1confirmation创始人:给加密消费者应用建设者的4个建议

Odaily星球日报2024-07-12 tarihinde yayınlandı2024-07-12 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

过去 10 年的加密消费者应用程序很有趣,但接下来的 10 年将会比之前有趣 100 倍 。

原文作者:Nick Tomaino,1co nfirmation 创始人

原文编译:Luffy,Foresight News

未来 10 年,我最坚定的信念就是加密应用程序将渗透到文化的各个方面。过去 10 年,加密应用主要在深度技术和金融领域发展,但在接下来的 10 年中,我们将看到加密消费者应用程序与新闻、政治、体育、健康 / 健身、音乐、直播视频、播客等领域的碰撞。这些应用程序将成为有史以来最有用和最有价值的应用程序之一。

这种观点似乎与当前主流投资者相悖,他们一直在向非原创的零和产品投入大笔资金。虽然市场大肆宣传第 N 个可扩展的 L1 和有收益的稳定币,但开发者们正在悄悄构建能够带来新消费者行为的产品,这将帮助行业尽快吸引 10 亿用户并造福全世界。

我早期就参与了许多消费者应用程序(包括:Coinbase、OpenSea、Polymarket、dYdX),也从中学到了很多东西。过去 10 年里,这些应用程序在连接加密货币和文化,并吸引新用户方面取得了最大的成功。 

如果你正在考虑下一代顶级加密消费者应用程序,以下 4 个经验可能对你有用:

加密消费者应用程序的普及之路不会一蹴而就,所以要专注于你相信的事情(除了赚钱之外),并坚持下去。Polymarket 此前多次被注销,但创始人 Shayne Coplan 和团队坚信预测市场可以为世界带来更多真相。他们一路上遇到了可能导致大多数人放弃的障碍,但坚定的信念帮助他们活了下来。 Polymarket 2024 年的交易额已超过 4.23 亿美元,目前在 2024 年美国总统选举中发挥着重要作用。请记住:信念和坚持终会得到回报。

兼顾纯粹主义者和游客是关键。十多年来,Coinbase 巧妙地存在于纯粹主义者和游客的交汇地带。如果一个产品过于纯粹,它就会停留在小众市场,永远不会突破。可能有一小部分人精通历史知识并欣赏其中的细微差别,但只为纯粹主义者构建会限制你的市场规模。如果一个产品太过重视游客,人们就会喜欢它一时,然后离开它,来得快去得也快。 2012 年,Brian Armstrong 做出了一个早期的设计决定,向用户提供托管钱包服务,因为他们相信非托管钱包不会促进大众市场的增长。得益于这一决定,Coinbase 现在成为了一家价值超 500 亿美元的上市公司。(延伸阅读:《1co nfirmation:纯粹主义者与游客,谁是加密世界的主要推动者?》)

深入了解用户和你所在市场的文化。当 OpenSea 于 2018 年推出时,有不少其他 NFT 市场筹集了更多资金,并吸引了更多知名投资者参与。 OpenSea 获胜是因为 Dfinzer 和 Xanderatallah 并不关心虚假的声望或为公司营造一些虚假的叙事,他们只专注于构建有用的产品。他们与每一位 NFT 创作者交谈,他们参加每一次 NFT 活动,他们比竞争对手更了解文化。不要只关心表面的叙事,深入研究,你就会比浮于表面的玩家更长久。

创建自己的生态。真正有用的应用程序不需要迎合任何现有的生态,而是创建自己的生态。 dYdX 已经在这方面指明了道路。 Antonio MJuliano 和团队从以太坊生态系统开始,然后推出了 StarkEx 支持的 L2,进而推出了由 Cosmos SDK 支持的 dYdX 链。这种趋势在未来可能会更加普遍。一旦证明了应用程序的实用性,你就可以推出自己的链并拥有完全的主权。

