Apakah Musim Altcoin Telah Dimulai? Ini Yang Dikatakan Indeks Musim Altcoin

bitcoinist2026-06-03 tarihinde yayınlandı2026-06-03 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Baru-baru ini, beberapa altcoin mengalami reli, termasuk Ethereum yang pulih, memunculkan spekulasi tentang dimulainya 'alt season'. Namun, data dari Altcoin Season Index menunjukkan skor hanya 36, jauh di bawah ambang batas 75 yang biasanya menandakan awal musim altcoin sesungguhnya. Skor ini mengukur kinerja 100 altcoin teratas terhadap Bitcoin dalam 90 hari. Dominasi Bitcoin di pasar justru meningkat menjadi di atas 59,88%, yang merupakan sinyal bertentangan dengan permulaan alt season. Biasanya, alt season dimulai ketika dominasi Bitcoin turun drastis dan dominasi altcoin naik. Analisis menyimpulkan bahwa reli saat ini pada beberapa altcoin kemungkinan hanya rally sesaat (spot rally). Ethereum, sebagai pemimpin historis alt season, juga masih berada di bawah kinerja Bitcoin. Oleh karena itu, berdasarkan data indeks dan tren dominasi, dapat disimpulkan bahwa alt season belum dimulai.

Belakangan ini, telah terjadi reli di beberapa altcoin, dengan Ethereum juga mengalami pemulihan, mendorong gagasan tentang musim altcoin. Dengan proyek-proyek seperti Hyperliquid yang melonjak ke rekor tertinggi baru, hal ini telah mendorong beberapa altcoin teratas berdasarkan kapitalisasi pasar untuk melampaui kinerja Bitcoin selama periode ini. Karena semakin banyak altcoin yang terus menunjukkan kinerja lebih baik, apakah ini berarti musim altcoin baru telah dimulai? Laporan ini melihat apa yang dikatakan oleh data.

Indeks Musim Altcoin Berada Pada Skor 36

Indeks Musim Altcoin secara historis telah menjadi indeks yang menunjukkan kapan pasar kripto memasuki musim altcoin. Menurut indeks tersebut, ia mengukur kinerja 100 altcoin teratas dibandingkan dengan Bitcoin selama periode 90 hari dan kemudian memetakannya dalam skor 1-100 untuk menunjukkan kapan pasar telah memasuki musim altcoin.

Secara historis, semakin tinggi skornya, semakin besar kemungkinan pasar kripto sedang mengalami musim altcoin. Biasanya, ini berarti bahwa dominasi kinerja Bitcoin telah terhenti, dan dominasinya atas pasar kripto lainnya telah turun drastis.

Saat ini, Indeks Musim Altcoin terbaca pada skor 36, menurut data dari situs web Coinglass. Selain itu, dominasi Bitcoin mulai pulih lagi selama akhir pekan, naik di atas 59,88% menjelang hari Minggu. Secara alami, kedua hal ini tidak menunjukkan pertanda baik untuk sebuah musim altcoin.

Mengurai Data untuk Sebuah Musim Altcoin

Dengan Indeks Musim Altcoin berada di level rendah yaitu 36, ini berarti pasar sebenarnya tidak sedang mengalami musim altcoin. Biasanya, musim altcoin akan dimulai ketika skor berada di atas 75. Ini berarti bahwa 75% dari 100 altcoin teratas berkinerja lebih baik daripada Bitcoin dalam kerangka waktu 3 bulan untuk mewujudkannya.

Selain itu, dominasi Bitcoin atas pasar kripto terus meningkat alih-alih menurun. Ini adalah tanda bahwa pasar sebenarnya tidak bergerak menuju musim altcoin. Hal ini hanya akan terjadi ketika dominasi Bitcoin mulai anjlok, dan dominasi altcoin mulai naik.

Mengingat data yang ada, ini menunjukkan bahwa reli beberapa altcoin hanyalah reli spot. Ethereum juga berkinerja lebih buruk dibandingkan Bitcoin selama periode ini, dan sebagai pemimpin historis musim altcoin, Ethereum harus mulai berkinerja lebih baik daripada Bitcoin untuk memicu musim altcoin berikutnya.

Kapitalisasi pasar altcoin melemah | Sumber: Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC on TradingView.com

Trend Kriptolar

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İlgili Sorular

QApa itu Indeks Altcoin Season dan bagaimana cara kerjanya?

AIndeks Altcoin Season adalah alat yang mengukur kinerja 100 altcoin teratas dibandingkan dengan Bitcoin selama periode 90 hari. Indeks ini memberikan skor dari 1 hingga 100, di mana skor yang lebih tinggi menunjukkan kemungkinan sedang terjadi musim altcoin, yang berarti altcoin mengungguli Bitcoin.

QBerapa skor Indeks Altcoin Season saat ini menurut artikel, dan apa artinya?

ASaat ini, Indeks Altcoin Season memiliki skor 36. Skor ini jauh di bawah ambang batas 75 yang biasanya menandakan dimulainya musim altcoin, sehingga menunjukkan bahwa pasar belum memasuki periode musim altcoin yang sesungguhnya.

QApa peran dominasi Bitcoin dalam menentukan apakah musim altcoin telah dimulai?

ADominasi Bitcoin yang meningkat, seperti yang terlihat naik menjadi sekitar 59.88%, merupakan tanda bahwa pasar TIDAK bergerak menuju musim altcoin. Musim altcoin biasanya dimulai ketika dominasi Bitcoin turun drastis dan dominasi altcoin mulai naik.

QMengapa kinerja Ethereum penting terkait dengan dimulainya musim altcoin?

AEthereum dianggap sebagai pemimpin historis dalam musim altcoin. Untuk memicu musim altcoin berikutnya, Ethereum harus mulai mengungguli kinerja Bitcoin. Saat ini, artikel menyebutkan Ethereum justru underperforming dibandingkan Bitcoin.

QMenurut data dalam artikel, apakah kenaikan harga beberapa altcoin baru-baru ini menandakan dimulainya musim altcoin?

ATidak. Menurut data, kenaikan harga (rally) pada beberapa altcoin seperti Hyperliquid hanyalah 'spot rallies' atau kenaikan sesaat. Indeks Altcoin Season yang rendah dan dominasi Bitcoin yang meningkat membuktikan bahwa itu belum merupakan awal dari musim altcoin yang berkelanjutan.

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