Dragonfly Estimates Prevention of Coldcard Hack at $2

cryptonews.ru2026-08-05 tarihinde yayınlandı2026-08-05 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

The venture capital firm Dragonfly estimates that the vulnerability exploited in the Coldcard hardware wallet hack could have been prevented for approximately $2 by using advanced AI to scan the code. Managing partner Haseeb Qureshi argued that cybersecurity is increasingly a matter of expenditure: with AI models conducting attacks, a product's security depends on how much the developer spends on scanning their own code with similar frontier AI tools compared to the attacker's budget. He based this estimate on the time an AI model took to find the bug and the API costs from a provider like Zhipu AI. Meanwhile, research from Galaxy indicates the attack was carried out by at least 15 different entities, with confirmed losses now estimated at $100 million and potentially rising to $130 million. The hack, which began on July 31, initially resulted in the theft of nearly 595 BTC from around 500 users. In response, hardware wallet companies Trezor and Foundation have warned users about related phishing campaigns.

An attack on Coldcard hardware wallets could have been prevented by checking the code with artificial intelligence for $2. This was stated by Dragonfly venture fund managing partner Haseeb Qureshi.

People are not appreciating one of the biggest takeaways from the COLDCARD hack.

Cybersecurity is now all about spend. Once AIs are doing all of the attacking, the simple question is how much money are you spending with frontier AIs scanning for vulnerabilities, compared to what... https://t.co/jkljyYtkxr

— Haseeb >|< (@hosseeb) August 3, 2026

Cybersecurity has boiled down to a question of expenditure, the expert believes. Vulnerability discovery on the attackers' side is now handled by AI models, so a product's security is determined by how much the developer spends on scanning its own code with similar tools — compared to the spending of the attacking side.

According to Qureshi's logic, the speed at which a neural network discovers a known bug serves as an indirect indicator of the cost to preemptively fix it. He applied this thesis to Coinkite, based on reports of Claude's eight-minute success with Coldcard. However, the Dragonfly partner considered the result dubious — the model could have used a published description of the problem.

In response, another user ran a test on $GLM 5.2 without internet access: the time increased to 20 minutes. Qureshi converted this into a monetary equivalent based on the API rates of Zhipu AI (the developer of $GLM): $1.4 per million input tokens and $4.4 per million output tokens. He tasked the Opus model with the calculation, which estimated the total cost at approximately $2.

"A $2 AI-powered security boost would have caught the [Coldcard] vulnerability," concluded Qureshi.

Losses Grow to $100 Million

According to Galaxy Research, at least 15 different malicious actors exploited the vulnerability. Analysts came to this conclusion after processing new reports from victims — unlike a hack of a centralized exchange where the scale is immediately visible, the picture here formed gradually.

now NUMEROUS different attackers exploiting the Coldcard vulnerability. we estimate at least 15 different attackers now

we continue to receive victim reports and give them info to report to authorities

and those reports help us identify new attacks and label attackers https://t.co/6ybBTqJPb6

— Alex Thorn (@intangiblecoins) August 4, 2026

"Thanks to one victim reporting a theft of less than 1 $BTC, we discovered a new attack that withdrew 12 $BTC from 126 addresses," wrote the firm's Head of Research, Alex Thorn.

Galaxy Research estimated losses from the three confirmed waves at $100 million. Including a suspected fourth wave, the total could rise to approximately $130 million.

Recall that on the night of July 31, approximately 500 Coldcard owners had 594.48 $BTC stolen. After the news broke, holders began transferring bitcoins to new addresses, not to exchanges, Glassnode analysts noted.

On August 4, Trezor and Foundation warned users about phishing campaigns in light of the incident.

Sleep at Night Technology: How Coldcard Turned Its Users' Sleep into a Nightmare
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İlgili Sorular

QAccording to Haseeb Qureshi from Dragonfly, what could have prevented the Coldcard hack for approximately $2?

AHe stated that using frontier AI models to scan the code for vulnerabilities could have prevented the hack for approximately $2.

QWhat is Haseeb Qureshi's core argument about modern cybersecurity?

AHe argues that cybersecurity is now primarily about spending, specifically how much a developer spends on scanning their own code with advanced AI compared to what attackers spend on AI to find vulnerabilities.

QBased on Galaxy Research, what is the estimated total financial loss from the Coldcard hack?

AGalaxy Research estimates the losses from three confirmed attack waves to be $100 million, which could potentially rise to around $130 million with a suspected fourth wave.

QHow many different attackers did Galaxy Research identify as exploiting the Coldcard vulnerability?

AGalaxy Research identified at least 15 different attackers exploiting the Coldcard vulnerability.

QWhat action did many Coldcard holders take after the hack was publicized, according to Glassnode analysts?

AAccording to Glassnode analysts, many Coldcard holders transferred their bitcoins to new addresses rather than to exchanges.

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