Goldman Sachs Flags Oil Price Risks, Will Cryptocurrencies be Affected?

TheNewsCryptoPublicado em 2026-03-20Última atualização em 2026-03-20

Resumo

Goldman Sachs warns that rising oil prices, potentially exceeding $100 a barrel and even the 2008 high of $147.50, pose significant risks for 2026-2027 due to supply shocks from the Middle East conflict. This has raised questions about potential impacts on cryptocurrencies. While major cryptos like BTC and XRP have held steady prices recently, the risk of inflation could change the market dynamic. Analysts offer mixed crypto forecasts; one expert doubts BTC will reach $100,000 soon, while another predicts a potential drop to $10,000. Concurrently, traditional safe-havens gold and silver have seen price declines.

Goldman Sachs has flagged the possibility for risks in 2026 and 2027 if oil prices continue to rise. This stems from the ongoing Middle East conflict with Strait of Hormuz as a critical factor. One question that has now come up is whether it will impact cryptocurrencies. Prices are currently steady; however, there are chances of inflation, which could dramatically change the equation.

Oil Prices, Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs has addressed the timeline as the near term and into 2027, saying that supply shocks could lead to oil prices staying above $100 a barrel. Brent was last seen at around $119 before retreating to $109 a barrel. Goldman Sachs, in a report, has underlined that it may even breach the 2008 ATH of $147.50.

One of the scenarios supporting this downside is the crude for cargoes of Europe and Africa, wherein the price has reached $120. Russian supplies have also recorded a high of around $100.

Dennis Kissler from BOK Financial has said that it could take longer to bring the supply back to the market, given that the logistics could remain a nightmare. Meanwhile, there is still no tentative timeline regarding the conclusion of the Middle East conflict.

Cryptocurrencies, Gold, and Silver

Cryptocurrencies have held their respective steady prices over the last 24 hours. ETH, however, has shed 2.29% of its value. BTC, XRP, and a few more tokens have maintained a decent level on the price chart. The flagship crypto is still above the $70k mark, and the XRP price is strong at $1.45.

Gold and Silver have more attention at the moment. Gold price has slipped below $5k and is now at $4,672.71. While it reflects a daily jump of 0.51%, the price is down by 8.05% in the last 5 days and 4.03% over the last 30 days.

Silver, however, has lost 1.90% in 5 days to reach $71.43 at the time of writing this article.

What’s Next for Crypto Prices?

Specifically for crypto prices, projections are on both sides – up and down. A news report has quoted Bitget Chief Analyst Ryan Lee as highlighting BTC reaching $10k in the near future is highly unlikely. Lee said that it would take an extreme shock for the token to go that far.

Mike McGlone from Bloomberg Intelligence, on the other hand, has said that Bitcoin tokens may fall to $10k. The senior commodity strategist has based this from the institutional perspective, citing that the crypto asset class is dead.

Highlighted Crypto News Today:

Bitcoin Slides After Fed Caution, $70K Emerges as Critical Support

TagscryptocurrenciesGoldman Sachs

Perguntas relacionadas

QWhat potential risk has Goldman Sachs flagged regarding oil prices for 2026 and 2027?

AGoldman Sachs has flagged the possibility of oil prices staying above $100 a barrel due to supply shocks, potentially even breaching the 2008 all-time high of $147.50.

QWhat is the critical factor mentioned that is contributing to the oil price risks?

AThe ongoing Middle East conflict, with the Strait of Hormuz being a critical factor, is contributing to the oil price risks.

QHow have major cryptocurrencies like BTC and XRP performed in the last 24 hours according to the article?

ACryptocurrencies have held steady prices over the last 24 hours. BTC is still above the $70k mark, and XRP is strong at $1.45, though ETH has shed 2.29% of its value.

QWhat are the two contrasting price projections for Bitcoin in the article?

ABitget Chief Analyst Ryan Lee stated that BTC reaching $100,000 in the near future is highly unlikely and would require an extreme shock. Conversely, Mike McGlone from Bloomberg Intelligence suggested Bitcoin may fall to $10,000, citing that the crypto asset class is 'dead' from an institutional perspective.

QWhat is the price movement of Gold and Silver mentioned in the report?

AGold's price has slipped below $5,000 to $4,672.71, reflecting a daily jump of 0.51% but is down 8.05% over the last 5 days. Silver has lost 1.90% in 5 days, reaching $71.43.

Leituras Relacionadas

Five Counterparty Risk Architectures: A Settlement-Layer Methodology for Classifying TradFi Models in Crypto Exchanges

**Summary:** This companion piece reframes the five TradFi-on-crypto exchange architectures, previously classified by "architectural fingerprint," through the lens of counterparty risk. The core question is: whose balance sheet bears the loss first in a stress scenario, and has it historically done so? Each of the five models corresponds to a distinct risk holder with its own documented failure modes. * **Model 1 (Stablecoin-Settled CEX Perpetuals):** Risk is held by the stablecoin issuer (e.g., reserve composition, bank connectivity) and the CEX's own book. History includes Tether's banking disconnections (2017) and reserve misrepresentations (CFTC 2021 Order). * **Model 2 (CFD Brokers):** Risk resides on the broker's balance sheet (B-book model). Regulatory differences (e.g., ESMA's mandatory negative balance protection vs. Mauritius FSC's lack thereof) define loss allocation rules, as seen in the 2015 SNB event (Alpari UK insolvency). * **Model 3 (Off-Chain Custody & Transfer Agent Chain):** Risk lies with the off-chain custodian/platform. User asset recovery depends on Terms of Use and corporate structure, exemplified by the Celsius bankruptcy ruling (2023) where Earn Account assets were deemed property of the estate. * **Model 4 (DEX Perpetual Protocols):** No single balance sheet bears risk. Loss absorption relies on a protocol's insurance fund and Auto-Deleveraging (ADL) mechanism, as demonstrated in the GMX V1 (2022) and dYdX v3 YFI (2023) incidents. * **Model 5 (Regulated CCP - DCM-DCO-FCM):** The most institutionalized model concentrates risk in the Central Counterparty (CCP). However, history shows CCPs can employ non-standard tools under extreme stress, such as mass trade cancellation (LME Nickel, 2022) or enabling negative price settlements (CME WTI, 2020). The report argues that regulatory choices and counterparty risk structures are co-extensive, not in an upstream-downstream relationship. It concludes with five separate observation checklists (not predictions) for monitoring the structural vulnerabilities of each risk model.

marsbitHá 14m

Five Counterparty Risk Architectures: A Settlement-Layer Methodology for Classifying TradFi Models in Crypto Exchanges

marsbitHá 14m

Trading

Spot
Futuros
活动图片