CryptoQuant Analysts Link Bitcoin Drop to USDT Market Cap Collapse

cryptonews.ru2026-08-05 tarihinde yayınlandı2026-08-05 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Analysts at CryptoQuant have linked the recent decline in Bitcoin's price to a significant drop in the market capitalization of the USDT stablecoin. They explain that stablecoins like USDT are a key source of liquidity for the crypto market. A sustained decrease in USDT's supply, which has fallen by nearly $870 million in the past 11 days, equates to capital leaving the ecosystem, reducing demand for assets like Bitcoin. Historically, periods of USDT supply growth have coincided with Bitcoin price rallies, while extended phases of contraction have led to weaker demand, deeper corrections, and bearish market conditions. However, analysts note that past severe declines in USDT supply have often occurred when selling pressure was nearing exhaustion rather than intensifying further. This current trend could therefore be a positive sign that selling pressure is easing and the market may soon enter a bullish cycle. CryptoQuant attributes Bitcoin's weak recovery attempts to a lack of stablecoin liquidity, which prevents the formation of sustained spot demand. For a solid recovery, they argue that USDT's market cap would need to show stable growth over a two-month period. This view aligns with analysis from firms like Wintermute, which sees signs that the crypto market's bear phase may be ending, citing the resilience of major cryptocurrencies amid macroeconomic uncertainty.

However, this could be a good sign that selling pressure on the cryptocurrency market is easing and it will soon enter a bullish cycle phase, analysts suggested.

The rate of reduction is accelerating: over the last 11 days, the supply of $USDT has decreased by almost $870 million. This indicates that the current dynamic is not just an echo of previous investor decisions, but an actively developing trend, CryptoQuant emphasizes.

Analysts have seen a connection between the drop in the market capitalization of $USDT and the decrease in Bitcoin's price. CryptoQuant explained: stablecoins are a key source of liquid funds in the cryptocurrency market, so a trend of decreasing market capitalization can seriously impact the market as a whole. The reduction in $USDT supply is equivalent to money exiting the crypto market. If investors are massively returning $USDT to the issuer in exchange for dollars, the volume of $USDT in circulation falls, as does the demand for Bitcoin:

"Historically, periods of sustained growth in $USDT supply coincided with a strengthening of the Bitcoin price, while prolonged phases of reduction were accompanied by weakening demand, deeper correction, and a worsening overall market environment. However, the most serious declines in the volume of $USDT in the past often coincided with moments when seller pressure was closer to being exhausted than to further intensification."

CryptoQuant asserts that Bitcoin's weak attempts at a price bounce are precisely due to insufficient stablecoin liquidity volume—thus, it's not possible to form sustained spot demand. To climb out of such a hole, it is necessary for the market capitalization of $USDT to start growing steadily over a two-month period, investment specialists concluded.

The cryptocurrency market is showing signs of completing a bear phase, according to analysts at the British company Wintermute. Major cryptocurrencies have managed to maintain resilience amid economic shocks, such as the unchanged lending rates in the USA—and this is a favorable sign, experts say.

end-content

Trend Kriptolar

İlgili Sorular

QAccording to the article, what did CryptoQuant analysts link the decline in Bitcoin's price to?

AThey linked it to the collapse in the market capitalization of the stablecoin USDT.

QWhat does a sustained decrease in the supply of USDT indicate, according to the analysis?

AIt indicates capital outflow from the cryptocurrency market, as it is equivalent to investors returning USDT to the issuer for dollars.

QWhat historical pattern is mentioned regarding USDT supply and Bitcoin's price?

AHistorically, periods of steady growth in USDT supply coincided with Bitcoin's price strengthening, while prolonged phases of reduction accompanied weakened demand and market downturns.

QWhat is stated as a necessary condition for Bitcoin to escape its current weak price situation?

AThe market capitalization of USDT needs to start growing steadily for a period of two months.

QWhat positive sign do some analysts see for the crypto market despite the current issues?

AThey see signs that the bear market phase may be ending and that major cryptocurrencies have shown resilience amidst economic turbulence, which is a favorable indicator.

İlgili Okumalar

Changxin Rejects Apple's Price Pressure, Prices Not Lower Than Samsung and SK Hynix, Apple Loses Pricing Power

Apple recently attempted to negotiate lower-priced DRAM procurement deals with China's CXMT (ChangXin Memory Technologies) compared to its agreements with Samsung and SK Hynix but was rejected. CXMT stated its prices would not be lower, and could even be higher, than those of the South Korean suppliers. This refusal is attributed to CXMT's production capacity being largely secured by long-term contracts with major domestic clients like Huawei, Xiaomi, OPPO, Vivo, and Chinese internet giants. Consequently, CXMT feels no pressure to meet Apple's stringent terms. The backdrop is a significant surge in memory prices driven by the AI boom. As Samsung and SK Hynix shift more production capacity towards high-margin High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) for AI servers, the supply of conventional DRAM has tightened, causing prices to skyrocket. This has drastically increased the bill-of-materials cost for devices like iPhones, pressuring Apple's profits. Apple's traditional strategy of leveraging multiple suppliers for price competition has weakened, as memory makers prioritize more profitable AI-related orders. CXMT's confidence stems from achieving technological parity. Its DDR5 and LPDDR5X products have reached mass-production yields above 90%, closely matching Samsung's performance. With technical gaps closed, CXMT no longer competes solely on low prices. Furthermore, Chinese companies are wary of the risks associated with over-reliance on Apple's supply chain, citing cases like OFILM and Wingtech, which suffered severe losses after being removed from or impacted by US sanctions. This event signals a shift in the semiconductor industry's power dynamics. The AI-driven demand has transformed the market from buyer-centric to supplier-centric, where control over scarce, advanced production capacity grants pricing power. For Chinese semiconductor firms, the episode marks a transition from being low-cost alternatives to becoming equal suppliers with their own pricing authority, backed by domestic demand and technological advancement. Apple's loss of leverage with a mainland supplier underscores this changing era.

