(51/52) Weekly Market Watch | 5th Week of December | The Final Week of Tax-Loss Harvesting

marsbit2025-12-29 tarihinde yayınlandı2025-12-29 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

**Weekly Market Watch: 5th Week of December - The Final Week of Tax-Loss Harvesting** **Market Overview & Key News:** The final week of December saw increased market volatility due to the holiday period and the expiration of major options contracts, though a clear directional trend was absent. Bitcoin closed the week nearly flat, with a marginal gain of 0.55%, while trading volume hit its lowest weekly level since July. Normal trading activity and liquidity are expected to resume after the New Year. **Macro Outlook: Strategic Commodity Clash** A significant development was China's announcement that, starting January 1, 2026, it will require special permits for white silver exports. This move is anticipated to have a major impact on global metal supply chains. In the US, October durable goods orders fell 2.2%, worse than the expected -1.5%. However, Q3 GDP growth was revised up to a strong 4.3%, significantly higher than the forecasted 3.3%, indicating resilience in consumer spending, exports, and government expenditure. **Key Upcoming Economic Event:** * December 31st, 3:00 AM EST: Release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes. **Weekly Crypto Roundup:** * **Institutional Moves:** Morgan Stanley is reportedly exploring offering crypto trading services (including spot and derivatives) to its institutional clientele. A major Russian bank executed the country's first crypto-backed loan, providing funds to a Bitcoin miner. * **Exchange Developments:** Coinbase announced the acqui...

Hot News: The Final Week of Tax-Loss Harvesting

Affected by the holiday period and the expiration of major options last Friday, market volatility intensified, but there is a lack of clear directional conviction. Bitcoin closed basically flat this week, with a slight increase of 0.55%, setting the lowest weekly trading volume since July. The market expects trading activity and liquidity to return to normal after the New Year.

Macro Outlook: Strategic Conflict in Commodities

Starting from January 1, 2026, the Chinese government will require special permits for silver exports. This move is expected to have a significant impact on the global metal supply chain.
U.S. durable goods orders in October fell by 2.2%, lower than the market expectation of -1.5%. However, U.S. third-quarter GDP grew by 4.3%, significantly higher than the market expectation of 3.3%, indicating resilience in consumer spending, exports, and government expenditure.

Upcoming Economic Calendar Includes:

Wednesday, December 31, 3:00 AM: FOMC Meeting Minutes

Weekly Cryptocurrency Overview: Aave DAO vs. Aave Labs

According to reports, Morgan Stanley is exploring the provision of cryptocurrency trading services for its institutional client base, including spot and derivative markets.
Russian banking giant Sberbank executed the country's first cryptocurrency-collateralized loan, providing funding to Bitcoin miner Intelion Data.
Coinbase announced the acquisition of The Clearing Company to strengthen its predictive market products. The transaction is expected to be completed in January 2026.
Kraken announced plans to enter the predictive market space, aiming to launch the service in 2026.
Travel giant Ctrip has integrated stablecoin payments, allowing global users to book travel services using digital assets.
Strategy increased its reserves by $748 million, bringing its total cash holdings to $2.19 billion, in addition to holding 671,268 BTC.

Layer 1 and Layer 2 Networks

The Solana Foundation launched Kora, an audited fee intermediary and signature node designed to enable gas-free transactions and secure remote signing.
Polygon announced that major payment processor Shift4 has launched stablecoin settlement on its network, providing 24/7 payment services to tens of thousands of merchants.
Spire Labs deployed the first Base-based application chain on Celo, utilizing Self Protocol's privacy-preserving "human proof" to resist Sybil attacks.
Flow Network suffered an attack due to a layer vulnerability, resulting in a loss of $3.9 million.

