Камала Харрис опередила Трампа на Polymarket с 50% шансом на победу в выборах

cryptonews.ru2021-12-08 tarihinde yayınlandı2024-08-08 tarihinde güncellendi

Вице-президент Камала Харрис оставила позади Дональда Трампа на платформе Polymarket.
Пользователи площадки оценили вероятность победы Харрис на президентских выборах в 50%.
Трамп на Polymarket отстает от главного конкурента на политической арене по этой позиции всего на 1%.

Кандидат в президенты США Камала Харрис обошла своего политического визави в лице Дональда Трампа на платформе для ставок Polymarket. Пользователи площадки оценили ее шансы на победу в президентских выборах в 50%. В успех Трампа, в свою очередь, верят 49% людей, сделавших ставку по этой позиции.

Ставки на победителя президентских выборов в США. Источник: Polymarket.

Впервые за долгое время представитель республиканцев уступил на платформе лидерство кандидату от Демократической партии по данному вопросу. До этого Трамп опережал как снявшегося с предвыборной гонки Джозефа Байдена, так и пришедшую ему на смену Камалу Харрис.

Общий объем ставок на упомянутый прогноз превышает $546 млн. Суммарный размер средств, который фигурирует в политическом разделе на платформе преодолел отметку в $1,1 млрд. Количество ставок на события этой категории на Polymarket исчисляются сотнями.

Отметим, что ранее представители Конгресса США потребовали от Комиссии по торговле товарными фьючерсами (CFTC) ввести запрет на политические ставки. Законотворцы считают, что они могут оказать влияние на исход президентских выборов в Соединенных Штатах.

Тем временем пользователи Polymarket оценили вероятность снижения процентной ставки в сентябре 2024 года в 57%.

Эксперты компании QCP Capital не разделяют оптимизм участников платформы и считают, что ФРС, вероятно, не будет снижать процентную ставку в следующем месяце. По их мнению, ведомство также воздержится от внепланового заседания в октябре с той же целью.

Напомним, мы писали, что Polymarket добавит поддержку банковских карт на фоне растущих объемов ставок.

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