Super.exchange指南:$Super平台币(3:3)最优策略梳理

Odaily星球日报2025-02-27 tarihinde yayınlandı2025-02-27 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Super.exchange平台币$Super到底怎么撸性价比最优?

原文作者:Pepper 花椒(X:@off_thetarget

Tl'dr 结论

1. 「外盘」 (傻子们自己在 raydium 上面组 LP)用的是自己的筹码 - > 他们的筹码都是从 bonding curve 中获得,外盘筹码被严重低估

最优策略:买 $send买外盘 $super不刷

2. 如果外盘高于你的撸毛成本价,那么你可以去刷,同等时间内 ( 5 min) 刷量的越多,积分获取越少,减少高频区操作,找亚洲人睡觉的时间,积分到手后必须立马买,不要拖越后面越贵,要刷尽早刷,飞轮停不下来了 

3. 新模式 meme 平台不要平台币,而是拿你的对于平台币的预期去换你的部分手续费收入,积分可以获取的 $super 代币会越来越少且 $super 的价格会越来越高, 销毁和积分兑换有关系,积分又被交易量 + 交易人数的函数给控制

4. 「外盘」的 $super 是「内盘」 第一批 $super 撸子的预期值/也是成本线,当车档开始加速(n = 4-8)的时候 「内盘'」MC 起飞要超过 「外盘'」价值严重 mismatch,因为流动性不足,「外盘'」很有可能会被拉飞 (只需要记住两个 bonding curve 完全不同 一个是 x * y =k, 一个是 x^n *y =K) 公式不同,计算方式不同,预期不同,撸子傻子算不过来了

详细拆解:「内外盘/无限盘」市值误区

1. 我们先看一下 AMM 机制下的普通「外盘」

以前的 AMM 机制大多数都是 x * y = K 去计算,也就是 K 的值是随着 x 的值和 y 的值波动的,一般是两个 pair 去组,其中 x 和 y 分别表示中两种代币的「库存」,k 为流动性参数,在每次交易过程中库存发生改变而 k 保持不变,每次流动性的添加和移除过程中 k 对应增加或减少。

言而总之,流动性下降 - >价格下降 -> 盘子死亡 。

强制流动性需求上升。

但是 @_superexchange 的 bonding curve 是无限的,且没有内外盘区分。

 2. pumpfun 的内盘和 super exchange 对比

bonding curve 和 pumpfun 的 bonding curve 不一样,虽然也是参考的 AMM 模式,但是虚拟盘的联合曲线是不一样的。

我参考了一下之前的分析文章:

http://PUMP.FUN 定价系统有前置虚拟池,虚拟池中 $Sol 数量为 x 0 ,代币总量为 y 0 。通过对平台用户的买入 $SOL 数量和得到对应代币的数据收集,与 x*y=k 公式进行拟合,得到前置虚拟池为 30 枚 $SOL 和 1073000191 枚代币,初始 k 值为 32190005730 ,每枚代币的价格为 0.000000028 $SOL 」

Pumpfun 这边毕业前我们划分几个区域,假设 20-40% 为一个区域, 40% -80% 为一个区域, 80% - 100% (毕业)为一个区域。

20% - 40% :那么价格公式:y=k/x,早期价格流动性变化:dy/dx=−k/x,也就是说当 x 小,价格对购买敏感,流动性低。

40% -80% : x 增大,那么流动性还是低,小额购买导致价格快速上涨。

80% -毕业: ∣dydx∣| 变大,购买少量 ( x ) 导致 ( y ) 剧降,无法支持大资本, 常见的表现就是 内盘快要 80 K 后,机器人迅速砸盘,可以砸到 20-30 K,淘池子表现。

总结:强制流动性需求上升。

那么再来看一下 super exchange。

他这边的公式是 x^n * y = k, 这里的 n 有 7 个档位,n 从 32 到 1 。

当 N = 32 的时候,

这里流动性的变化是:流动性变化:dydx=−n⋅kxn+ 1 ,n = 32 时,∣dydx∣ 极小,价格对 ( x ) 不敏感,流动性高。

通俗理解就是 x 买入对于价格不敏感且一直「增加」流动性。

当 N = 8-4 的时候,

流动性变化:∣dydx∣=n⋅kxn+ 1 ,n 降低,∣dydx∣增大但受 xn+ 1 抑制,市场深度稳定。

通俗理解是 n 降低且 x 增加价格开始推土机上去,且深度稳定。

当 N = 1 的时候,

流动性变化:流动性变化:∣dydx∣=kx 2 ,( x ) 增大,∣dydx∣ 减小,市场深度稳定。

通俗理解就是可以支持更大的资本进入也支持更大的资本退出且对于深度没有特别大的影响。

总结:强制流动性需求上升。

Super.exchange指南:$Super平台币(3:3)最优策略梳理

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