Will There Be a Next Wave of Web3 Games? Veteran Player's Review: At the Peak of Hype, You Should at Least Sell Half
**Title: Is There Another Wave for Web3 Gaming? A Veteran Player's Review: When Hype Peaks, You Must Exit at Least Half**
**Summary:**
In an interview, veteran player "Earn Money Chicken" shares his journey and reflections on Web3 gaming. He transitioned from being a traditional in-game trader to a Web3 gamer, having profited from games like Mobox, StepN, and Seraph, but also experiencing significant losses.
He defines himself primarily as a player, not an investor, attracted to Web3 games for the blend of earning potential, engaging gameplay, and the satisfaction of researching game mechanics. While he enjoys strategic "gambling" within games, he emphasizes it's not about zero-sum competition with other players.
The interview explores the complex, often adversarial relationship between players, projects, and major investors (whales). The player's experience as a traditional game merchant helped develop his analytical mindset for spotting opportunities, but wasn't directly transferable.
He identifies the core sources of profit in early Web3 gaming as **"era红利" (era-specific红利)** and strategic foresight, not just simple calculations. He warns that the biggest mistake ordinary players make is calculating their return-on-investment (ROI) period at peak hype, as asset and yield depreciation can trap them.
Reflecting on his wins and losses, he now advocates for managing expectations. His most successful exit was from Seraph, where he sold at a relatively good time.
The key problem with current Web3 games, he argues, is that most are not mature games first. A successful Web3 game must primarily be a **good, fun game** with a genuine player base willing to spend money for enjoyment, not just participants seeking profit. The blockchain element should solve problems within that context, not be the primary driver.
While he believes the sector might see another speculative boom (possibly another strong "Ponzi" model attracting hype), a truly mature and sustainable Web3 game likely needs to come from a traditional major game studio. It would leverage a proven IP, mature content, a functional NFT trading system, and attract both traditional and crypto-native players, offering more normalized returns rather than extreme暴利.
His final advice: Newcomers without prior experience should avoid the space now, as it's like searching for a diamond in the rough. For those remaining, the rule is: be brave when assets are low and overlooked, but **when everyone is talking about it (at peak hype), you must sell at least half your holdings.**
marsbit07/02 00:59
