The BTC Hash Ribbon indicator, tracked by on-chain analytics platform Capriole Investments, has issued a "buy signal" for the fifth time in 2025.

Key Points:

  • A historically accurate BTC price indicator has issued a "buy" signal for the fifth time this year.

  • Miners' BTC sales have accelerated since early October, becoming more pronounced than earlier this year.

  • Bitcoin is fluctuating between the year's opening price of $93,000 and the demand zone below $90,000, reflecting traders' indecision about the direction of BTC's price trend.

Bitcoin Hash Ribbon: "Miners Under Pressure"

A historically accurate Bitcoin miner performance indicator is telling market participants that despite the price dropping from the all-time high of $126,000 to $80,500 on November 21st, it's still time to buy.

The Hash Ribbon indicator, used to identify price rebounds after miners exit the market, indicates that miners are under pressure.

The chart below shows that the 30-day moving average (MA) of hashrate has fallen below the 60-day MA, indicating miner capitulation, which is often synchronized with significant price discounts and long-term opportunities.

Bitcoin Hash Ribbon Chart. Source: Capriole Investments

The Hash Ribbon indicator has an impressive record in capturing long-term price bottoms and is relatively rare in issuing "buy" signals.

CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost pointed out in an X post analysis: "This does not mean you must rush to 'buy'."

He stated: "This highlights the phase where miners are under pressure." and added:

"In the short term, these periods are often bearish, as miners may need to increase sales to cover production costs."

The analyst concluded that, from a long-term perspective, these forced sales "historically create very strong accumulation opportunities."

Although miners' BTC reserves remained relatively stable throughout 2025, there has been continuous selling since early October. Known miner wallets totaled approximately 1.8 million BTC on Tuesday, a decrease of 5,000 BTC since October 10th.

Bitcoin Miner Reserves. Source: CryptoQuant

BTC Price Trapped Between Two Trend Lines

Bitcoin's recent rebound encountered resistance at the $93,300 year-to-date opening price resistance level, which coincides with the 200-week simple moving average (SMA), as shown in the 4-hour chart below.

Analysts pointed out that despite this, BTC/USD found support in the $89,000-$90,500 demand zone, where the current 50 and 100-week SMAs are also located.

BTC/USD 4-Hour Chart. Source: Cointelegraph/ TradingView

Market experts believe that the Bitcoin price needs to break through the $92,000 resistance level and surpass the 200-week SMA to break free from the downtrend and achieve a sustained recovery towards $100,000.

Cointelegraph previously reported that bearish forces will attempt to pull the price below the $90,000 support level, which could lead to an extended decline, even falling to the $40,000 level.

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