Near稳定币USN即将推出,Terra链TVL占比首次下降

Foresight Research2022-04-11 tarihinde yayınlandı2022-04-11 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

技术上,BTC周线级别向上,在最近的价格反弹后进行盘整,日线级别出现首次回调,预计支撑位在42000美元左右。

市场观点

现货观点

本周BTC小幅回调。技术上,BTC周线级别向上,在最近的价格反弹后进行盘整,日线级别出现首次回调,预计支撑位在42000美元左右。宏观上,美联储会议纪要释放更多鹰派信号,表明5月会议上或加息50个基点(上次会议25个基点),并迅速开始缩减资产负债表的规模。

链上观点

链上数据显示,BTC市场已经出现了持续几周的历史级别的强势积累。尽管短期有鲸鱼出货的传言,但事实上大量BTC继续从交易所净流出(约10万个/月的速度),交易所总余额达到2018年以来的新低,保持健康的趋势。这轮积累主要是由最顶部的69个巨鲸(>1000个BTC)推动的,而散户(<1个BTC)是在卖出。

在2021年12月至今的4个月后,BTC的30日指数滑动平均线重新大于1,表明短期投资者开始盈利。历史上从2017年至今,大部分时间当指数大于1,BTC价格都会进入一轮上涨周期;反之则意味着进入熊市。

期货观点

本周期货市场多空博弈很激烈。主流交易所的BTC多空比偏空,永续资金费率持平。全网BTC合约持仓量创出新高,过去一年,每当全网BTC合约持仓量新高时,如:418、519、712、97、124,市场都会迎来剧烈的波动,并为下一阶段的行情选择方向。

市场热点

NEAR

Near上周完成3.5亿美元融资,TigerGlobal领投。Near最大的亮点就是他的分片协议,每个分片可支持1000TPS,而分片是横向扩容的,10个分片就可达到10000TPS,理论上分片的数量是没有上限的。不过Near太专注于技术方面的突破,营销/品牌不足,生态发展明显落后其他公链。近期Near推出多个借贷协议,TVL大幅增长;并计划4月底推出新的稳定币USN,仿照UST提供约20%的年利率。

FXS

算法稳定币是Crypto世界发展的必经之路。Frax是采用混合算法的稳定币协议,通过抵押USDC和治理代币FXS铸造生成,锚定价格为1美元,利用市场套利机制达到价格稳定的目的。该种模式介于完全算法稳定币与抵押稳定币之间,集二者之长,试图寻求新的稳定币范式。Frax是唯一一个能始终保持稳定的算法稳定币,其市值自21年10月以来增长了600%。近期Terra计算与Frax合作在Curve推出UST-FRAX-USDC-USDT四池,用以替代DAI的三池,是看中Frax在CVX有20%的投票权。Frax这周推出了Frax价格指数(FPI),这是新的本地稳定币,将与去中心化的消费者价格指数(CPI)挂钩。

市场数据

公链总锁仓量情况

本周TVL出现14.95B的下降,下跌幅度为6.34%,整体变动情况与行情端趋同,行情回调后同样出现较大幅度下跌。

各公链TVL占比情况

本周ETH链占比出现较大幅度增长,占比由54.21%提升至55.26%,占比增长1.05%,Terra链在本周出现大幅的下跌,结束了长达两个多月的占比增长,占比下降0.61%,其余各链变化较小。

各链协议锁仓量情况

ETH锁仓量情况

BSC锁仓量情况

Solana锁仓量情况

Avalanche锁仓量情况

Polygon锁仓量情况

Fantom锁仓量情况

Terra锁仓量情况

本周协议情况总结

本周各链TVL总量均出现一定程度的下降,Terra链出现占比倒退的主要制约就是Anchor协议出现了较大衰减;本周表现较好协议有DeversiFi,是基于Validium方式创建的最大的去中心化交易所,Validium运行方式类似于ZKrollup,不同之处在于数据被保存在链下,所以受此影响,DeversiFi的交易速度更快,且无Gas费。其代币DVF短期内并无走出下跌颓势,但TVL已接近前高。

ETHGasfee历史情况

当前链上转账费用为4.74,Uniswap交易费用约为16.18,Opensea的交易费用约为$17.74,本周出现反弹后继续回落至降低水平。

NFT市场交易概览

NFT“聪明的钱”购买排序

本周值得注意的商品是AkiStory,于4月9日以0.07ETH的价格Mint,截至目前,Opensea地板价为0.12,AkiStory是一个包含5,555个化身的集合。AkiStory的目标分为3部分:成为艺术家的启动平台、创建强大的社区资源中心以及成为全球公认的IP品牌。

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