Индикатор бычьего рынка загорелся зеленым: биткоин удерживает отметку $60 000

cryptonews.ru2022-06-10 tarihinde yayınlandı2024-08-10 tarihinde güncellendi

Ну что, биткоин снова в зеленой зоне! После небольшого падения ниже $50 000, которое заставило многих понервничать, индикаторы главной криптовалюты вновь указывают на бычий тренд.

Индикатор бычьего рынка загорелся зеленым

Помните те три дня, когда биткоин рухнул и все думали, что это конец? Что ж, похоже, слухи о его смерти были несколько преувеличены. Индикатор бычье-медвежьего рынка биткоина снова подмигивает нам зеленым глазом. А ведь совсем недавно он подавал первый медвежий сигнал с января 2023 года.

Но что это за зверь такой — индикатор бычье-медвежьего рынка биткоина? Представьте себе этакий криптовалютный светофор. Он отслеживает фазы настроений инвесторов и сигнализирует: зеленый — покупай, все отлично; красный — держись подальше, медведи вышли на охоту. Этот индикатор анализирует кучу данных из блокчейна и рынка, чтобы определить, куда же дует ветер — в паруса быков или в берлогу медведей.

Индикатор бычье-медвежьего рынка биткоина. Источник: CryptoQuant

Ки Янг Джу (Ki Young Ju), основатель и генеральный директор CryptoQuant, не скрывает своего оптимизма: «Большинство циклических индикаторов биткоина, которые балансировали на грани, теперь снова сигнализируют о бычьем рынке». И знаете что? Он не одинок в своем мнении.

Популярный в соцсети X трейдер PlanB вторит ему: «Биткоин все еще находится на бычьем рынке». Ну надо же, какое единодушие!

Черный понедельник? Не смешите мои биткоины!

Помните то падение до $49 751 5 августа? Некоторые уже успели окрестить этот день «Черным криптопонедельником». Но Ки Янг Джу считает, что это была всего лишь трехдневная распродажа. Три дня! За это время я успела пересмотреть столько видео с предсказаниями курса биткоина, что мой ютуб-аккаунт начал советовать мне видео о том, как справиться с зависимостью от криптовалют.

Биткоин, конечно, поиграл на нервах трейдеров, торгуясь ниже критического уровня $60 000 до 8 августа. Но сейчас? На момент написания этой статьи его курс уже $60 687. Неплохо для «умирающей» криптовалюты, не так ли?

1-дневный график BTC/USD. Источник: Bitstamp/TradingView

Страх и ненависть в Лас-Вегасе? Нет, на крипторынке!

Индекс страха и жадности в криптовалютах тоже решил поиграть на нервах инвесторов. 6 августа он показал значение «Экстремальный страх» со счетом 17. Последний раз такое было после краха FTX. Но не спешите уходить с рынка — сейчас индекс уже вернулся к «нейтральному» значению 48.

Медвежья ловушка или реальное падение?

Некоторые трейдеры считают, что быстрый разворот может указывать на медвежью ловушку. Это когда опытные трейдеры намеренно снижают цену актива, чтобы поймать в ловушку игроков на понижение. Хитро, не правда ли?

А что дальше?

Аналитики, как всегда, разделились во мнениях. Маркус Тилен (Markus Thielen) из 10x Research считает, что идеальная точка входа в следующий бычий рынок — это когда цена биткоина упадет ниже $45 000.

Инвестиционная компания Ark Invest Кэти Вуд (Cathie Wood) видит важные уровни поддержки на отметках $52 000 и $46 000.

А опытный трейдер Питер Брандт (Peter Brandt) сравнивает нынешнее снижение с циклом 2015-2017 годов, предполагая начало бычьего ралли.

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