[Анализ рынка от Huobi] BTC и ETH постепенно восстанавливаются. Рынок в ожидании изменения тренда

HTX News2022-10-25 tarihinde yayınlandı2022-10-25 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Основные метрики ведущих криптовалют постепенно восстанавливаются. Инвесторы устали от криптозимы, перешли к стадии накопления активов и ждут скорого роста цены.

1. BTC в стадии накопления

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Дневной график BTC показывает, что ширина полос Боллинджера продолжает сужаться. 25 октября цена BTC все еще находилась в районе 19300 долларов, и признаки прорыва все еще не были отчётливыми. Учитывая, что волатильность не увеличилась, это может быть признаком скорого роста. Учитывая, что в последнее время на рынке произошло много изменений и количество длинных позиций увеличилось, целесообразно предположить, что в ближайшее перспективе цена первой криптовалюты может вырасти.

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2. Соотношение длинных к коротким позиция по BTC растёт

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Всё больше инвесторов BTC делают ставки на то, что цена первой криптовалюты начнёт расти. С точки зрения изменения соотношения длинных и коротких позиций, оно достигло положительного локального максимума 23 октября – 1,10. В этот день амплитуда колебания цены BTC выросла до 3,25%, а цена закрытия выросла на 1,91%. Тенденция рынка пока благоприятна для быков.

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3. Сокращение объема транзакций в сети BTC

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Тенденция сокращения ежедневного объёма транзакций в сети Биткоин продолжается. В количественном выражении количество BTC, переведенных 24 октября, составило 742 000 BTC. Относительно предыдущего периода, с июня по начало сентября, количество онлайн-транзакций составило около 380, что составляло лишь 20% от предыдущего значения. Сокращающийся объём транзакций косвенно указывает на то, что инвесторы меньше торгуют монетами на биржах и больше предпочитают их удерживать, что может говорить о том, что инвесторы ожидают скорого роста цены первой криптовалюты.

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4. ETH удержался выше 1300 долларов

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Дневной график Ethereum показывает, что цена ETH отскочила ниже уровня средней скользящей полос Боллинджера, которая находится на уровне 1367 долларов США, и удержалась на краткосрочном максимуме в течение трех торговых дней. По уровню сделок ETH находится вблизи самой высокой точки закрытия с 19 сентября. Очевидно, что для краткосрочных торговых инвесторов давление продаж не является сильным. Однако с точки зрения темпов восстановления цены ETH в настоящее время формируется краткосрочный восходящий тренд.

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5. Количество длинных позиций по Эфиру растёт

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Перед краткосрочным отскоком цены ETH сила быков быстро росла, и соотношение длинных и коротких контрактов достигло примерно 0,53, что является новым максимумом за последний год. В предыдущий период 8 октября соотношение длинных позиций к коротким было около минимального значения 0,472. С тех пор, как данный показатель стал увеличиваться, начала восстанавливаться и цена второй криптовалюты.

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