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Bitcoin Price Bottom Not In Yet, Crypto Founder Calls ‘One Final Dump’

Bitcoin's recent price surge above $73,000 has sparked debate on whether the market has bottomed. However, crypto founder Joao Wedson suggests a "final dump" may still occur. His analysis, based on on-chain data, indicates that the Investor Price has fallen below the Long-Term Holder Realized Price—a signal that historically precedes a cycle bottom. This pattern suggests weaker investors are exiting while stronger hands accumulate, but the process is slow, leading to sideways or downward pressure. Market rallies are likely to fade due to selling pressure from investors seeking to break even. Wedson concludes the current structure resembles a mid-cycle reset rather than a final bottom, favoring gradual accumulation over rapid price expansion.

bitcoinist04/12 02:01

Bitcoin Price Bottom Not In Yet, Crypto Founder Calls ‘One Final Dump’

bitcoinist04/12 02:01

Valuation of $852 Billion, CEO Holds Zero Shares, Shareholders in a Power Struggle: Who Controls OpenAI?

OpenAI, valued at $852 billion after a $122 billion funding round, is navigating immense opportunities and challenges. CEO Sam Altman holds zero equity, earning a minimal salary, which has raised governance concerns, notably during his brief 2023 ouster. Major investors include Microsoft (26.79%), OpenAI Foundation (25.8%), SoftBank (11.66%), Amazon (4.66%), and NVIDIA (3.47%). Their investments are often strategic, aimed at securing AI infrastructure advantages rather than purely financial returns. The company recently transitioned from a non-profit to a for-profit structure, with the OpenAI Foundation retaining significant control. However, oversight concerns persist as board members overlap between the two entities. Internally, tensions exist between Altman, who pushes for a potential IPO as early as Q4 2025, and the CFO, who cautions against rushing due to operational and financial risks. Financially, OpenAI reports $20 billion in monthly revenue (annualized $250 billion) but expects $140 billion in losses this year and $600 billion in compute investments over five years. Its high valuation—34x sales—reflects a bet on achieving AGI, as competition with rivals like Anthropic intensifies. The funding landscape highlights a divide: U.S. tech giants invest via corporate strategic deals, while Chinese AI firms rely on traditional VC funding, creating a significant capital gap. The ultimate question remains whether OpenAI’s vision justifies its historic valuation.

marsbit04/12 01:03

Valuation of $852 Billion, CEO Holds Zero Shares, Shareholders in a Power Struggle: Who Controls OpenAI?

marsbit04/12 01:03

Edge AI Daily Morning Report (April 12)

Edge AI Daily Brief (April 12) **Silicon Valley Front:** CoreWeave expanded partnerships with Meta and Anthropic, reflecting surging AI compute demand. Major cloud providers in China raised prices by 5%-30% due to soaring GPU costs and a 1000x increase in daily token usage since 2024. Anthropic, with annualized revenue exceeding $30B, is exploring in-house chip development to address shortages and signed a 3.5GW TPU deal with Google and Broadcom. The U.S. MATCH Act tightened semiconductor export controls, lowering technology thresholds and threatening global supply chains. ASML and Tokyo Electron saw stock declines. OpenAI addressed a third-party Axios library security issue, requiring macOS app updates. Microsoft restructured Windows Insider channels to simplify testing. Meta, Amazon, and Google invested in small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) to power energy-intensive AI data centers. Mozilla criticized Microsoft for forcing Copilot integration in Windows 11, highlighting broader concerns about user choice and DMA compliance. Microsoft paused new carbon credit purchases due to quality concerns. **Domestic Progress:** MUJI’s Q2 revenue grew 14.8%, while Amazon launched a global smart hub in Shenzhen to streamline cross-border logistics for Chinese sellers, cutting delivery times by up to 7 days. **Open Source Trends:** Meta AI and KAIST proposed "Neural Computers" (NCs), merging computation and memory into learning runtime states. Agent AI is shifting from prediction to world-state modeling, driving edge infrastructure redesign. Quantum computing demonstrated exponential advantages in classical data processing, using under 60 logical qubits to outperform classical machines. France began migrating government systems to Linux to enhance digital sovereignty and reduce U.S. tech reliance. (Source: Edge AI Daily, Guangjiao Guancha)

marsbit04/12 00:52

Edge AI Daily Morning Report (April 12)

marsbit04/12 00:52

Data Puts Bitcoin At Critical Juncture Following $73,000 Reclaim

Bitcoin has reclaimed the $73,000 level, entering a critical decision point after a 10% weekly gain. Analyst Sminston With notes that Bitcoin is trading near the Power Law estimate of the Cost of Production (CoP) floor at $73,234, indicating fair value. A break below this level could trigger a correction to $60,000, or in a worst-case scenario, drop to $53,000 due to panic selling. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's hashrate stabilizes around 873.19 EH/s, failing to sustain a breakout above 1.2 ZH/s. At press time, Bitcoin trades at $72,709.

bitcoinist04/11 23:02

Data Puts Bitcoin At Critical Juncture Following $73,000 Reclaim

bitcoinist04/11 23:02

Ethereum Boom: 284K New Users Flood Network In Q1

In Q1 2026, Ethereum achieved record-breaking transaction volume with 200 million processed—a 43% quarterly increase—while attracting 284,000 new users, according to Artemis. Active addresses surged 82% to 12.6 million, driven largely by reduced transaction costs from Layer-2 scaling solutions. Despite strong on-chain growth and $2 billion in net inflows, ETH’s price remained stagnant, trading between $2,105 and $2,200. Analysts note that capital flow and exchange activity, rather than usage metrics, are now stronger price indicators. Falling exchange reserves suggest reduced selling pressure. The rise in new users is attributed to lower barriers via L2 networks, signaling organic adoption beyond speculation.

