Wintermute 推出 OutcomeMarket，为选举预测市场提供动力

marsbit2024-09-17 tarihinde yayınlandı2024-09-18 tarihinde güncellendi

Wintermute 的去中心化预测市场将使用 TRUMP 和 HARRIS 代币，为 Polymarket 提供替代方案。

算法交易公司 Wintermute 宣布推出 OutcomeMarket，这是一个去中心化的预测市场平台，最初将专注于 2024 年美国总统大选，代币与候选人唐纳德·特朗普和卡马拉·哈里斯挂钩。

该平台将于下周推出，允许用户直接参与以太坊 (ETH) 及其第 2 层扩展网络 Base 和 Arbitrum 的预测市场，并且无需在链之间桥接资产。

OutcomeMarket 的平台将由无需许可的智能合约驱动——其中包含驱动去中心化应用程序 (dapps) 的代码——这意味着任何交易场所都可以列出其代币而无需征收铸造或交易费用。

去中心化

Wintermute 首席执行官 Evgeny Gaevoy 表示，该平台旨在通过降低进入门槛来创建一个更容易进入、更高效的市场。首次代币发行将以 TRUMP 和 HARRIS 为特色，允许用户对候选人在选举中的表现进行投票，同时还可以在多个交易所的去中心化金融 (DeFi) 应用程序中使用这些代币。

Chaos Labs 的预言机是“先进的人工智能和 LLM 与风险模型的独特结合”，它“提供高度精确、防篡改的数据馈送，同时将实时风险评估直接嵌入协议中”，Chaos Labs 首席执行官 Omer Goldberg 表示。Wintermute是Chaos Labs的投资者。

“中心化和去中心化交易场所都对列出此类预测市场合约表现出浓厚兴趣，但没有人以无需许可的方式开发它们，并且不收取铸币费或交易费，”他写道。

该平台将利用 Chaos Labs 的 Edge Proofs Oracle 来确保整个链上数据的完整性和可靠性。包括 Bebop、WOO X 和 Backpack 在内的几个交易场所已经承诺列出 OutcomeMarket 代币。

近年来，政治 meme 币和预测市场受到广泛关注，将加密货币投机与政治预测融合在一起。2020 年，FTX 衍生品交易所针对美国总统大选推出了类似的预测市场，交易量巨大。当然，FTX 随后因欺诈指控而倒闭。

PredictIt 和 Polymarket 等预测市场也面临监管审查，Polymarket 于 2022 年支付了 140 万美元的民事罚款，以解决 CFTC 指控。2024 年，Polymarket 的人气和交易量激增，这主要是由于人们对选举投注池的兴趣。

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