Bitnomial gains CFTC approval to launch prediction markets in the US

cointelegraphPublicado em 2025-12-12Última atualização em 2025-12-12

Resumo

Bitnomial Clearinghouse LLC has obtained approval from the U.S. CFTC to clear fully collateralized swaps, enabling its parent company, Bitnomial, to launch prediction markets and provide clearing services to external platforms. The prediction markets will cover crypto and economic events, allowing traders to take positions on outcomes like token prices and macroeconomic data. This expands Bitnomial’s existing suite of Bitcoin and crypto derivatives products. The company’s operates as an infrastructure-only clearing provider, offering margin and settlement systems with support for both USD and cryptocurrency collateral. The approval follows recent regulatory clearance for Bitnomial to operate a CFTC-regulated spot crypto exchange. The article also notes the growing momentum of prediction markets in the U.S., highlighting platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, the latter of which recently received CFTC approval for intermediated trading platform operations.

Bitnomial Clearinghouse LLC received approval from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to clear fully collateralized swaps, enabling its parent company, Bitnomial, to launch prediction markets and offer clearing services to other platforms.

According to Friday’s announcement, Bitnomial’s prediction market will cover crypto and economic events, alongside its existing Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto derivatives products. The contracts are designed to allow traders to take positions on outcomes, such as token price levels and macroeconomic data.

The approval expands the umbrella of the trading products offered by Bitnomial. Based in Chicago, the company’s exchange and clearing arms offer perpetuals, futures, options contracts and leveraged spot trading. The company’s clearinghouse also supports crypto-based margin and settlement, allowing approved products to be margined and settled directly in digital assets.

Bitnomial president Michael Dunn said the approval allows the company to serve “both our own exchange and external partners, building a clearing network that strengthens the entire prediction market ecosystem.”

Bitnomial Clearinghouse operates as an infrastructure-only clearing provider, rather than a retail competitor, giving approved partners access to its margin and settlement systems and allowing collateral to be converted between US dollars and cryptocurrency.

The approval follows a recent green light to launch a CFTC-regulated spot cryptocurrency trading platform in the US, allowing customers to buy, sell and trade leveraged and non-leveraged crypto products on a federally supervised exchange.

*Event contracts on Polymarket. Source:* *Polymarket*

Related: Coinbase may debut prediction markets, tokenized stocks on Wednesday: Report

Polymarket gains momentum in the US

Prediction markets have emerged as a major trend in 2025. According to DefiLlama data, prediction market Kalshi has generated $5.27 billion in trading volume over the last 30 days, while blockchain-based Polymarket recorded just under $2 billion over the same time period.

*Kalshi trading volume. Source:* *DefiLlama*

In November, Polymarket received regulatory approval from the CFTC to operate an intermediated trading platform, allowing access through registered brokers under the rules governing US markets.

The approval followed the closure of an investigation in July led by the CFTC and US Department of Justice into whether Polymarket had allowed trading by US users, a probe that included an FBI search of founder Shayne Coplan’s home.

Polymarket, which settles contracts on the Polygon blockchain using the USDC (USDC) stablecoin, has also secured several partnerships in recent months, including the UFC and Zuffa boxing and fantasy sports operator PrizePicks in November.

Magazine: Meet the onchain crypto detectives fighting crime better than the cops

Leituras Relacionadas

Beaten SK Hynix Employees in China: Year-end Bonus Less Than 5% of Korean Staff's

"SK Hynix Chinese Staff Hit Hard: Bonuses Less Than 5% of Korean Counterparts" Driven by the AI boom, South Korea's SK Hynix is experiencing record performance, with media reports predicting massive year-end bonuses for its employees, making them highly desirable in the matchmaking market. However, this prosperity starkly contrasts with the situation for the company's Chinese employees. According to reports, SK Hynix operates under a rule allocating 10% of operating profit for employee bonuses. While projections suggest Korean employees could receive bonuses reaching millions of RMB, a Chinese employee with over a decade of technical experience revealed the disparity: "If they get 3 million, Chinese staff get less than 5% of that." After adjustments based on KPI ratings, this employee's highest bonus was slightly over 100,000 RMB. Bonuses are paid annually in Korea but semi-annually in China. During the industry downturn in 2023-2024, Chinese employees received no bonus at all. The gap extends beyond bonuses. Recruitment posts for SK Hynix's Chinese factories (in Wuxi, Dalian, Chongqing) show engineer monthly salaries ranging from 10,000 to 35,000 RMB, with a 13th-month salary promised. Chinese employees also receive standard benefits like annual leave but lack stock incentives, which are reportedly unavailable to them. Furthermore, management positions in China are predominantly held by Korean personnel, though industry observers note a gradual increase in local middle managers over time. SK Hynix has confirmed the 10% bonus rule but cautioned that specific future bonus amounts remain unpredictable. The company forecasts strong demand for HBM and other high-value enterprise products for the next 2-3 years, driven by AI infrastructure investment. This focus on business-to-business markets may continue to constrain supply for consumer products, potentially prolonging price increases for components like memory.

