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Clearing the Decks

In early January 2026, Bitcoin broke out from a prolonged consolidation near $87k, rising 8.5% to $94.4k, as profit-taking pressure declined significantly. The market now faces overhead supply between $92.1k and $117.4k from recent buyers, creating resistance. A key recovery signal would be a sustained move above the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis of $99.1k. If not, bearish risks may increase. ETF flows are turning positive, futures open interest is rebuilding, and options markets show renewed upside interest with volatility bottoming and skew normalizing. Dealer gamma has flipped short, suggesting less dampening on upward moves. The market has cleared significant legacy positioning, entering 2026 with improved structure and renewed potential for expansion.

insights.glassnode01/07 17:17

Clearing the Decks

insights.glassnode01/07 17:17

AI Models Suggest XRP Could Climb to $15–$22 With BIS Tier-1 Status

Digital Ascension Group CEO Jake Claver suggested that XRP could potentially be recognized by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) as a tier-one banking asset, sparking discussions on its market impact. Currently, Basel regulations classify unbacked cryptocurrencies like XRP, Bitcoin, and Ethereum as high-risk assets, requiring banks to apply significant capital penalties and limiting holdings to 1-2% of tier-one capital. In contrast, tier-one assets include central bank cash, high-rated sovereign debt, and physical gold. A hypothetical AI analysis proposed that if XRP were reclassified as a top-tier asset, reduced capital requirements could drive institutional demand, potentially pushing its price to $15–$22 by 2026. However, such a regulatory shift remains theoretical under current frameworks.

TheNewsCrypto01/07 17:06

AI Models Suggest XRP Could Climb to $15–$22 With BIS Tier-1 Status

TheNewsCrypto01/07 17:06

Ethereum vs Bitcoin: Is the Q1 pattern about to flip in ETH’s favor?

Investors are demonstrating strong risk appetite, with memecoins initially driving momentum. However, a deeper look at Ethereum reveals a different story: a supply shock is forming, highlighted by significant staking activity, with 1.32 million ETH waiting to stake versus only 3k exiting. This indicates a capital rotation into conviction-driven assets rather than pure speculation. Consequently, ETH has outperformed BTC by 2x year-to-date, posting a 9.3% gain. Historically, BTC has outperformed ETH in Q1 since 2022, but current on-chain metrics and Ethereum's strengthening fundamentals—including its expanding institutional footprint in RWA and DeFi—suggest this cycle may break the trend. If momentum continues, ETH could deliver higher returns than BTC by the end of Q1 2026.

ambcrypto01/07 17:01

Ethereum vs Bitcoin: Is the Q1 pattern about to flip in ETH’s favor?

ambcrypto01/07 17:01

XRP enters leverage reset as Binance-led liquidations hit both sides

XRP is undergoing a leverage reset as repeated liquidation waves on Binance wiped out both long and short positions between January 5-7, indicating market instability rather than a clear directional trend. On January 5, short liquidations surged to $24.4M, led by Binance, while long liquidations spiked to $22.9M the following day. Despite the deleveraging, long accounts still represent 69% of total positions, showing crowded and fragile bullish exposure. Derivatives activity, particularly on Binance, continues to dominate short-term price action, with XRP’s movement remaining reactive to futures flows rather than sustained spot demand.

ambcrypto01/07 16:59

XRP enters leverage reset as Binance-led liquidations hit both sides

ambcrypto01/07 16:59

Bitcoin prices rise: Are BTC ETF inflows setting up a $100K move?

Bitcoin has started the week bullishly, breaking and holding above $90,000, signaling stronger demand and improved stability. The Short-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (STH NUPL) is approaching zero, indicating that most short-term holders are near breakeven around $93,450. A decisive break above the $99,000 breakeven level could confirm a bullish continuation toward $100,000. Institutional and retail investors are returning to accumulation. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw significant net inflows of $452.4 million over two days, reversing previous sell-offs. Additionally, over $480 million worth of BTC was withdrawn from exchanges into private wallets, reducing available sell pressure. Globally, rising M2 money supply supports risk assets like Bitcoin, though the impact may take months to materialize. Improved short-term holder sentiment, renewed institutional interest, and favorable macro conditions strengthen the case for further upside in the near to medium term.

ambcrypto01/07 16:02

Bitcoin prices rise: Are BTC ETF inflows setting up a $100K move?

ambcrypto01/07 16:02

U.S. Forces Cross Border to Capture President: Why Did Prediction Market Stage 'Calling a Stag a Horse'?

