比特币保持在 30,000 美元以上，这 4 种竞争币表现强劲

Tap Chi Bitcoin2023-06-26 tarihinde yayınlandı2023-06-26 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

比特币(BTC) 于 6 月 23 日创下 52 周新高，表明多头正在卷土重来。买家设法保住了本周的大部分利润，表明他们并不急于获利了结。比特币本周上涨 16%，超过标准普尔 500 指数，后者已下跌 1.39%。

不仅是比特币，甚至以太坊（ETH）也显示出开始看涨的迹象。 Glassnode数据显示，过去30天内，交易所的以太币余额大幅下降，创下12.6%的新低。

2022 年 11 月，以太币余额也出现了类似的下降，随后急剧增加 33%。尽管有可能出现反弹，但交易者需要谨慎行事，因为此次交易所余额下降可能是由美国证券交易委员会针对币安和 Coinbase 采取的行动引发的。

复苏不仅限于比特币和以太币。几种竞争币已从各自的低点反弹，显示出较低水平的强劲买盘。这意味著看跌情绪可能正在减弱。

买家的回归是否会开启加密货币的新一轮牛市，还是更高的高点吸收空头的抛售？让我们研究一下可能出现短期上涨的前五种加密货币的图表。

过去四天，比特币交易价格接近 31,000 美元。这表明空头正在捍卫这一水平，但多头尚未放弃。通常，关键阻力位附近的紧密盘整往往会解决上行趋势。

BTC/USDT 日线图 |来源：TradingView

多重移动平均线（28,085 美元）和超买区域的 RSI 表明多头的优势。如果买家将价格推高并维持在 31,000 美元以上，BTC/USDT 货币对可能会开始下一阶段的牛市。 32,400 美元存在阻力，但该水平很可能会被克服。此后，该货币对可以飙升至 40,000 美元。

疲软的第一个迹象将是跌破并收于 29,500 美元下方。如果发生这种情况，该货币对可能会滑向 20 日均线。这仍然是一个值得关注的重要水平，如果它被突破，该货币对可能会跌至 50 日简单多重移动平均线（27,199 美元）。

BTC/USDT 4 小时图 |来源：TradingView

该货币对徘徊在 20 日均线和 31,000 美元之间，但在这个窄幅区间内交易不太可能持续很长时间。突破 31,000-31,500 美元区域可能会开启下一阶段的上升趋势。

相反，如果价格下跌并维持在20日均线下方，则可以触发短线交易者的止损。此后，该货币对可能会跌至 29,500 美元，预计多头将在此进行强有力的防守。跌破该水平可能为跌至 50 日移动平均线打开大门。

过去三天，以太坊面临 1,928 美元的抛售，但多头不愿让位给空头。这表明买家预计阻力位将被突破。

ETH/USDT 日线图 |来源：TradingView

多重移动平均线即将形成看涨交叉，RSI 处于牛市区域，表明多头处于主导地位。如果买家突破 1,928 美元的关口，ETH/USDT 货币对可能会反弹至 2,148 美元至 2,200 美元之间的上方区域。

如果空头想要阻止涨势，他们将不得不迅速将价格拖至多重移动平均线以下。这可能会触及激进多头的止损点，导致价格向 1,700 美元的强劲支撑位回调。

ETH/USDT 4 小时图 |来源：TradingView

四小时图表显示价格徘徊在 1,861 美元至 1,936 美元之间。多重移动平均线正在上升，RSI 处于牛市区域，表明阻力最小的路径是上行。如果买家将价格推高至该区间之上，则该货币对可能会开始向 2,000 美元的心理水平迈进。

相反，如果价格下跌并跌破 1,861 美元的支撑位，短期优势将有利于空头。然后该货币对可能会跌至 50 SMA 并跌破 1,750 美元。

Arbitrum (ARB) 于 6 月 19 日突破 1 美元，随后于 6 月 20 日强劲反弹。这表明最近的突破是一个空头陷阱。

ARB/USDT 日线图 |来源：TradingView

空头正试图阻止 50 日均线（1.12 美元）的反弹，但一个牛市的迹像是多头已成功捍卫 20 日均线（1.07 美元）。这种窄幅区间的交易不太可能持续很长时间，突破可能即将到来。

突破并收盘于 1.18 美元上方可能表明新一轮牛市的开始。 ARB/USDT 货币对可能会首先升至 1.28 美元，然后升至 1.54 美元。如果价格下跌并跌破 1-0.90 美元支撑区域，这种看涨观点将失效。

ARB/USDT 4 小时图 |来源：TradingView

四小时图表显示多头正在努力克服 1.18 美元的障碍。这表明空头在更高水平上活跃。卖家将价格拖至 20 日均线下方，但无法突破 50 日均线。

20 日均线趋于平缓，RSI 接近中点，表明买家和卖家之间处于平衡状态。如果多头将价格推高至 1.18 美元以上，则表明强劲反弹的开始。相反，突破并收盘低于 50 日移动平均线可能会导致价格跌至 1 美元。

VeChain (VET) 于 6 月 23 日被阻力线拒绝，但空头正在努力将价格维持在 50 日移动平均线（0.018 美元）下方。这表明交易者正在低位买入。

每日 VET/USDT 图表 |来源：TradingView

多头将再次尝试将价格推至阻力线上方。如果成功，则表明下跌趋势已经结束。此后，VET/USDT 货币对可能开始上涨至 0.026 美元。

与这一假设相反，如果价格再次从阻力线下跌，则表明空头仍处于控制之中。然后，他们将尝试将该货币对跌破多重移动平均线并挑战 0.013 美元的支撑位。

VET/USDT 4 小时图 |来源：TradingView

4小时图显示，价格已从阻力线反转，但在20均线处找到支撑。这表明市场情绪正在转为牛市，交易者将下跌视为买入机会。

多头将再次尝试将价格推至阻力线上方。如果这样做，该货币对可能会上涨至 0.021 美元。该水平可能再次成为障碍，但如果突破，牛市可能会开始。下行的第一个支撑是 20 日均线，其次是 50 日均线。

Stacks (STX) 于 6 月 20 日飙升至多重移动平均线线之上，预示著潜在的趋势变化。调整期从6月22日开始，但一个牛市的迹像是价格仍高于多重移动平均线。

STX/USDT 每日图表 |来源：TradingView

多重移动平均线形成看涨交叉，RSI 处于牛市区域，表明多头占据上风。如果价格从当前水平回升或从 20 日均线（0.65 美元）反弹，则建议逢低买入。这将使突破 0.89 美元的可能性上升。

如果发生这种情况，STX/USDT 货币对可能会上涨至 1.10 美元，然后上涨至 1.30 美元。如果价格下跌并跌破多重移动平均线，这种牛市的观点将失效。此举将表明空头尚未放弃并将继续逢高抛售。

STX/USDT 4小时图 |来源：TradingView

四小时图显示该货币对正处于修正阶段。空头将价格拖至 20 日均线下方，但多头正在捍卫 0.71 美元的 50% Fib 回撤位。买家必须将价格推至趋势线，才有可能反弹至 0.88 美元。

此外，如果价格从趋势线转向下跌，则表明空头正试图占据上风。跌破并收于 61.8% Fib 回撤位 0.67 美元下方可能表明空头卷土重来。

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