Dapps

Hyperliquid launched an investment portfolio margin feature on its mainnet, with initial conservative limits and added a BLP yield feature on its Earn page.
The Polymarket team has indicated that developing and launching its dedicated layer 2 network is now the platform's primary task.
Kamino Finance launched PRIME, a new yield primitive on Solana offering an 8% low-correlation APY, backed by real-world HELOC credit provided by Figure.
GMX is now live on the Ethereum mainnet, allowing users to trade over 100 perpetual contract markets, trade on 23 spot markets, and provide liquidity through GM or GLV.
Maple Finance facilitated its largest single loan of 500 million USDC.
Resolv announced the expansion of its arbitrage market assets to HYPE on Hyperliquid and SOL on Binance Exchange, with an initial allocation of 10%.
Hinkal Protocol partnered with Resolv Labs to provide private trading for USR and RLP.
Mellow Protocol will integrate Fluid and Resolv on Plasma into its stRATEGY vault, allowing for modular institutional vault access without the need for custom engineering.
F(x) Protocol launched FX100 Perp, a new decentralized perpetual contract trading platform featuring non-liquidatable positions (positions will be rebalanced to reduce leverage) and leverage of up to 100x.
The ZK processor protocol Brevis released the tokenomics of its BREV token, which will serve as the payment, collateral, and governance token for the ProverNet market.

Governance and Upcoming Alpha

The governance proposal for Aave DAO to take control of the Aave brand assets has been rejected.
The Uniswap community passed the Unification proposal and burned 1 billion UNI, and will activate the fee switch and implement other protocol changes after the timelock.
LayerZero's third fee switch public vote failed to reach quorum, meaning the protocol fees will remain closed for at least another six months.
The Bitcoin community is engaged in intense debate over the potential threat of quantum computing to the Bitcoin network. Among them, BIP-360 was introduced into the discussion to implement an anti-quantum signature solution.

Token Unlocks

IO tokens will unlock on December 31, accounting for 6.09% of the supply.
KMNO tokens will unlock on December 31, accounting for 6.92% of the supply.
EIGEN tokens will unlock on January 1, accounting for 7.52% of the supply.
LA tokens will unlock on January 5, accounting for 5.94% of the supply.
MOVE tokens will unlock on January 10, accounting for 5.78% of the supply.
LINEA tokens will unlock on January 10, accounting for 6% of the supply.
HOME tokens will unlock on January 10, accounting for 4.16% of the supply.
RAIN tokens will unlock on January 10, accounting for 11% of the supply.
US tokens will unlock on January 10, accounting for 6.32% of the supply.
BB tokens will unlock on January 13, accounting for 10.9% of the supply.
ZKC tokens will unlock on January 15, accounting for 6.71% of the supply.

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İlgili Sorular

QWhat is the main reason for the increased market volatility mentioned in the article?

AThe increased volatility is attributed to the holiday period and the expiration of major options contracts from the previous week, though there is a lack of clear directional conviction.

QWhat significant policy change by the Chinese government is expected to impact the global metal supply chain starting January 1, 2026?

AThe Chinese government will require special permits for white silver exports, which is expected to have a significant impact on the global metal supply chain.

QWhich company announced the acquisition of The Clearing Company to enhance its prediction market products?

ACoinbase announced the acquisition of The Clearing Company to strengthen its prediction market products, with the transaction expected to be completed by January 2026.

QWhat new feature did Hyperliquid launch on its mainnet according to the article?

AHyperliquid launched an investment portfolio margin feature on its mainnet, with initial conservative limits, and added a BLP yield feature to its Earn page.

QWhich token is scheduled to unlock on January 1st, representing 7.52% of its supply?

AThe EIGEN token is scheduled to unlock on January 1st, representing 7.52% of its supply.

İlgili Okumalar

Podcast Notes | Conversation with GSR Asset Management Head: To Determine if This Crypto Rally is Real, Just Watch the Lending Rates on Aave

