亚洲vs.北美:推演Crypto格局,后ETF时代下究竟谁主沉浮?

Odaily星球日报2024-01-22 tarihinde yayınlandı2024-01-22 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

与逆流而行的美国所不同的地方在于,港府正积极拥抱虚拟资产所带来的浪潮。

文章作者:Meta Era 特邀作者 「0x ShinChan」

经过多年的周折,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)上周终于批准了有史以来首个现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)。该 ETF 在首个交易日表现强劲,交易量达到了惊人的 46 亿美元,为加密货币行业注入了强劲动力。美国批准比特币现货 ETF 上市助推了整个加密货币市场,市场对未来持有积极预期。

与此同时,身为国际金融中心的香港,作为亚洲(除日本外)第四大 ETF 市场,自 2022 年以来已建立了针对加密资产的监管体系。香港特区政府明确表示香港将积极拥抱加密资产。这引发了一个问题:在比特币现货 ETF 时代到来的大背景下,香港是否会成为引领潮流的先锋?本文将深入探讨其中的因素,以及对该地区在不断演变的加密货币格局中可能产生的潜在影响。

香港监管迈向新时代:虚拟资产投资途径逐步向零售投资者敞开

2022 年 12 月,香港证券及期货事务监察委员会(SFC)和香港金融管理局(HKMA)发布联合声明,表示自 2018 年 SFC 制定「仅限专业投资者」的监管方针以来,虚拟资产领域迅速发展,投资产品变得多元,为零售及专业投资者提供投资于虚拟资产的途径。

亚洲vs.北美:推演Crypto格局,后ETF时代下究竟谁主沉浮?

有关中介人的虚拟资产相关活动的联合通函(链接

香港近年放宽对加密货币的监管,监管机构对零售投资者在数字资产中的敞开立场也发生了变化。2023 年 10 月,SFC 更新了 监管方针,允许更广泛的投资者参与现货加密货币和 ETF 投资。

2023 年 11 月,SFC 正朝着允许零售投资者购买现货加密货币交易所交易基金(ETF)的方向迈进。据 彭博社 引述,SFC 首席执行官梁爱诗表示:「我们欢迎使用提升效率和客户体验的创新技术的提案。只要新的风险得到解决,我们愿意尝试。我们的方法在不同资产上是一致的。」

香港或将迎来加密货币市场革新

成功推出的美国现货比特币 ETF 预计将有助于使香港监管机构更接近授权类似加密货币基金在该市运营的目标。现货加密货币 ETF 使投资者能够在不直接购买任何加密代币的情况下获得对虚拟资产的曝露。

HashKey Group 首席运营官 Livio Weng 在中国媒体财新周三的采访透露,大约有 10 家基金管理公司正准备在香港推出现货虚拟资产支持的 ETF,其中多达八家已经处于「先进阶段」。

数字资产托管方案提供商 Cobo 联合创始人兼首席执行官毛世行表示,香港需要尽快推出现货虚拟资产 ETF,以「确保该城市在全球加密货币市场保持竞争力,并加强其作为全球金融中心的地位」。

毛世行表示,美国的批准可能会影响其他司法辖区,因为「SEC 是世界上最有影响力和声望的金融监管机构之一」,并补充说该机构的倡议「常常成为其他国家和地区金融监管机构的重要参考」。

The Block 报道称,Animoca Brands 联合创始人兼董事长 Yat Siu 表示,美国 SEC 批准的比特币现货 ETF 对亚洲加密货币市场的影响可能更大。亚洲尤其是年轻一代对资本主义持更开放态度,美国 ETF 批准可能在该地区产生积极影响。香港和新加坡等金融中心可能成为推出现货加密货币 ETF 的下一目标。

香港立法会议员吴杰庄呼吁香港特区政府在美国批准现货比特币 ETF 后,加快现货比特币 ETF 的批准。吴杰庄指出,香港证券及期货事务监察委员会此前表示已准备接受比特币 ETF 的申请:「我希望随着虚拟资产的快速发展和激烈竞争,香港能够尽快在世界上占据一席之地。这将是在亚洲实施相关政策和产品的第一个机会,并巩固香港成为全球虚拟资产中心的机遇。」

亚洲vs.北美:推演Crypto格局,后ETF时代下究竟谁主沉浮?

