Melon(MLN) Regular Invest

RAIN's price faces a critical test as it struggles to sustain a recovery from recent lows. After a prolonged downtrend and a sharp drop to $0.004050, the token rebounded to around $0.0075, but this bounce lacks conviction due to fading volume and an inability to break key resistance at $0.009293. The market now faces additional pressure from an upcoming unlock of 38.78 billion RAIN tokens (worth $294.36 million) on April 10th. This event could intensify selling pressure if demand doesn’t absorb the new supply, potentially pushing prices lower. However, strong absorption could signal underlying strength. RAIN remains at a decision point, with its near-term direction hinging on both market sentiment and the token unlock outcome.

After weeks of weak sentiment and price stagnation, Aave V4 has attracted over $10 million in deposits, signaling fresh capital inflow and potential price expansion. Despite trading in a $90-$130 range for a month, indicators suggest a shift: the Stochastic RSI is rebounding from oversold levels, spot market demand is strengthening, and whales are accumulating positions in derivatives markets. This alignment of fundamental growth, capital inflow, and technical strength hints at a possible bullish reversal. A decisive break above resistance could confirm a broader market repricing, driven by rising protocol usage and sustained buyer interest.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) has been trading within an ascending channel, reaching a two-week high of $40.9 and currently priced at $40.4, with 4.7% daily and 14% weekly gains. A newly created whale wallet deposited $5 million into Hyperliquid and purchased 59.2k HYPE worth $2.3 million, with an additional $2.6 million in USDC likely for further purchases. This whale activity and rising long positions, reflected in a Long/Short Ratio of 1.41, indicate strong bullish sentiment. Technical indicators like the RSI at 63 and price holding above key moving averages support continued upward momentum, potentially targeting $50 if resistance at $43 is broken. However, profit-taking has been observed, with $4.9 million in positive netflow, which could trigger a pullback. Key support levels are at $37 and $35.

The market is questioning whether crypto has bottomed, with Bitcoin showing resilience despite a 22.4% Q1 decline. BTC reclaimed the Traders’ Lower Realized Price at $69.4k, flipping it to support, and the Coinbase Premium Index turned positive, indicating stronger U.S. demand. A $30 million leveraged short by a whale linked to Eric Trump failed to trigger panic, as Bitcoin quickly recovered and the Fear and Greed Index remained neutral—historically an accumulation zone. This resilience, combined with institutional inflows from firms like BlackRock, suggests sell pressure is being absorbed. Technical and on-chain signals point to a potential bottom forming, with market confidence improving.

Avalanche's on-chain activity has surged significantly, with daily transactions reaching a yearly high of 3.5 million. This growth is attributed to three key factors: the launch of Grayscale's AVAX staking ETF (GAVA) on Nasdaq, regulatory clarity from the SEC and CFTC classifying AVAX as a digital commodity, and Broadridge bringing proxy voting on-chain. Active addresses have also risen substantially, from 100K to a new floor of 500K-700K, while non-Sybil users increased from 5k to 49k, indicating growth driven by real users rather than bots. Despite this surge in network usage and increased demand from large entities (with whales establishing a demand wall around $8.9-$9.3), AVAX remains in a bearish trend. It has been in a downtrend for the past two weeks, trading below its key moving averages. For a trend reversal, demand needs to drive AVAX above $10; otherwise, it may continue trading sideways in the $8.4-$9.7 range.