Podcast Summary: Dialogue with GSR's Head of Asset Management: To Determine if This Crypto Rally is Real, Just Check Lending Rates on Aave Andy Baehr, Managing Director of Asset Management at GSR, discusses the current crypto market, characterizing it as stuck in a state of "ambivalence" with short-lived, unsustainable rallies. He outlines a simple framework: the market moves between "ambivalence" and "conviction" (sustained upward momentum). Currently, every rally resembles a single-stage rocket booster that quickly fizzles out. Baehr identifies three key signals to watch: 1) DeFi lending rates, 2) the potential passage of the CLARITY Act, and 3) the market forming a consensus on the "Fed hawkish peak." He emphasizes that the most immediate indicator for the sustainability of the recent CPI-triggered rally is the USDC borrowing rate on Aave, currently around 3.75%—close to U.S. Treasury yields. The absence of a credit spread indicates low leverage demand and a lack of market energy. He explains that a healthy, sustained rally requires layered buying pressure. Last year's rally progressed from an ETH short squeeze to crypto-native trader influx and finally to ETF inflows. Currently, this structure is missing. Other potential structural buyers like Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) companies are absent, and ETF flows have proven transient. Baehr notes that while small-cap crypto tokens outperformed large caps in Q2—a potential sign of capitation in major assets—capital is also flowing to more exciting opportunities like AI stocks and tech IPOs, leaving crypto sidelined. Regarding DeFi, he highlights that platforms like Aave provide a clear, real-time signal of leverage demand through their supply/demand-driven interest rates. A significant, sustained rate increase would signal genuine market conviction. He also observes the quiet emergence of fixed-income-like products and vaults in DeFi. On regulation, the probability of the CLARITY Act passing before the August 7th deadline has dropped linearly from 75% to below 40% on Polymarket. Baehr suggests its passage would be treated as a bullish surprise, a potent driver for price movement. However, political hurdles, including ethical clause debates and disclosures about the First Family's crypto profits, remain significant obstacles. Ultimately, the market awaits clarity on the Fed's terminal rate under Chair Warsh. Until the "Fed Solstice"—the point where the market collectively understands the peak of hawkish policy—sustained conviction will be difficult to achieve.

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Send a Message to Transfer Coins? Telegram to 'Stuff' a Crypto Wallet into 1 Billion Users This Summer

Telegram founder Pavel Durov has announced that a native, non-custodial wallet called Gram wallet will be built into every Telegram app this summer. This move aims to provide instant, fee-free cryptocurrency transfers for the platform's over 1 billion monthly active users. Durov described it as the largest deployment of a non-custodial crypto wallet in history. The new wallet, developed by Telegram itself, differs fundamentally from the existing third-party @wallet bot. It will be non-custodial from the start, meaning users will control their private keys. Following the announcement, the GRAM token (formerly Toncoin) saw a price increase of approximately 8%. This initiative is part of Telegram's renewed control over the TON blockchain and its "Make TON Great Again" roadmap, marking a return to the project after a 2018 SEC lawsuit. The launch comes as other super-apps like X Money and Meta are also expanding into digital payments, with Telegram opting for a crypto-native approach. However, key details remain unclear, including the exact launch date beyond "this summer," how the promised zero fees will be implemented technically, and how asset support and private key management will work for mainstream users.

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Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 proposal fuels HYPE staking as long-term conviction grows

Hyperliquid has proposed the HIP-4 upgrade to expand from perpetual futures into a broader, permissionless infrastructure layer for on-chain applications, requiring deployers to stake 500,000 HYPE to launch new markets. This shift aims to enable developers to build on its platform, a strategy backed by growing long-term investor conviction. Evidence includes a major trader staking millions in HYPE instead of taking profits, with total staked tokens reaching 43.9% of the supply, reducing available tokens and strengthening network security. Market metrics like high open interest and balanced funding rates suggest measured, non-speculative trader positioning. Sustained growth in protocol revenue, TVL, and governance participation further supports the positive outlook, contingent on continued user adoption and successful upgrade execution.

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Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 proposal fuels HYPE staking as long-term conviction grows

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7 Months After the Collapse of Huiwang, Southeast Asia's Escrow Platforms Undergo a Major Reshuffle