立法会议员吴杰庄推特发文

展望 Web3 新格局:香港或成亚洲首个现货比特币 ETF 先驱

目前,除美国外,全球共有 8 个市场允许进行现货加密货币 ETF 包括加拿大、德国、瑞士,以及加勒比海的开曼群岛和法国西北海岸附近的泽西等。

随着亚洲现货比特币 ETF 的讨论不断升温,加密交易所 WOO 预测明年行业的中心将从西方转向东方。

WOO 的联合创始人 Jack Tan 表示:「上一个周期主要是由西方推动的,无论是 Saylor 将比特币纳入 Microstrategy 的资产负债表,还是 PayPal 向数百万零售投资者推广各种加密货币。」「然而,我们相信下一个周期将由东方主导,零售参与度将由南韩、香港和日本等主要地区引领。」

区块链研究公司 Chainalysis 亚太区政策负责人 Chengyi Ong 将 2023 年标记为该地区的监管之年,并预计在 2024 年实现实际实施。「在未来一年,我们预计将看到在 2023 年引入的这些监管框架逐渐形成,」

Ong 在与 The Block 分享的声明中说:「这不仅仅局限于新加坡和香港等引领者的司法管辖区,还包括该地区更广泛范围。」「例如,在澳大利亚,正在进行数字资产平台监管的一项持续磋商。在韩国,虚拟资产用户保护法已经通过。到 2024 年,我们将开始看到这些框架实际得到实施,这将需要一些时间。」

从美国批准通过比特币现货 ETF 的进程来看,从美国官员们质疑这些产品是否会加剧加密货币欺诈和市场操纵,美国监管机构在过去十年不断拒绝批准比特币 ETF,到像黑石集团这样的华尔街巨头以及一些对加密行业有利的法院裁决,才最终扭转了比特币 ETF 的在美国局势。

香港作为众多尝试发展数字资产中心的司法辖区之一,在追求自己的本土比特币 ETF 时可能也将会面临类似的情景。但与逆流而行的美国所不同的地方在于 —— 港府正积极拥抱虚拟资产所带来的浪潮。不止于此,随着亚洲各国相关政策的推进,属于 Web3 合规生长的环境条件正在逐步构建与完善之中。新的周期已经来临,东方已蓄势待发,随时准备吹起争取新叙事权的号角。

文章参考:

[ 1 ] https://www.scmp.com/tech/tech-trends/article/3248282/hong-kong-needs-speed-approval-spot-cryptocurrency-exchange-traded-funds-after-us-launch-industry

[2] https://www.theblock.co/post/268582/industry-leaders-see-hong-kong-as-next-bitcoin-etf-hub-amid-us-approval-anticipation

İlgili Okumalar

When the World Cup Collides with Agents: From Web2 to Web3, How Are Wallets Evolving into Agentic Wallets?

World Cup as a Catalyst for Agentic Wallets: From Web2 to Web3 This article explores how the World Cup provides a real-world scenario for observing the evolution of digital wallets from simple asset managers towards "Agentic Wallets"—intelligent, AI-powered interfaces. Using the example of prediction markets like Polymarket, it illustrates how AI Agents can lower the barrier to Web3 interaction. Instead of navigating complex DApps, users can express intent in natural language (e.g., "I think Portugal will win") within platforms like Discord or web pages. The Agent then interprets this intent, finds the relevant market, and seamlessly guides the user through the on-chain transaction via their wallet. The core shift is from wallets as mere "function menus" for signing transactions to "intent interpreters" that understand user goals. The article highlights parallel developments in traditional finance, such as Mastercard's "Agent Pay" and WeChat Pay's AI tests, which focus on granting AI controlled, authorized, and auditable payment capabilities. This underscores a broader trend of AI entering the financial layer. However, the article emphasizes that the primary challenge for Agentic Wallets in Web3 is not automation but establishing clear security boundaries. Unlike traditional systems with chargebacks, on-chain transactions are often irreversible. Therefore, future wallets must ensure users retain ultimate control and comprehension. They need to transparently communicate an Agent's permissions, spending limits, authorized durations, and provide easy ways to pause or revoke access. The World Cup experiments represent early steps toward wallets that are not just applications but ubiquitous, intelligent interfaces that simplify Web3 while keeping users securely in control.

marsbit1 saat önce

When the World Cup Collides with Agents: From Web2 to Web3, How Are Wallets Evolving into Agentic Wallets?

marsbit1 saat önce

Options Don't Work in DeFi? Vitalik Might Not Agree

For years, the prevailing view has been that options struggle to gain traction in DeFi due to complexity, fragmented liquidity, and lack of natural demand compared to products like perpetual futures. However, a recent algorithmic stablecoin design proposed by Vitalik Buterin presents a different perspective, using options not as a standalone trading product, but as foundational infrastructure for other financial instruments. In this design, one unit of ETH is split into two components: a "stable" side (P) that retains value up to a specified strike price, and an "upside" side (N) that captures all appreciation above that strike. Combined, they always equal one ETH, eliminating debt, margin, and liquidation risks inherent in typical collateralized debt position (CDP) stablecoins. The stable component essentially mimics the payoff of a covered call option. To function as a stablecoin, this structure requires continuously rolling deep in-the-money calls, which introduces challenges like rollover slippage, predictable transaction flow vulnerable to front-running, and persistent liquidity needs. A core hurdle is finding consistent buyers for the leveraged ETH upside exposure (N). While it offers leverage without funding rates or liquidation, it must compete with simpler alternatives like direct call options or perpetuals. The system's scalability depends on a sustained demand for this specific form of leverage. The author draws parallels to their experience with Rysk, where earlier versions of DeFi options protocols struggled. The breakthrough came with Rysk V12, which aligns incentives: asset holders generate yield by selling covered calls against their holdings, while market makers efficiently acquire the desired option exposure. This demonstrates that options can find product-market fit when embedded as a risk distribution and pricing engine within structured products, stablecoins, or yield-generating assets, rather than marketed as a complex direct trading instrument. Vitalik's proposal reinforces this architectural approach—using fully collateralized, non-custodial, and physically settled options as a fundamental building block. The real opportunity for options in DeFi may lie not in becoming the next perpetual swap, but in powering the next generation of on-chain financial products.