U.S. forces conducted a cross-border operation in Venezuela on January 3, capturing President Nicolás Maduro—an act widely considered a military invasion under international law. However, on the prediction market Polymarket, the contract "Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?" did not resolve as "Yes" despite the event-driven surge in probability to 80%. Instead, the platform updated its rules post-facto, stating that the operation—including Trump’s remarks about “running Venezuela”—did not meet its specific definition of “invasion.” The probability subsequently dropped to 4%. The article suggests regulatory and insider manipulation: Polymarket, though CFTC-regulated, received investment from Donald Trump Jr. last year. On-chain analysis reveals that a new wallet, funded from an account linked to Trump family associate Steven Witkoff, placed a $30,000 bet on “Maduro leaving office” just hours before the operation, turning it into over $400,000. The piece concludes that Polymarket may be manipulated by political and financial elites using asymmetric information and last-minute rule changes to profit at the expense of ordinary traders.

比推01/07 15:35

U.S. Forces Cross Border to Capture President: Why Did Prediction Market Stage 'Calling a Stag a Horse'?

比推01/07 15:35

Bitcoin Hitting All-Time High Every Year Has ‘Good Odds,’ Says Galaxy Executive, Claims All Institutions Should Buy

A senior Galaxy Digital executive expressed strong optimism about Bitcoin's long-term prospects, stating there are "good odds" it reaches a new all-time high every year despite ongoing volatility. Zac Prince, head of Galaxy One, views Bitcoin as a long-term portfolio asset combining store-of-value characteristics with venture-style upside, driven by structural tailwinds like institutional adoption via ETFs. He believes all institutions should have a Bitcoin allocation, citing its positive impact on portfolios. Prince also discussed Galaxy's new cash yield product offering up to 8% annual yield for accredited investors, backed by the company's balance sheet. Meanwhile, Bitcoin recently broke above $91,483 resistance but remains nearly 30% below its October 2025 all-time high of $126,198, currently trading around $91,905.

ccn.com01/07 15:22

Bitcoin Hitting All-Time High Every Year Has ‘Good Odds,’ Says Galaxy Executive, Claims All Institutions Should Buy

ccn.com01/07 15:22

Freedx Launches Live Crypto Quiz Show Offering $15,000 in Rewards

Freedx, a licensed cryptocurrency exchange, is launching "The Freedx Quiz Show," a live-streamed event where crypto enthusiasts can test their knowledge and win rewards. The first episode premieres on January 9 from 18:00 to 20:00 CET on its official Twitch channel. Verified users can compete for a share of $15,000 in prizes by answering progressive questions correctly. Additionally, $5,000 in rewards will be given away to viewers during the broadcast. Hosted by Chief Strategy Officer Karim Emam, the show aims to combine entertainment with crypto education, offering an interactive experience for the community. Participants must have a registered Freedx account to be eligible for rewards.

TheNewsCrypto01/07 15:21

Freedx Launches Live Crypto Quiz Show Offering $15,000 in Rewards

TheNewsCrypto01/07 15:21

Bitcoin Mining Turns Green as Waste Heat Powers Canadian Agriculture

Canaan, a Bitcoin mining hardware manufacturer, has launched a 3MW green energy project in Manitoba, Canada, to repurpose waste heat from mining operations for agricultural use. The project uses liquid-cooled mining rigs and a closed-loop heat exchange system to capture heat, producing hot water above 75°C to warm tomato greenhouses in cold climates. This initiative reduces heating costs, cuts fossil fuel reliance, and lowers carbon emissions. Approximately 90% of the electricity used is recovered as usable heat at a low cost of $0.035 per kWh. The project demonstrates Bitcoin mining’s potential to support real-world industries sustainably and may be replicated in other cold regions.

TheNewsCrypto01/07 15:05

Bitcoin Mining Turns Green as Waste Heat Powers Canadian Agriculture

TheNewsCrypto01/07 15:05

Bitcoin Investor Behavior Diverges: Whales Buying, Retail Selling

Recent on-chain data from Santiment reveals a divergence in Bitcoin investor behavior. While retail investors (holding less than 0.01 BTC) have been selling, sharks and whales (holding 10 to 10,000 BTC) have been accumulating since December 17th, adding 56,227 BTC ($5.2 billion). This whale accumulation marked a local market bottom. Initially, both groups bought during consolidation, but after Bitcoin's recent price breakout, retail began selling, possibly viewing the rally as a bull trap. Santiment considers this setup "very bullish," as whale buying combined with retail selling historically suggests a higher probability of continued market growth. Bitcoin is currently trading around $92,600, up over 5% in the past week.

bitcoinist01/07 15:05

Bitcoin Investor Behavior Diverges: Whales Buying, Retail Selling

bitcoinist01/07 15:05

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