bitcoinist04/11 21:31

Ethereum Boom: 284K New Users Flood Network In Q1

bitcoinist04/11 21:31

Bitcoin Millionaires Are Disappearing By The Thousands, And The Figures Are Shocking

The number of Bitcoin millionaire wallets has dropped significantly, with a 14% decline in the first quarter of 2026. The total fell from 148,084 to 127,494 addresses holding at least $1 million, primarily due to Bitcoin's price crash from over $97,000 to as low as $60,000. Despite a recovery to around $72,800, the number has continued to decrease to 119,878, suggesting some holders sold during the rebound. However, wallets holding over $10 million have slightly increased. On-chain data indicates long-term holders are still facing substantial unrealized losses, around 14% of market cap, which is far from historical bear market bottom levels. This, combined with weak spot demand, suggests Bitcoin may not have reached its cycle low yet.

bitcoinist04/11 18:32

Bitcoin Millionaires Are Disappearing By The Thousands, And The Figures Are Shocking

bitcoinist04/11 18:32

Japan’s Crypto Reform Could Reshape Bitcoin Market Structure – Here’s Why

Japan's Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA) reforms could significantly reshape Bitcoin's market structure by attracting institutional and high-net-worth investors, according to analysis from XWIN Research Japan. Rather than increasing the number of investors, the key impact may come from larger capital inflows. The reforms classify cryptocurrencies more like traditional financial products, enhancing transparency and regulatory clarity—lowering barriers for major institutions. Japan’s estimated ¥2,100 trillion in financial assets means even a 0.1% reallocation into Bitcoin could bring roughly $13 billion, potentially driving substantial price gains. This shift emphasizes sustained capital flows over speculation, similar to the effect of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. The full impact depends on whether Japan introduces similar regulated investment vehicles.

bitcoinist04/11 17:01

Japan’s Crypto Reform Could Reshape Bitcoin Market Structure – Here’s Why

bitcoinist04/11 17:01

Android Flaw Leaves 30 Million Crypto Wallets Open To Attack: Microsoft Analysts

Microsoft analysts revealed a critical security flaw in the EngageLab SDK (v4.5.4), leaving over 30 million Android crypto wallets vulnerable to attack. The "intent redirection" vulnerability allowed a malicious app to bypass Android's sandbox and gain read/write access to a wallet's private data, including seed phrases and keys, without any user interaction. A patch (SDK 5.2.1) was released in mid-2025. Users who haven't updated their apps since then are advised to not only update but also move their funds to new wallets with fresh seed phrases, as any unpatched wallet is considered compromised. The flaw also affected over 50 million apps in total.

bitcoinist04/11 15:31

Android Flaw Leaves 30 Million Crypto Wallets Open To Attack: Microsoft Analysts

bitcoinist04/11 15:31

Will Quantum Computing Kill Bitcoin and Mining? Is This Alarmist?

The article addresses the recurring concern that quantum computing could break Bitcoin's encryption and disrupt mining. It references a Google Quantum AI white paper from March 2026, which suggests that the resources needed for a quantum computer to crack Bitcoin’s elliptic curve digital signature algorithm (ECDSA) have been reduced by about 20 times. Under ideal conditions, such an attack could theoretically derive a private key from a public key in roughly 9 minutes using 500,000 physical qubits. However, the threat is not immediate. Current quantum processors, like Google’s Willow (105 qubits) or IBM’s Condor (~1,121 qubits), are far from the scale required. The risk primarily targets transaction signatures—especially during the brief window when a transaction is broadcast but not yet confirmed, or when public keys have been historically exposed. It is estimated there is only a 10% probability of a “quantum break” by 2032. The impact on mining is considered negligible. Research indicates that quantum mining would require astronomically high qubit counts and energy—far exceeding entire national grids—making it economically and physically infeasible. The broader solution lies in post-quantum cryptography (PQC). Standards like ML-DSA and SLH-DSA are being developed, and Bitcoin improvement proposals such as BIP 360 aim to reduce quantum vulnerability by modifying transaction structures to avoid exposing public keys. While quantum computing poses a future risk to all public-key encryption systems—not just Bitcoin—the cryptocurrency ecosystem has time to adapt. Upgrades and migration to quantum-resistant algorithms are underway, ensuring the network evolves ahead of the threat.

marsbit04/11 14:40

Will Quantum Computing Kill Bitcoin and Mining? Is This Alarmist?

marsbit04/11 14:40

Analyst Predicts Ethereum Price Will Rise 400% To $8,000 In 6 Months, And There’s A Pattern Behind It

Crypto analyst Leshka.eth predicts Ethereum (ETH) could surge 400% to reach between $6,000 and $8,000 within the next six months, setting a new all-time high. The forecast is based on a historical pattern observed on the ETH/BTC chart, similar to the one preceding the 2017 bull run when ETH rose over 1,500%. The current pattern began with a multi-year consolidation from 2018 to 2021, followed by an accumulation phase from 2021 to 2026. Due to the extended duration of these phases and increased institutional buying pressure—evidenced by declining exchange reserves—the analyst expects an even more explosive rally this cycle.

bitcoinist04/11 14:32

Analyst Predicts Ethereum Price Will Rise 400% To $8,000 In 6 Months, And There’s A Pattern Behind It

bitcoinist04/11 14:32

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