Following the collapse of Huione Pay—dubbed the "Alipay of Southeast Asia"—seven months ago, the region's underground financial guarantee platform sector is undergoing a significant reshuffle. This power vacuum has been swiftly filled by emerging platforms such as XinBi, Tiger/Navigator, JinBei (renamed JinBo), Dali/Tiancheng, and FullyLight. These platforms, operating largely via Telegram and offering services like escrow for illicit transactions, have absorbed the vast user base and markets left behind by Huione. While positioning themselves as "trust intermediaries," their primary clientele consists of networks involved in online scams, money laundering, illegal gambling, and even human trafficking. For instance, the Tiger/Navigator platform explicitly provides "escrow" services for kidnapping-for-ransom operations ("强押车交易"). Data underscores the immense scale: Huione alone processed over $103 billion in cryptocurrency payments and facilitated over $31 billion through its escrow market before its downfall, linking it to Cambodia's notorious Prince Group. Since its collapse, competitors have seen explosive growth. For example, the XinBi platform has accumulated over $1.6 billion in total USDT revenue, while platforms like NewPay, OkPay (under Dali), and FullyLight Wallet collectively processed over $4.8 billion in USDT in a single year. This ecosystem thrives in regions like Cambodia and Myanmar, where regulatory gaps allow these platforms to act as critical financial infrastructure for sprawling cybercrime industries, from scam compounds to online casinos. The article concludes that the moniker "Southeast Asian Alipay" is a misnomer, obscuring the platforms' fundamental role in enabling serious criminal enterprises rather than representing legitimate financial innovation.

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HTX.com’a hoş geldiniz! Holo (HOT) satın alma işlemlerini basit ve kullanışlı bir hâle getirdik. Adım adım açıkladığımız rehberimizi takip ederek kripto yolculuğunuza başlayın. 1. Adım: HTX Hesabınızı OluşturunHTX'te ücretsiz bir hesap açmak için e-posta adresinizi veya telefon numaranızı kullanın. Sorunsuzca kaydolun ve tüm özelliklerin kilidini açın. Hesabımı Aç2. Adım: Kripto Satın Al Bölümüne Gidin ve Ödeme Yönteminizi SeçinKredi/Banka Kartı: Visa veya Mastercard'ınızı kullanarak anında Holo (HOT) satın alın.Bakiye: Sorunsuz bir şekilde işlem yapmak için HTX hesap bakiyenizdeki fonları kullanın.Üçüncü Taraflar: Kullanımı kolaylaştırmak için Google Pay ve Apple Pay gibi popüler ödeme yöntemlerini ekledik.P2P: HTX'teki diğer kullanıcılarla doğrudan işlem yapın.Borsa Dışı (OTC): Yatırımcılar için kişiye özel hizmetler ve rekabetçi döviz kurları sunuyoruz.3. Adım: Holo (HOT) Varlıklarınızı SaklayınHolo (HOT) satın aldıktan sonra HTX hesabınızda saklayın. Alternatif olarak, blok zinciri transferi yoluyla başka bir yere gönderebilir veya diğer kripto para birimlerini takas etmek için kullanabilirsiniz.4. Adım: Holo (HOT) Varlıklarınızla İşlem YapınHTX'in spot piyasasında Holo (HOT) ile kolayca işlemler yapın.Hesabınıza erişin, işlem çiftinizi seçin, işlemlerinizi gerçekleştirin ve gerçek zamanlı olarak izleyin. Hem yeni başlayanlar hem de deneyimli yatırımcılar için kullanıcı dostu bir deneyim sunuyoruz.

