CryptoQuant: биткоин может продолжить рост — инвесторы не спешат фиксировать прибыль

cryptonews.ru2025-03-08 tarihinde yayınlandı2025-10-09 tarihinde güncellendi

По данным CryptoQuant, активность по фиксации прибыли остается низкой, даже после ценового рекорда биткоина.
В то же время годовые реализованные прибыли показывают рост.
Кроме того, старые кошельки не двигают актив даже на пике.

Аналитическая компания CryptoQuant сообщила, что несмотря на достижение биткоином нового исторического максимума в более $126 000, инвесторы продолжают удерживать свои позиции.

Profit-taking activity remains at relatively low levels even after Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of $126K last Monday.

This suggests that Bitcoin may continue to rally, and that a top is still not on the horizon.

Our latest report: https://t.co/rbwFTqPIZh
— Julio Moreno (@jjcmoreno) October 8, 2025

«Активность по фиксации прибыли остается на относительно низком уровне, даже после того, как биткоин достиг нового исторического максимума $126 000 в прошлый понедельник. Это свидетельствует, что биткоин может продолжить рост, и вершина цикла еще не на горизонте», — заявил главный аналитик CryptoQuant Хулио Морено.

По подсчетам экспертов, чистый объем реализованных прибылей биткоин-холдеров за последние 30 дней составляет около 0,26 млн BTC (примерно $30 млрд). Это на 50% ниже уровней, которые наблюдались во время формирования ценовых пиков, и значительно меньше показателей:

июля 2025 года — 0,53 млн BTC ($63 млрд);
марта 2024 года — $78 млрд;
декабря 2024 года — $99 млрд.

В отчете отмечается, что низкие уровни фиксации прибыли указывают на отсутствие масштабных продаж, а значит, рынок остается в фазе роста.

Напомним, что в QCP Capital проанализировали, что фактором роста биткоина стала остановка работы правительства США, что привело к рассмотрению первой криптовалюты как защитного актива.

Согласно данным CryptoQuant, годовые реализованные прибыли продолжают расти, что обычно поддерживает повышение цен. В 2021 году цены достигли пика именно тогда, когда годовой рост доходности начал замедляться.

Краткосрочные инвесторы зафиксировали прибыль лишь на уровне 2%, что существенно ниже привычных для рыночных пиков 8%.

Долгосрочные холдеры имеют среднюю реализованную прибыль на уровне 129%, что также значительно ниже экстремальных уровней 300% (x4), которые традиционно сигнализируют о конце цикла.

Даже владельцы биткоинов возрастом более 10 лет пока не демонстрируют активности по продажам. За последние 30 дней было потрачено лишь 5000 BTC, что вдвое меньше, чем во время пиков в марте и декабре 2024 года, и на 29% ниже максимума мая 2025 года.

Отметим, что ранее аналитики CryptoQuant прогнозировали, что биткоин может вырасти до $130 000, поскольку рынок продолжает сохранять бычий тренд, даже несмотря на замедление темпов роста. Специалисты компании ожидают, что пик текущего рынка придется на октябрь-ноябрь 2025 года, когда инвесторы начнут постепенно фиксировать прибыль.

Эксперты также отмечают, что после более 500 дней от последнего халвинга, рынок приближается к финальной фазе цикла, однако продажи происходят постепенно — долгосрочные владельцы распродают активы частями, что смягчает колебания цены.

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