Spain–Argentina World Cup Final Drives Nearly $2B Across Prediction Markets
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The Spain–Argentina World Cup final generated approximately $1.977 billion in trading volume across Kalshi and Polymarket, according to the platforms’ settled event pages. Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 after extra time Sunday, with Ferran Torres scoring the winning goal in the 106th minute to secure the country’s second World Cup title.
Kalshi’s Spain–Argentina event displayed $1,893,220,660 in volume after the final, while Polymarket’s corresponding match page reported $83.75 million. The latter’s total covered a collection of final-specific markets rather than a single winner contract. Its event page showed $43.4 million for the match winner, $47.1 million for the regulation-time moneyline, $18.4 million for totals and $8.5 million for spreads, alongside markets involving goals, corners, assists and other match outcomes. The platform’s displayed $83.75 million event total should be used instead of adding the individual categories, which may include overlapping market groupings.
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