108 Toplam GörüntülenmeYayınlanma 2024.12.11Güncellenme 2026.06.02

HOLO Nedir

HOLO'yu Anlamak: Merkeziyetsiz Uygulamaların Geleceği HOLO'ya Giriş, $holo Kripto para ve merkeziyetsiz teknolojilerin hızla gelişen dünyasında, HOLO, diğer adıyla Holo, dikkat çekici bir oyuncu olarak ortaya çıkmıştır. Bu yenilikçi proje, Holochain olarak bilinen temel mimarisi aracılığıyla merkeziyetsiz uygulamaların (DApp'ler) geliştirilmesini kolaylaştırmaktadır. Bugün bildiğimiz merkezi internet ile geleceğin merkeziyetsiz ekosistemi arasında bir köprü kurma vizyonu ile HOLO, DApp'leri günlük kullanıcılar için karmaşık kurulumlar ve teknik beceriler gerektirmeden erişilebilir hale getirmeyi hedeflemektedir. HOLO Nedir, $holo? HOLO'nun özünde, Holochain üzerinde inşa edilmiş DApp'leri barındırmak için tasarlanmış dağıtık bir platform bulunmaktadır. Geleneksel blok zinciri platformlarının aksine, Holochain her uygulamanın kendi kurallarına göre çalışmasına olanak tanıyarak benzersiz bir yaklaşım benimsemektedir. HOLO'nun misyonu, bu Holochain uygulamalarını (hApp'ler) kullanıcılarla tanıdık web teknolojileri aracılığıyla bağlamaktır. HOLO'nun temel amacı, kullanıcıların bu uygulamalara standart web tarayıcıları aracılığıyla doğrudan erişimini sağlayarak DApp'lere erişimi ve kullanımını demokratikleştirmektir. Bu erişilebilirlik, ortalama internet kullanıcıları için sürtünmeyi azaltmada anahtar bir rol oynamaktadır; böylece kullanıcılar, kripto paralar ve DApp kullanımı ile sıklıkla ilişkilendirilen karmaşıklıkları aşmadan yeni nesil uygulamaları kullanabilirler. HOLO'nun Yaratıcıları, $holo HOLO, yaratıcıları Arthur Brock ve Eric Harris-Braun'ın vizyonundan doğmuştur. Her ikisi de deneyimli geliştiriciler ve sözleşme kodlayıcıları olan bu kişiler, Aralık 2016'da MetaCurrency Projesi'nin bir parçası olarak projeye başlamışlardır. Bu girişim, başlangıçta bir eşler arası ekonomiyi teşvik etmeye yönelik araçlar ve teknolojiler geliştirmeye odaklanmıştır. Kodlama ve girişimcilik geçmişleri, merkeziyetsiz uygulama geliştirme ve barındırma zorluklarını ele almak için onları benzersiz bir şekilde konumlandırmıştır. HOLO'nun Yatırımcıları, $holo HOLO'daki bireysel yatırımcılarla ilgili spesifik detaylar kolayca bulunamasa da, projenin daha geniş kripto para topluluğundan önemli destek ve ilgi aldığı açıktır. Merkeziyetsiz uygulamaları barındırmadaki yenilikçi yaklaşımı ve destekleyici topluluğu, projeye olan ilgi ve yatırımı artırmıştır. HOLO, $holo Nasıl Çalışır? HOLO, Holochain tabanlı DApp'ler için depolama ve işlem gücü sağlayan geniş bir ekosistem oluşturarak çalışmaktadır. Bireyler, cihazlarını veya HoloPort gibi özel donanımları barındırma düğümleri haline getirerek, bilgisayarlarının kullanılmayan kaynaklarını etkili bir şekilde paraya dönüştürebilirler. HOLO'nun ana işlevsel bileşenleri şunlardır: Uygulama Sağlayıcı: Bu varlıklar, HOLO'dan barındırma kredileri satın alır ve bunlar bir rezerv hesabında tutulur. Bu mekanizma, DApp geliştiricilerinin uygulamalarını çalıştırmak için gerekli kaynakları güvence altına almasını sağlar. Barındırıcı: DApp'leri barındırmayı seçen bireyler veya organizasyonlar, kullanıcılardan gelen taleplere yanıt verirken imzalı hizmet kayıtları oluştururlar. Bu süreç, ağ üzerindeki tüm etkileşimlerin izlenmesini ve doğrulanmasını sağlar. Hizmet Kanıtı: HOLO'nun operasyonel bütünlüğünün kritik bir unsuru olan barındırıcılar, uygulama sağlayıcılara fatura sunar