过去 10 年的加密消费者应用程序很有趣,但接下来的 10 年将会比之前有趣 100 倍 。

İlgili Okumalar

Hubei State-Owned Assets Achieve the Largest Return in History

After years of anticipation, Yangtze Memory Holdings Co., Ltd. (YMTC) has filed for an IPO on Shanghai's STAR Market, seeking to raise 33 billion yuan—the largest offering in the board's history. This move follows the recent listing of its peer, ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), which reached a market valuation exceeding 4 trillion yuan. Dubbed the "twin stars of domestic memory," both companies, founded in 2016 in Hefei and Wuhan respectively, symbolize China's push for semiconductor self-sufficiency. YMTC's journey began with its predecessor, Wuhan Xinxin, established in 2006. Backed by substantial state investment from Hubei and Wuhan, it evolved into a national memory base. The company achieved key technological breakthroughs, and now ranks as the world's third-largest and China's top NAND Flash manufacturer by sales. Its recent financials are strong, with Q1 2026 revenue of 47.04 billion yuan and net profit of 33.38 billion yuan. Post-IPO, its market value is widely expected to surpass 1 trillion yuan. The potential windfall highlights the success of long-term, patient capital from Hubei's state-owned entities. Key shareholders like Hubei Changsheng, Xintech, and government-backed funds have supported YMTC through years of development. Their collective stake could be worth hundreds of billions after the listing. This model mirrors other successes in Wuhan, such as Huagong Tech, where local state investment during a low point later yielded massive returns. The story reflects a broader national trend of regional transformation through strategic, high-tech investments. Hefei's bet on CXMT, now worth over 3.7 trillion yuan, propelled the city's A-share market cap to 4th nationally, showcasing how a major firm can reshape an entire local industry ecosystem. Similarly, Wuhan's photoelectronics cluster, now worth over 850 billion yuan, aims to become a world-class hub. The takeaway is clear: in the reshuffling of Chinese cities, patient, courageous state investment in core technologies—from memory chips to advanced manufacturing—is proving to be a decisive factor, turning long-term visions into economic reality.

marsbit18 dk önce

Hubei State-Owned Assets Achieve the Largest Return in History

marsbit18 dk önce

The Myth of AI Investment Collapses

"The AI Investment Myth Bursts: The Swift Collapse of a $45 Billion Fund The high-flying hedge fund Situational Awareness (SA), founded by 24-year-old former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, neared total collapse in late July. Once a Wall Street darling, the fund saw its assets under management rocket from $1.5 billion to $45 billion in under a year, driven by a massively leveraged bet on the AI boom. Its core strategy was a 'Texas hedge'—simultaneously buying stocks seen as AI beneficiaries (like chipmakers) and shorting those deemed AI victims (like certain software firms). In reality, both sides of this trade were dependent on unbroken market confidence in AI. This strategy generated staggering returns, peaking at 439% year-to-date. However, it concealed extreme concentration, high leverage (reportedly 3-to-1), and liquidity risks from illiquid private holdings like Anthropic. When semiconductor stocks corrected sharply in late July, SA's long positions plummeted. Simultaneously, its short bets failed as 'AI victim' stocks rose, causing losses on both sides. The fund faced immediate, massive margin calls. With minutes to spare before a forced liquidation by its prime brokers, SA sold its entire public market portfolio at a discount to Citadel on July 30, narrowly avoiding a market-wide cascade. The fund's value crashed from $45 billion to roughly $10 billion (excluding its remaining Anthropic stake). The episode exposes the systemic risks embedded in the frenzied, highly leveraged chase for AI returns. It serves as a stark reminder of the old Wall Street adage: markets can stay irrational longer than investors can stay solvent. The crisis shifts focus from Aschenbrenner's AI predictions to whether capital markets will continue ignoring such dangerous concentration and leverage in pursuit of the next 'sure thing' narrative."

marsbit19 dk önce

The Myth of AI Investment Collapses

marsbit19 dk önce

İşlemler

Spot
活动图片