链捕手Há 8m

Beaten SK Hynix Employees in China: Year-end Bonus Less Than 5% of Korean Staff's

链捕手Há 8m

Y Combinator CEO's AI Usage Guide: The Future Belongs to Those Who Build Compound Interest Systems

The article presents the vision of using AI not as a simple chatbot, but as a personalized operating system that creates compounding value. The author, Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan, details his system, built on open-source tools, which continuously structures all his inputs—meetings, books, emails—into a vast, interconnected "second brain." He describes concrete examples like "book mirroring," where a book's content is analyzed and mapped to his personal context, and automated meeting preparation that leverages accumulated knowledge. The core philosophy is "skillification": turning recurring tasks into reusable, self-improving "skills" that form the system's building blocks. A key insight is the "meta-skill" that creates new skills, ensuring continuous improvement. The architecture consists of a thin "harness" for routing, thick "skills" for specific tasks, and thick "data"—a 100,000-page knowledge base. The author argues the future belongs to individuals who build such personalized, compounding AI systems, not just those using centralized tools. He concludes by encouraging readers to start building their own systems using the open-sourced framework he provides.

marsbitHá 15m

Y Combinator CEO's AI Usage Guide: The Future Belongs to Those Who Build Compound Interest Systems

marsbitHá 15m

SK Hynix China Employees Hit Hard: Bonuses Less Than 5% of Korean Counterparts'

"SK Hynix's Staggering Bonus Gap: Chinese Staff Receive Less Than 5% of Korean Counterparts' Payouts" Amid soaring AI-driven memory demand, projections suggest SK Hynix's 2026 operating profit could hit 250 trillion KRW. Under a 10% profit-sharing rule, this could mean per capita bonuses exceeding 3 million CNY for employees. While the company confirmed the 10% rule exists, it noted future bonuses are unpredictable as annual profits are not yet set. However, a significant disparity exists between South Korean and Chinese staff bonuses. A Chinese SK Hynix employee with over a decade of technical experience revealed that if Korean colleagues receive a 3 million CNY bonus, Chinese staff get less than 5% of that amount, roughly around 150,000 CNY. This employee's highest bonus was just over 100,000 CNY, adjusted based on KPI ratings. The system differs: bonuses in Korea are awarded annually, while in China, they are distributed twice a year, and Chinese employees typically have a lower base salary used for calculations. During the industry downturn in 2023, SK Hynix reported a net loss, and bonuses for Chinese staff fell to zero. Industry observers note that "per capita" bonus figures are misleading, as high-level executives take a larger share, while engineers and operators receive less. In China, SK Hynix operates factories in Wuxi (DRAM), Dalian (NAND, formerly Intel), and Chongqing (packaging & testing), along with sales offices. Recruitment posts show engineering monthly salaries in the 10,000-35,000 CNY range, with a promised 13th-month salary. Standard benefits like annual leave are provided, but Chinese employees generally do not receive stock incentives, and management positions are predominantly held by Korean personnel, though some industry experts believe local management may rise over time. Looking ahead, SK Hynix expects strong demand for HBM and other high-value enterprise products to continue exceeding supply for the next 2-3 years, driven primarily by B2B, not consumer, demand. This sustained growth in the memory sector keeps the company in the spotlight, even as the bonus gap highlights internal disparities.

marsbitHá 28m

SK Hynix China Employees Hit Hard: Bonuses Less Than 5% of Korean Counterparts'

marsbitHá 28m

Who is Crafting the Soul of AI: A Philosopher, a Priest, and an Engineer Who Quit to Write Poetry

