Аналитики объяснили рост курса биткоина

cryptonews.ru2021-08-16 tarihinde yayınlandı2024-12-16 tarihinde güncellendi

Основным фактором роста биткоина и всего спектра криптовалют стал старт цикла снижения ставок в США с 18 сентября, рассказал «Известиям» главный аналитик Neomarkets Олег Калманович 16 декабря.

Ранее в этот день биткоин (BTC) обновил исторический максимум стоимости на отметке $106 648.

«Основным фактором роста биткоина и всего спектра криптовалют стал старт цикла снижения ставок в США с 18 сентября. Рынок начал расти еще в начале 2024 года на ожиданиях снижения ставок от ФРС (Федеральной резервной системы. — Ред.) из-за замедляющейся инфляции в ближайшие пару месяцев, но весной-летом всплески потребительских цен отложили это решение до осени», — отметил Калманович.

По его словам, выборы американского президента также были сдерживающим фактором для инвесторов, которые предпочитали до объявления победителя президентской гонки вкладываться в доллары. Однако после победы команды Дональда Трампа капитал снова стал уходить в рисковые активы, включая криптовалюты, добавил эксперт.

Аналитик уточнил, что инвесторы интересуются, как быстро ставки вернутся к целевому уровню ФРС в 2,9%.

«Текущая ставка составляет 4,5–4,75%, а следующее решение будет 18 декабря, где с вероятностью 97% ожидается снижение до 4,25–4,5%. Однако текущее снижение ставки уже «в цене», тут ключевым моментом будет послушать комментарий председателя ФРС Джерома Пауэлла, насколько он будет обеспокоен крайним приростом производственной инфляции и какие планы у Федрезерва по ставкам на начало следующего года. Чем больше уверенность Пауэлла, что текущий тренд на снижение ставок оправдан, тем более себя уверенным будет чувствовать весь криптомир в целом», — объяснил он.

В свою очередь финансовый аналитик BitRiver Владислав Антонов также отметил, что оптимизм рынку придает поддержка криптовалютной повестки со стороны новой администрации США.

«На ключевые государственные посты выбираются кандидаты, которые позитивно относятся к криптовалютам. При этом появляются сообщения, что семья Трампа наращивает позиции в таких альткоинах, как ETH, AAVE и LINK. В 2025 году мы видим целевую область по биткоину в $160–170 тыс. При этом падения ниже $90 тыс. маловероятны», — заключил эксперт.

В сентябре директор Ассоциации промышленного майнинга Сергей Безделов на сессии «Промышленный майнинг» Восточного экономического форума рассказал, что в 2023 году на территории России было намайнено 54 тыс. биткоинов. Они могут принести казне налогов в сумме 50 млрд рублей на горизонте нескольких лет.

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