Прогноз по USD/TJS: два сценария снижения и целевые уровни на 30 мая

cryptonews.ru2025-02-28 tarihinde yayınlandı2025-05-30 tarihinde güncellendi

Реакция от сильного сопротивления — USD/TJS переходит в нисходящую структуру

После продолжительного восходящего движения USD/TJS сформировала недельный уровень сопротивления и протестировала его (11.37–10.57). С тех пор пара продолжает коррекционное движение в рамках нисходящего ордер-флоу, без локальных признаков разворота. Приоритет смещается в сторону шортов.

Ближайшие цели — минимумы на уровнях 9.668, 9.405 и 9.159.

Чек-лист наблюдений

  • Сопротивление: 11.37–10.57 — ключевая зона разворота
  • Ближайшие цели: 9.668, 9.405 и 9.159
  • Локальный уровень сопротивления: 10.48 (зона 0.5 по Фибоначчи)
  • Локальный максимум для стопа: 10.60

Торговый план

Основной сценарий — продолжение снижения с текущих

  • Стоп: за 10.60
  • Цели: поэтапная фиксация на уровнях 9.668 → 9.405 → 9.159
  • Структура указывает на высокую вероятность продолжения снижения без откатов

Альтернативный сценарий — коррекция перед снижением

  • Возможен откат в зону 10.48 (0.5 по Фибоначчи)
  • Вход в шорт — только после реакции и подтверждения на младших ТФ (слом тренда, FVG)
  • Стоп: за локальный максимум

Действия

  • Приоритет за шортами при удержании текущего ордер-флоу
  • Входить только по подтверждению, особенно если начнется откат
  • Следить за динамикой — пара ходит не всегда технично, возможны резкие смены направления

Заключение

Пара USD/TJS формирует устойчивое снижение после реакции от крупной зоны сопротивления. Пока нет признаков разворота, приоритет за шортами. Цели по снижению — в диапазоне 9.15–9.66. При коррекции возможна точка входа от 10.48, но только при подтверждении.

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