[Анализ рынка от Huobi] Объём торгов BTC и ETH на миниумах, ENS может показать бычий прорыв

HTX News2022-10-10 tarihinde yayınlandı2022-10-10 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Курс биткоина (BTC) по-прежнему не может восстановиться над круглой отметкой $20 000, однако на долгосрочных графиках появляются бычьи сигналы.

1. Объёмы торгов BTC значительно сократились, медведи готовятся

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На дневном графике объем торгов BTC сокращался в течение двух торговых дней подряд. В это же время цена не показывала резких движений в какую-либо сторону и следовала боковому тренду на уровне средней скользящей полос Боллинджера. Дневной объем торгов BTC существенной упал с 27 сентября и сейчас находится на очень низком уровне – практически минимально с июля этого года. В настоящее время такое падение объемов торгов выгодно тем, кто занимает короткие позиции, поэтому, вероятно, в скоро времени можно будет ожидать падения цены.

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2. Коэффициент финансового рычага BTC значительно вырос

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После того как в последнее время с бирж было выведено довольно большое количество BTC, расчетный коэффициент финансового рычага BTC значительно вырос. Расчетный коэффициент финансового рычага, на 9 октября, достиг максимума 0,43, самого высокого уровня за последние два года. Это говорит о том, что коэффициент финансового рычага инвесторов стремительно растет, что благоприятно сказывается на изменении курса BTC. Расчетный коэффициент финансового рычага (ELR) рассчитывается как отношение открытого интереса по активу к его количеству на биржах.

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3. Волатильность ETH упала ниже 2%

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На ТФ 1 день интенсивность колебаний цены Ethereum 8 и 9 октября 2022 года составила всего 1,65% и 1,83% соответственно. Помимо падения волатильности, также снизился и объем торгов – до самого низкого уровня с 23 апреля. На данный момент для второй криптовалюты наступил штиль, но вместе с ростом объёма торгов, можно будет ожидать и отчётливого движения вверх или вниз.

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4. Давление продаж ETH усиливается

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На рынках есть два типа покупателей и продавцов. Либо трейдер покупает или продает мгновенно по лучшей доступной рыночной цене (тейкер), либо покупает/продает с лимитным ордером (мейкер). В данной метрике мы рассматриваем только объем тейкеров по сравнению с общим объемом. Таким образом, она может показать нам, готовы ли трейдеры покупать актив по более высокой цене или продавать по более низкой. Это хороший показатель того, где в данный момент находится давление продаж.

В данный момент данный показатель в отношении Ethereum упал до самого низкого уровня за последнее время, достигнув 8 октября 0,897. Последний раз столь низкий уровень наблюдался 4 ноября 2021 года – тогда он составлял 0,895. Это указывает на то, что в данный момент больше трейдеров готовы продавать свои ETH по более низкой цене, что свидетельствует о том, что давление со стороны продавцов сильнее, чем давление со стороны покупателей.

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5. ENS выглядит сильно в краткосрочной перспективе

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В условиях, когда рынок в целом находится в стадии коррекции, ENS, нативный токен доменных имён сети Еthereum - Еthereum Name Service, демонстрирует сильные показатели. Цена ENS уже третий раз протестировала уровень 17,5 долларов США и, скорее сего, в ближайшем времени можно ожидать бычий прорыв.

Что касается фундаментальных данных, количество новых доменных имен, зарегистрированных в Еthereum Name Service ENS в сентябре, превысило 430000, что является рекордным показателем. Кроме того, общее количество доменных имен, зарегистрированных ENS, достигло 2642046, что является хорошим драйвером роста цены ENS.

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