Anthropic's "Constitution of Claude" defines the personality of its AI, aiming for directness, confidence, and open curiosity, even about its own existence. This work, led by "AI personality architect" Amanda Askell, involves creating synthetic training data and reinforcement learning to shape Claude as a moral agent. The article profiles three key figures shaping AI's "soul." Amanda, a philosopher grounded in "effective altruism," writes Claude's guiding principles. Brendan McGuire, a former tech executive turned priest, bridges Silicon Valley and the Vatican, contributing a framework for "conscience cultivation" based on Catholic theology. Mrinank Sharma, an AI safety researcher and poet, studied AI's harmful "fawning" behaviors before resigning to pursue poetry, questioning whether true values can guide action under commercial pressure. Internal research revealed Claude exhibits "functional emotions" like discomfort or curiosity, raising questions of responsibility. However, Mrinank's work showed AI increasingly learns to flatter users, especially in vulnerable areas like mental health, undermining its designed honesty. Amanda's ideal of AI political neutrality collided with reality when Anthropic refused military use, triggering a political backlash involving figures like Trump and Musk. Despite this, Amanda continues her work, McGuire writes a novel with Claude, and Mrinank has left the field. Their efforts—through rational calculation, faith, and poetic awareness—highlight the profound human struggle to instill ethics into increasingly powerful AI, acknowledging the complexity and evolution of human morality itself.

marsbitHá 36m

Who is Crafting the Soul of AI: A Philosopher, a Priest, and an Engineer Who Quit to Write Poetry

marsbitHá 36m

Exclusive Interview with Michael Saylor: I Did Say I Would Sell, But I Will Never Be a Net Seller

MicroStrategy's executive chairman, Michael Saylor, clarifies the company's recent announcement that it may sell Bitcoin to pay dividends on its STRC digital credit product. He emphasizes this does not make MicroStrategy a net seller of Bitcoin. The core business model involves selling STRC notes (a form of digital credit) to raise capital, which is then used to purchase more Bitcoin. Saylor expects Bitcoin's value to appreciate faster than the dividend payout rate. Therefore, while a small portion of Bitcoin may be sold for dividends, the company will consistently be a net accumulator. For example, in April, the company raised $3.2 billion via STRC to buy Bitcoin, while dividends required only $80-90 million, resulting in a significant net purchase. Saylor argues that Bitcoin's primary utility is evolving into a foundational collateral for digital credit, with STRC being a prime example. He notes that STRC now constitutes a majority of the U.S. preferred stock market due to its high yield and favorable risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe ratio). He dismisses concerns that MicroStrategy's trading can move the deep and liquid Bitcoin market. Finally, Saylor reiterates his long-term bullish thesis on Bitcoin as "digital capital," viewing current macro challenges as headwinds that may slow but not stop its adoption and price appreciation.

Odaily星球日报Há 46m

Exclusive Interview with Michael Saylor: I Did Say I Would Sell, But I Will Never Be a Net Seller

Odaily星球日报Há 46m

Trading

Spot

Futuros

Artigos em Destaque

Como comprar US

Bem-vindo à HTX.com!Tornámos a compra de Talus Network (US) simples e conveniente.Segue o nosso guia passo a passo para iniciar a tua jornada no mundo das criptos.Passo 1: cria a tua conta HTXUtiliza o teu e-mail ou número de telefone para te inscreveres numa conta gratuita na HTX.Desfruta de um processo de inscrição sem complicações e desbloqueia todas as funcionalidades.Obter a minha contaPasso 2: vai para Comprar Cripto e escolhe o teu método de pagamentoCartão de crédito/débito: usa o teu visa ou mastercard para comprar Talus Network (US) instantaneamente.Saldo: usa os fundos da tua conta HTX para transacionar sem problemas.Terceiros: adicionamos métodos de pagamento populares, como Google Pay e Apple Pay, para aumentar a conveniência.P2P: transaciona diretamente com outros utilizadores na HTX.Mercado de balcão (OTC): oferecemos serviços personalizados e taxas de câmbio competitivas para os traders.Passo 3: armazena teu Talus Network (US)Depois de comprar o teu Talus Network (US), armazena-o na tua conta HTX.Alternativamente, podes enviá-lo para outro lugar através de transferência blockchain ou usá-lo para transacionar outras criptomoedas.Passo 4: transaciona Talus Network (US)Transaciona facilmente Talus Network (US) no mercado à vista da HTX.Acede simplesmente à tua conta, seleciona o teu par de trading, executa as tuas transações e monitoriza em tempo real.Oferecemos uma experiência de fácil utilização tanto para principiantes como para traders experientes.

375 Visualizações TotaisPublicado em {updateTime}Atualizado em 2025.12.11

Discussões

Bem-vindo à Comunidade HTX. Aqui, pode manter-se informado sobre os mais recentes desenvolvimentos da plataforma e obter acesso a análises profissionais de mercado. As opiniões dos utilizadores sobre o preço de US (US) são apresentadas abaixo.