2026-06-30 Terça

Notícias de cripto - Página 1361

Mantenha-se a par do mercado de cripto. Notícias em tempo real, análises, preços, histórias em alta e análise de especialistas — tudo num só lugar.

2025 Year-End Final Exam: Crypto Asset Allocation Guide After the FOMC Decision

Crypto markets face a critical juncture in late 2025. Bitcoin hovers near $90,000, with the Fear & Greed Index at 25 (Extreme Fear) and short-term holder capitulation at historic highs. The December FOMC meeting delivered an expected 25bps rate cut but adopted a hawkish tone, projecting only one more cut in 2026, causing a brief BTC sell-off. However, the Fed also initiated a $40B/month Reserve Management Purchases (RMP) plan, a form of "stealth QE" injecting liquidity. Key themes emerge: - **Macro Impact**: Hawkish guidance creates short-term pressure, but ending QT and launching RMP set the stage for a 2026 liquidity surge, historically bullish for crypto. - **Institutional Shift**: 2025 marked a pivot to institutional dominance. While BTC remains core, portfolios are diversifying into ETH, Solana, stablecoins, and tokenized real-world assets (RWA). Pension and sovereign wealth funds are increasing exposure. - **Historical Pattern & On-Chain Data**: A potential "Santa Low-Chinese New Year Rally" pattern is anticipated due to seasonal liquidity shifts. On-chain metrics signal a likely bottom: massive STH capitulation, declining exchange reserves, and valuation indicators (MVRV Z-Score, Puell Multiple) in historic buy zones. The confluence of extreme fear, strong underlying accumulation signals, and impending macro liquidity shifts presents a strategic entry point for long-term investors, framing the current pullback as a mid-cycle correction within a broader upward trend.

marsbit12/18 07:13

2025 Year-End Final Exam: Crypto Asset Allocation Guide After the FOMC Decision

marsbit12/18 07:13

Why Does Hyperliquid Earn Less Than Coinbase?

Hyperliquid, a decentralized exchange, processes near-Nasdaq-level perpetual trading volumes but captures significantly lower fees compared to centralized platforms like Coinbase and Robinhood. While Hyperliquid cleared $205.6 billion in notional volume over 30 days, it generated only $80.3 million in fees—an effective take rate of ~3.9 bps. In contrast, Coinbase and Robinhood achieve take rates of ~35.5 bps and ~33.5 bps, respectively, by operating as retail brokers that monetize multiple layers: distribution, balances, subscriptions, and order flow. This gap stems from a structural difference: Hyperliquid positions itself as a low-fee *market layer* (like Nasdaq), providing high-throughput execution and清算 infrastructure, while brokers like Coinbase control user relationships and extract value through higher-margin activities. Hyperliquid’s model includes permissionless distributor frontends (Builder Codes) and product deployment (HIP-3), which drive ecosystem growth but also create long-term fee compression risks by outsourcing high-value distribution. To defend its economics, Hyperliquid is taking steps to retain distribution control, integrate HIP-3 markets natively, and introduce balance-driven revenue streams like USDH (a native stablecoin with 50% reserve收益 sharing) and portfolio margin (10% interest fee on borrows). These moves aim to shift its model from pure exchange-level execution toward a hybrid approach that captures broker-like profit pools—without sacrificing its core infrastructure advantages. The key challenge remains balancing open ecosystem growth with tighter economic integration to avoid being commoditized as a wholesale execution venue.

marsbit12/18 07:03

Why Does Hyperliquid Earn Less Than Coinbase?

marsbit12/18 07:03

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