2026-06-05 Sexta

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US-Iran Negotiations Countdown: What Cards Does Trump Hold?

Summary: On March 23, Trump announced a 5-day suspension of planned strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure, citing "productive dialogue" and "major consensus." However, Iran’s parliament speaker denied any direct talks. This marks the 7th time since 2018 that Trump has threatened Iran but only fully followed through twice—withdrawing from the JCPOA in 2018 and launching "Epic Fury" in February 2026. Brent crude fell 10.92% to around $100 after the delay announcement, reflecting market skepticism. Three scenarios post-deadline are possible: a temporary freeze agreement (oil at $80–90), extended talks (oil at $95–110), or resumed strikes with Hormuz blockade (oil up to $150+). Trump’s demands go far beyond the 2015 nuclear deal, including zero uranium enrichment and halting missile development. Current indirect mediation via Turkey, Egypt, and Pakistan lacks the structure of past multilateral talks. If talks fail, Trump’s options include strikes on power plants or Kharg Island (handling 90% of Iran’s exports), tariffs on nations trading with Iran, and cyber operations. Iran can counter by blocking the Strait of Hormuz (20% of global oil transit) for months and using its remaining missiles. Both sides face a credibility trap—military escalation risks oil price spikes, while repeated delays weaken threat credibility. The 5-day window is part of an ongoing high-stakes cycle.

比推03/24 12:49

US-Iran Negotiations Countdown: What Cards Does Trump Hold?

比推03/24 12:49

Besides the Resolv Hack, This Type of DeFi Vulnerability Has Occurred Four Times Already

An attacker exploited a compromised off-chain signing key in the stablecoin protocol Resolv, minting 80 million USR tokens (pegged to USD) from a $100k–$200k USDC deposit within minutes. The stolen keys allowed unlimited minting due to a design flaw—lacking a minting cap—despite multiple audits. The attacker then converted USR to its wrapped version (wstUSR) and dumped it on DEXs, netting ~11,400 ETH (~$24M). This caused USR to depeg, trading at ~$0.25. The depeg triggered a second-phase crisis: lending markets (including Morpho and Fluid/Instadapp) using wstUSR as collateral relied on hardcoded oracles that priced it near $1 instead of its real market value. Arbitrageurs bought cheap wstUSR, used it as overvalued collateral to borrow stablecoins, and amplified losses. Fluid absorbed over $10M in bad debt; Morpho had 15 vaults exposed. This incident repeats a known DeFi pattern: similar oracle failures occurred with Usual Protocol (Jan 2025), Stream Finance (Nov 2025), and Moonwell (late 2025), where mispriced collateral led to massive bad debt. Critics highlight flawed incentives in the "curator" model (e.g., Gauntlet), where third-party vault managers prioritize high yields without adequate risk controls, and protocols outsource risk management without enforcing safeguards. The root cause is systemic: over-reliance on static oracles for volatile assets and insecure off-chain infrastructure.

marsbit03/24 12:10

Besides the Resolv Hack, This Type of DeFi Vulnerability Has Occurred Four Times Already

marsbit03/24 12:10

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