SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240228)：BTC挑战6W美元关口

Odaily星球日报2024-02-28 tarihinde yayınlandı2024-02-28 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

数字货币方面，BTC延续上行势能挑战60000美元大关，ETH也达到3350美元附近。

今年年初市场对美联储 2024 年的降息预期普遍在 150 个基点，但部分持有这种预期观点是建立在美联储连续加息可能导致美国经济出现衰退的基础之上，而今年来众多数据显示了美国经济仍然强劲的事实，通胀下行的趋势也有些许降速，市场同样在逐步调整此前过于乐观的降息预期，等待更多新的数据，今晚美联储青睐的通胀指标 PCE 将在 UTC+ 8 21: 30 公布，进一步揭示当前的物价压力，昨日（27 FEB）市场相对安静，美国三大股指涨跌互现，标普和纳指分别收涨 0.17% /0.37% ，道指收跌 0.25% 。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240228)：BTC挑战6W美元关口

Source: SignalPlus, Economic Calendar

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240228)：BTC挑战6W美元关口

Source: Binance & TradingView

数字货币方面，BTC 延续上行势能挑战 60000 美元大关，ETH 也达到 3350 美元附近。结算后的再度拉盘使得推动期权 IV 再度走平上行，前端达到 70% Vol 的高点，Vol Skew 同样明显走高。

回看过去 24 小时的交易，BTC 前端 60000-C 被大量买入，三月底之后的期限则多是由大宗交易成交的 Sell 60000-C 看涨价差，多头腿的行权价位置分布在 65000/70000/75000 。ETH Buy 8 MAR-3000-P 成为市场焦点，单笔成交高达 19000 ETH。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240228)：BTC挑战6W美元关口

Source: Deribit （截至 28 FEB 16: 00 UTC+ 8）

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240228)：BTC挑战6W美元关口

Source: SignalPlus

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240228)：BTC挑战6W美元关口

Source: SignalPlus

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240228)：BTC挑战6W美元关口

Data Source: Deribit，BTC 成交分布

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240228)：BTC挑战6W美元关口

Data Source: Deribit，ETH 成交分布，Buy 8 MAR-3000-P 成为市场焦点

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240228)：BTC挑战6W美元关口

Source: Deribit Block Trade

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240228)：BTC挑战6W美元关口

Source: Deribit Block Trade

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240228)：BTC挑战6W美元关口

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