ve bunlar sağlanan hizmeti doğrular. Doğrulama sonrasında, barındırıcılar barındırma kredileri şeklinde tazminat alırlar. HoloFuel: Holo ağının yerel token'ı olarak hizmet veren HoloFuel, mikro işlemler için tasarlanmıştır. Bu token, platformun milyarlarca eşzamanlı işlemi sorunsuz bir şekilde desteklemesi için gerekli olan geniş işlem hacmini kolaylaştırır. Bu bileşenlerin birleşik sinerjisi, Holochain uygulamalarının faydasını ve erişimini artırarak sağlam ve merkeziyetsiz bir barındırma ortamı sağlar. HOLO'nun Zaman Çizelgesi, $holo HOLO'nun yolculuğu, kuruluşundan bu yana birkaç önemli dönüm noktası ile belirlenmiştir: Aralık 2016: Arthur Brock ve Eric Harris-Braun tarafından MetaCurrency Projesi'nin bir parçası olarak HOLO'nun kuruluşu. 2018: HoloToken (HOT) olarak bilinen bir ERC20 token'ının çıkarılması, projenin lansmanı sırasında HoloFuel ile değiştirilebilen bir “IOU” olarak hizmet etmiştir. Sürekli Gelişim: Holo ağı ve HoloFuel'in sürekli ilerlemeleri, testleri ve optimizasyonları, projenin merkeziyetsiz uygulama barındırma teknolojisinin ön saflarında kalmasını sağlamaktadır. HOLO'nun Benzersiz Özellikleri, $holo HOLO, kripto para ve merkeziyetsiz platformlar alanında, kendine özgü özellikleri ve üzerinde çalıştığı yenilikçi çerçeve sayesinde öne çıkmaktadır: Eşler Arası Barındırma: HOLO, herkesin bilgisayarlarını kullanarak DApp'ler için bir barındırıcı olma kapısını açar. Bu barındırmanın demokratikleşmesi, Airbnb gibi platformların geleneksel otel endüstrisini bozmasına benzer; bireylerin ekonomiye katılmalarını güçlendirir. Holochain Çerçevesi: HOLO'nun yeniliklerinin merkezinde Holochain çerçevesi bulunmaktadır. Gelecek nesil bir teknoloji olarak konumlanan Holochain, olağanüstü ölçeklenebilirlik, hızlı işlem hızları, mükemmel enerji verimliliği ve geleneksel blok zinciri teknolojilerine kıyasla maliyet etkinliği sunmaktadır. Mikro İşlemler için HoloFuel: HoloFuel, mikro işlemleri karşılamak üzere titizlikle tasarlanmıştır ve Holo ağının milyarlarca işlemi eşzamanlı olarak verimli bir şekilde yönetmesine olanak tanır. Bu yetenek, geliştiricilerin büyük ölçekte ekonomik olarak uygulanabilir uygulamalar yaratmalarını sağlayarak ana akım benimseme için hayati öneme sahiptir. Sonuç HOLO, merkeziyetsiz uygulamalar ve blok zinciri teknolojisi alanında önemli bir ilerlemeyi temsil etmektedir. Sağlam altyapısı, kullanıcı dostu yaklaşımı ve yenilikçi Holochain çerçevesi ile HOLO, webin geleceğinde kritik bir rol oynamaya hazırdır. Günlük internet deneyimlerini geliştirecek mi yoksa geliştiriciler ve kullanıcılar arasındaki dijital uygulamalarla etkileşimi yeniden tanımlayacak mı, bunu zaman gösterecek; ancak şu ana kadar kaydettiği ilerleme, merkeziyetsiz dijital ekonomiye doğru dünya ilerledikçe izlemeye değer bir durumdur. Proje geliştikçe, devam eden gelişmeleri ve topluluk katılımı, başarısının kritik bileşenleri olacak ve potansiyel olarak HOLO'yu merkeziyetsiz uygulamalar için ana akım bir platform haline getirecektir. Merkeziyetsiz teknolojilere olan ilginin artmasıyla birlikte, HOLO gibi projelerin önemi ve etkisi önümüzdeki yıllarda yalnızca artacaktır.

123 Toplam GörüntülenmeYayınlanma 2024.12.26Güncellenme 2024.12.26

Tartışmalar

HTX Topluluğuna hoş geldiniz. Burada, en son platform gelişmeleri hakkında bilgi sahibi olabilir ve profesyonel piyasa görüşlerine erişebilirsiniz. Kullanıcıların HOT (HOT) fiyatı hakkındaki görüşleri aşağıda sunulmaktadır.