HYPEЦена Hyperliquid

This weekly market analysis updates the outlook for Bitcoin (BTC) and HYPE based on recent price action, largely confirming prior predictions. **Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis:** The report maintains that BTC is in a downtrend but currently within a corrective rebound phase that began from the July 1st low of $57,820. This rebound has reached a key resistance near $64,700. The daily chart shows a developing "descending central zone," suggesting a shift into a consolidation/range-bound phase. The 4-hour chart indicates the rebound may be completing, with proprietary models showing potential short-term topping signals near the current levels. **BTC Trading Strategy (July 13-19):** * **Key Levels:** Resistance is at $64,700, $65,700-$67,300, and $69,500-$71,000. Support lies at $60,950-$62,000, $57,820, and $55,000. * **Mid-term:** The overall structure is bearish. Hold ~20% short positions. Consider increasing shorts to 50% if price rallies to the $65,700-$67,300 zone and shows weakness. * **Short-term:** Use 30% capital for tactical trades. Three scenarios are outlined: 1. **A (Buying Dip):** Consider buying if price drops to $60,950-$62,000 support and shows signs of stabilization. 2. **B (Selling Rally):** Consider shorting if price rallies to the $65,700-$67,300 resistance zone with confirming signals. 3. **C (Buying Higher Low):** Consider buying if, after a breakout above $65,700, a pullback finds support above $57,820. **HYPE Analysis:** HYPE performed as anticipated last week, facing resistance and correcting from the warned level near $72.97 ("Endpoint 61"), with a maximum drop of 9.39%. The current (61-62) correction leg on the 4-hour chart has broken below a previous low ($68.16), damaging the prior upward structure. **HYPE Trading Strategy:** * **Key Levels:** Resistance is at $68-$69.5, $72.97, and $76.94. Support is at $65.5 and $60.5-$61.5. * **Outlook:** The focus is on where the current correction ends and whether any subsequent rebound can surpass the $72.97 resistance. * **Strategy:** Stay观望 if a rebound breaks above $72.97 (near the all-time high). However, if a rebound fails to reach $72.97, consider establishing short positions (up to 30%仓位) with strict stop-losses. **General Risk Management:** The article emphasizes strict trade execution: set initial stop-loss immediately, move stop-loss to breakeven at +1% profit, and then trail it upwards by 1% for every additional 1% gain to lock in profits dynamically. *Disclaimer: The analysis is based on personal technical models for journaling purposes and is not investment advice. Markets are volatile; trade cautiously.*

Hyperliquid's launch of its Pre-IPO Perpetual (IPOP) market and record high Real-World Asset (RWA) open interest have boosted its native token, HYPE. In the last 24 hours, this catalyst drove a 36% surge in daily trading volume to $433 million and increased network open interest to $2.13 billion. The token's price held firmly above key moving averages, with technical indicators like the Stochastic RSI rebounding from oversold levels, suggesting renewed buying pressure. Both fundamental developments and positive technical signals align, potentially providing the momentum needed for HYPE to challenge its previous price highs if the current trading dynamics persist.

Chainlink's LINK token is testing key support levels as market focus shifts from the hype around its Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) to assessing its real-world usage and adoption. While Chainlink maintains a strong position as core crypto infrastructure—providing oracles, data feeds, and automation—the market is increasingly demanding measurable evidence that its services, particularly CCIP, are gaining sustained traction. CCIP is central to Chainlink's long-term value proposition, aiming to solve critical cross-chain messaging and asset transfer challenges for institutions, DeFi, and multi-chain applications. The protocol's narrative is strong, but traders are now looking beyond announcements and integrations to metrics like transaction volume, value transferred, and developer adoption in production environments. Despite its utility, LINK's price action remains influenced by broader altcoin market cycles. The current support test blends technical factors with fundamental questions about CCIP's growth. If LINK holds support alongside clear evidence of increasing CCIP usage, it could reinforce its status as a leading infrastructure play. However, if support fails without corresponding usage growth, trader caution may persist. The key for Chainlink is transitioning CCIP from a promising concept into a widely used standard, turning its established market role into consistent token demand.

Bitcoin fluctuates around the key resistance zone of $65,700-$67,300 after rebounding from the $57,820 low. A break above this area could shift the short-term structure to a stronger bullish logic; otherwise, a daily-level correction may resume. The medium-term outlook remains bearish, with a 20% short position held. Short-term trading involves 30% capital for price differential opportunities, with prepared plans (A: shorting near resistance; B: testing long near $57,820 support) based on model signals. A previous short-term long trade yielded a 3.45% profit. HYPE continues its correction from the $72.97 high, with focus on the $62-$63.5 resistance area. The 4-hour chart analysis suggests the downtrend is not over, and new lows below $58.16 are likely. The strategy is to consider light short positions (under 30% allocation) if price rallies to the $62-$63.5 zone and shows reversal signals, with strict stop-loss discipline. General reminder: Always set initial stop-losses, move them to breakeven at +1% profit, and trail them to lock in gains. Market conditions change rapidly; this analysis is for personal trading log purposes only and not investment advice.

Hyperliquid, a decentralized exchange, is opening its prediction market infrastructure to public deployment following its HIP-4 upgrade. To launch a market, deployers must stake 500,000 HYPE tokens (approx. $30M), which can be slashed if validators rule the market was poorly defined or settled incorrectly. In return, creators can earn up to 50% of the market's trading fees. This "skin in the game" model contrasts with curated platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. The move comes as prediction markets see record volumes, surpassing $50B in June. While Hyperliquid's current share is small ($176M), its permissionless approach could significantly disrupt the sector. The feature will launch first on testnet before moving to mainnet. The article also includes brief market updates: major cryptocurrencies posted weekly gains; prediction markets had a record summer; Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw net inflows; and notable movements occurred in memecoins and NFTs.