gonterev.

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İlgili Sorular

QWhat is Bitcoin mining difficulty and how much did it drop on December 11th?

ABitcoin mining difficulty is a measure of how hard it is to find a new block compared to the easiest it can ever be. On the morning of December 11th, it dropped by 0.74% to 148.2 trillion, meaning miners now need to compute an average of 148 trillion hash functions to add a new block.

QHow many times in a row has the Bitcoin mining difficulty fallen recently, and when was a similar prolonged decline last observed?

AThe drop on December 11th was the third consecutive decline in a row. A similar prolonged period of falling difficulty was observed earlier in 2024, for several months after the halving event.

QWhat is the global hashrate and what does its recent drop from the October 24th peak indicate?

AThe global hashrate is the total combined processing power of all devices actively mining Bitcoin. It reached a peak of 1.31 Zh/s (zettahashes per second) on October 24th. Its subsequent drop to an average of 1.14 Zh/s by December 11th indicates reduced mining activity, which directly led to the decrease in mining difficulty.

QAccording to Anton Gonterev, what does the current drop in mining difficulty reflect, and what is a key factor that helps some operators weather market cycles?

AAccording to Anton Gonterev, the current drop in mining difficulty reflects the market's adaptation to a more restrained Bitcoin price. He states that operators with predictable and competitive energy costs, particularly those with their own power generation, navigate these cycles with significantly more confidence.

QDespite the recent drop, what does the 40%+ annual growth in mining difficulty from a year ago (104 T) signify according to the expert?

AThe growth of over 40% from the approximate level of 104 T a year ago signifies the continuation of structural demand for computing power. It shows that investor interest in mining persists and the market still highly values the long-term potential of Bitcoin.

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Analysts from Bernstein revealed details of a deal between Core Scientific and AMD with a potential total value of over $14 billion. According to the report, initial contracts for 530 MW of capacity could generate this revenue over 15 years, with AMD acting as a credit guarantor for part of the bitcoin miner's infrastructure. The partnership, announced on July 28, has the potential to allocate up to 2.5 GW of data center capacity for AI. Bernstein broke down the 530 MW into 377 MW of direct triple-net lease for AMD and 152 MW for an unnamed cloud provider backed by AMD's credit. This structure is seen as lowering financing costs and counterparty risk. AMD also received warrants to buy 30 million Core Scientific shares at $23.47 each, which vest upon reaching the 2.5 GW target. Average annual revenue from the deal is estimated at around $0.9 billion, or about $1.8 million per megawatt, which is 5-25% below recent AI hosting deals by other miners. However, the 377 MW triple-net lease for AMD carries a margin close to 100%. Core Scientific expects capital expenditures for the deal to be $11-12 million per MW, totaling about $6 billion. Bernstein views this partnership as a new phase in the transformation of former bitcoin miners into AI infrastructure operators, with AI chipmakers like AMD now acting as direct anchor tenants. Recent similar deals include Hut 8 allocating 704 MW to a tenant believed to be Nvidia, and AMD reserving 200 MW with Riot Platforms. Core Scientific also paid Block $41.9 million to terminate a mining chip supply contract as part of its accelerated diversification into AI.

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