marsbit1 saat önce

Options Don't Work in DeFi? Vitalik Might Not Agree

marsbit1 saat önce

Conversation with Investor Zheng Di: MicroStrategy's Coin Sale Experiment, AI Economy, and Opportunities in US Stocks

Frontier tech investor Zheng "Didier" Di discusses the recent Bitcoin price drop, the financial strategy shift at MicroStrategy, the AI-driven surge in U.S. stocks, and the evolving role of crypto exchanges. Didier posits that the recent BTC decline stems less from macro factors or ETF outflows, and more from market repricing due to MicroStrategy's new financial structure. Following a wave of preferred stock and debt issuance (STRC, STRZ, etc.), MicroStrategy must now manage cash flow to pay dividends, potentially leading to a market expectation of sustained, small-scale BTC sales to maintain its "per-share bitcoin neutral" principle. Didier views this as a financial "experiment" testing market capacity for such recurring sell pressure, which, while creating near-term structural headwinds, likely avoids a true "death spiral" absent major new external shocks. Shifting to AI, Didier argues that tokens are becoming the new form of labor, with AI models and compute (tokenized inputs) increasingly replacing human roles in execution and middle-management. This drives enterprise efficiency and higher margins, fueling the sustained rally in U.S. semiconductor, data center, and infrastructure stocks. He foresees an emerging "machine economy" where automated agents transact and collaborate on-chain. Regarding crypto exchanges offering U.S. equities, Didier sees this as a natural evolution. With few crypto-native assets generating lasting value, exchanges are pivoting towards real-world assets (RWAs) like stocks and bonds. This doesn't necessarily cannibalize crypto but reflects a maturing industry focusing on blockchain's core utilities: decentralized choice and efficient settlement. He notes that trading logic for crypto natives doesn't need to drastically change, as meme-driven and fundamentalist strategies find analogs in U.S. markets. The "1011 event" (likely referring to a major market crash) severely damaged crypto market liquidity, marking a probable end to the altcoin speculative cycle, with capital flowing towards the deeper liquidity of U.S. markets. For the macro outlook, Didier is cautious about near-term market pressure from potential mega-IPOs (e.g., SpaceX) and the U.S. midterm elections, which could bring more regulatory scrutiny. Long-term, he remains bullish on AI's productivity gains and its convergence with blockchain/Web3, predicting a shift from speculative frenzy to a more institutionalized, industrial phase for the crypto sector.

marsbit2 saat önce

Conversation with Investor Zheng Di: MicroStrategy's Coin Sale Experiment, AI Economy, and Opportunities in US Stocks

marsbit2 saat önce

Playnance’s $GCOIN Lists on KoinBX Amid Rapid Growth in India

Playnance's native token, $GCOIN, has been listed on the cryptocurrency exchange KoinBX as of June 18. This move aims to enhance accessibility for its rapidly growing community, particularly in India, where the blockchain-powered Web3 iGaming ecosystem has gained significant traction. Over 130 partners in Playnance's "Be the Boss" program have built communities engaging thousands of active players in the region. The "Be the Boss" model allows participants to create and manage their own gaming communities, earning rewards tied to community activity. CEO Pini Peter noted India's high engagement, with community leaders successfully building player networks. One partner, Dr. Nicolas, reported earning over $57,000 through the program in recent months, highlighting both the financial rewards and the opportunity to grow an engaged community. $GCOIN serves as the ecosystem's core utility token, incentivizing participation and aligning the interests of players and community leaders ("Bosses"). The listing on KoinBX is part of Playnance's strategy to expand globally, increasing the token's utility and accessibility by combining community ownership, gamified engagement, and blockchain-based incentives. Founded in 2020, Playnance is a Web3 iGaming infrastructure company focused on creating live, non-custodial, on-chain products to onboard mainstream users. It currently processes approximately one million transactions daily, aiming to simplify the user experience while maintaining full on-chain transparency.

TheNewsCrypto3 saat önce

Playnance’s $GCOIN Lists on KoinBX Amid Rapid Growth in India

TheNewsCrypto3 saat önce

İşlemler

Spot
Futures
活动图片