Will Bitcoin Cash [BCH] fall to $100? THESE signal
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Bitcoin Cash [$BCH], despite a strong run this year, could face another major decline that drives the asset toward $100, according to new on-chain insight.
Data across the spot and perpetual markets point to building selling pressure, with key indicators flashing the risk of a deeper move lower.
The Aloha on-chain signal, an indicator that has marked the tops and bottoms of asset prices on multiple occasions, shows that neither target has been met for $BCH so far.
At press time, data from Alphractal places $BCH in the middle of that range, between its top and bottom. Joao Wedson, senior analyst and founder of Alphractal, said he would not be surprised by a further $BCH drop despite the asset’s record.
“Even with this impressive track record, I would not be surprised if $BCH still falls further.”
If a drop materializes, the signal indicates the price would likely find a floor near $100—the level that typically marks its bottom—roughly 50% below where it trades now.
Wedson added that nothing guarantees the decline, noting that “no market ever gives certainty.” However, AMBCrypto reviewed the wider spot and derivatives data to gauge how that move could play out.
CryptoQuant data shows near-neutral sentiment across $BCH’s spot and perpetual markets, though two indicators stand out and point to a rising risk of a bearish move. The average whale order size shows large holders firmly in control, averaging 229.96 $BCH, about $44,688 at press time.
That control raises concern because the market’s funding rate has flipped to a negative 0.0028%, suggesting most perpetual-market capital sits in short positions.The spot cumulative volume delta tells a similar story, with selling volume outpacing buying. The spot CVD shows taker sellers dominating the market, a trend that has held for weeks alongside $BCH’s decline.
If the metric sta
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