Monero price prediction – Why $400 is the critical support for XMR now

ambcryptoPublicado em 2025-12-15Última atualização em 2025-12-15

Resumo

Monero (XMR) experienced a 4.09% decline over the weekend after facing resistance at the $418–$420 level, a key barrier over the past six weeks. While the weekly chart shows a bullish structure and RSI momentum, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicates a bearish divergence, suggesting weakening demand. On the 4-hour chart, both RSI and OBV signal increased selling pressure, making a test of the $395 support likely. Although a bounce from $400 is possible if Bitcoin rallies above $90k, traders are advised to take profits on long positions due to lack of bullish strength. Key support levels to watch are $395, $380, and $360. A sustained XMR uptrend would require stronger buying pressure and a Bitcoin surge above $94k.

Monero [XMR] registered a slight dip of 4.09% over the weekend. Measured from Friday’s high of $419.4, this dip originated around the key resistance of $418 – A level that has been in play over the past six weeks now.

Last week, AMBCrypto pointed out that the $420 and $450 price levels would be the likely bullish targets for XMR. This move was expected after the retest of the $360-area as support. This prediction has since come to pass.

With Monero facing pushback from the first magnetic zone at $420, should traders expect the rally to continue, or a price dip back towards $360?

Is Monero’s bearish divergence a concern?

The weekly chart revealed a bullish swing structure. The dip below $367, the 50% retracement level, was defended, resulting in previous week’s bounce to $419. The RSI also hinted at bullish momentum with a reading of 59.

While the structure and momentum seemed to favor the bulls, the OBV disagreed. The volume indicator showed a bearish divergence with the price action of the past 7 months. The OBV’s lower highs suggested that Monero may be rallying on the back of weakening demand – An unsustainable trend.

On the 4-hour chart, the structure was still bullish, but the technical indicators had begun to turn. The RSI dropped below neutral 50 to signal a bearish momentum shift. The OBV also fell below the previous week’s low, highlighting a hike in selling pressure.

Hence, it appeared likely that the $395-level would be tested next as support. Can bulls hold on though?

The bullish case

Since the structure on the 4-hour chart was bullish, a recovery might be possible. A dip to the psychological $400-level, followed by a Bitcoin [BTC] rally back above $90k, could bolster short-term confidence.

Traders’ call to action- Take profits on long positions

Traders already in long positions can look to take profits. The rejection at $420 confirmed the lack of bullish strength to rally to $450. Such a rally would have set the conditions for a sustained uptrend, but it was not to be.

The evidence at hand showed that a drop below $400 is likely next. However, it is unclear how deep it would go. For now, the clear support levels would be $395, $380, and the $360 demand zone.

Traders can wait for Bitcoin to climb back above $94k before looking to go long.

Final Thoughts

XMR’s OBV made new lows across the selected timeframes, highlighting a distinct lack of buying pressure.
Even if $400 is defended on Monday, traders should be wary of going long too soon. A Bitcoin short-term rally is necessary to boost altcoin confidence.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion

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