marsbit3 dk önce

Changxin Rejects Apple's Price Pressure, Prices Not Lower Than Samsung and SK Hynix, Apple Loses Pricing Power

marsbit3 dk önce

Tiger Research: Four Ordinary People's Stories Reveal the Ultimate Destination of Blockchain in 2036

Tiger Research: 2036 - Four Stories of Blockchain's Integration This speculative narrative presents four vignettes set in 2036, illustrating the subtle yet profound ways blockchain technology could reshape everyday life and global systems. Story 1: The Irrelevance of National Currency. In the inflation-plagued fictional nation of Zutopia, Judy, a longtime currency exchange worker, witnesses the endgame. Dollar-pegged stablecoins (USDT, USDC), once a niche tool, have completely supplanted the volatile local Bucks for daily transactions, salaries, taxes, and even government bonds, eroding traditional monetary sovereignty. Story 2: The 24/7 Global Casino. Lia, a young investor in Singapore, operates in a world where every asset—stocks, real estate, bonds—is tokenized and trades endlessly on borderless platforms. For her generation, constant, leveraged, global trading is the norm, contrasting sharply with the cautious, scheduled investments of her parents. Story 3: The Great Consolidation. Do-hyun, an infrastructure engineer, recalls the 2020s boom of countless independent blockchains (like the fictional "Allchain") that collapsed after incentive programs ended. By 2036, the landscape has consolidated into a handful of major, efficient networks, as users and liquidity coalesced around durability over fragmentation. Story 4: The End of the Banner Ad. Media entrepreneur Jae-hoon observes the final shift from human-centric advertising. With most web traffic now from AI agents, the old pageview-and-banner model is dead. A new machine-to-machine economy thrives via protocols like x402, where media companies charge AI agents micropayments for data access, creating a more reliable revenue stream than traditional ads ever did. Together, these stories depict a 2036 where blockchain is not a standalone revolution but an integrated, almost invisible infrastructure enabling global digital currency, seamless asset markets, consolidated networks, and a new paradigm for digital content commerce.

marsbit3 dk önce

Tiger Research: Four Ordinary People's Stories Reveal the Ultimate Destination of Blockchain in 2036

marsbit3 dk önce

İşlemler

Spot

Popüler Makaleler

CAP Nasıl Satın Alınır

HTX.com’a hoş geldiniz! Cap (CAP) satın alma işlemlerini basit ve kullanışlı bir hâle getirdik. Adım adım açıkladığımız rehberimizi takip ederek kripto yolculuğunuza başlayın. 1. Adım: HTX Hesabınızı OluşturunHTX'te ücretsiz bir hesap açmak için e-posta adresinizi veya telefon numaranızı kullanın. Sorunsuzca kaydolun ve tüm özelliklerin kilidini açın. Hesabımı Aç2. Adım: Kripto Satın Al Bölümüne Gidin ve Ödeme Yönteminizi SeçinKredi/Banka Kartı: Visa veya Mastercard'ınızı kullanarak anında Cap (CAP) satın alın.Bakiye: Sorunsuz bir şekilde işlem yapmak için HTX hesap bakiyenizdeki fonları kullanın.Üçüncü Taraflar: Kullanımı kolaylaştırmak için Google Pay ve Apple Pay gibi popüler ödeme yöntemlerini ekledik.P2P: HTX'teki diğer kullanıcılarla doğrudan işlem yapın.Borsa Dışı (OTC): Yatırımcılar için kişiye özel hizmetler ve rekabetçi döviz kurları sunuyoruz.3. Adım: Cap (CAP) Varlıklarınızı SaklayınCap (CAP) satın aldıktan sonra HTX hesabınızda saklayın. Alternatif olarak, blok zinciri transferi yoluyla başka bir yere gönderebilir veya diğer kripto para birimlerini takas etmek için kullanabilirsiniz.4. Adım: Cap (CAP) Varlıklarınızla İşlem YapınHTX'in spot piyasasında Cap (CAP) ile kolayca işlemler yapın.Hesabınıza erişin, işlem çiftinizi seçin, işlemlerinizi gerçekleştirin ve gerçek zamanlı olarak izleyin. Hem yeni başlayanlar hem de deneyimli yatırımcılar için kullanıcı dostu bir deneyim sunuyoruz.

296 Toplam GörüntülenmeYayınlanma 2026.06.26Güncellenme 2026.06.26

CAP Nasıl Satın Alınır

Tartışmalar

HTX Topluluğuna hoş geldiniz. Burada, en son platform gelişmeleri hakkında bilgi sahibi olabilir ve profesyonel piyasa görüşlerine erişebilirsiniz. Kullanıcıların CAP (CAP) fiyatı hakkındaki görüşleri aşağıda sunulmaktadır.

活动图片