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VanEck Report: Bitcoin Undergoes Structural Rebalancing, Building Momentum for 2026 Rally

VanEck's December "ChainCheck" report indicates Bitcoin is undergoing structural rebalancing, setting the stage for potential growth by 2026. Despite a 9% price drop and high volatility in Q4 2025, improving liquidity and a reset in speculative leverage offer cautious optimism. Digital asset treasuries significantly accumulated Bitcoin, adding 42,000 BTC in December—their largest monthly increase since July—bringing total holdings above 1 million BTC. In contrast, ETF investors reduced exposure, signaling a shift from retail speculation to institutional accumulation. Some treasuries are adopting strategic financing methods, like issuing preferred shares to fund Bitcoin purchases. On-chain data shows mid-term holders (1-5 years) are selling, while long-term holders (>5 years) remain inactive, indicating confidence among seasoned investors. Mining challenges persist, with a 4% drop in hash rate due to regulatory pressures, though historically such declines have preceded price rallies within 90-180 days. VanEck's GEO framework highlights improved liquidity and institutional accumulation offsetting weak on-chain activity. Macro factors like a weaker dollar add complexity, but emerging "everything exchanges" could enhance Bitcoin's utility. Despite reduced cyclical volatility, Bitcoin remains volatile. The current rebalancing phase, marked by institutional accumulation and miner scaling back, may lead to consolidation ahead of a potential Q1 2026 rally.

marsbit12/25 06:09

VanEck Report: Bitcoin Undergoes Structural Rebalancing, Building Momentum for 2026 Rally

marsbit12/25 06:09

Solana stuck in $122–$145 range as whales clash: What’s next for SOL?

Solana (SOL) remained under pressure, trading below a critical short-term support level and confined within a $122–$145 range. Despite ecosystem developments like Coinbase's integration with Base for direct SOL transfers, market sentiment was cautious. Technical indicators showed weak momentum, with RSI near 40 and MACD signaling sustained bearish pressure. On-chain data revealed a clash between whales: one held a large, loss-making long position, while another held a profitable short. Liquidity clusters suggested key downside levels near $121–$122, where long positions were vulnerable, and upside targets near $128–$133. A break below $122 could lead to further declines toward $117, while reclaiming $125 might shift momentum toward $145 resistance.

ambcrypto12/25 06:02

Solana stuck in $122–$145 range as whales clash: What’s next for SOL?

ambcrypto12/25 06:02

A Young Investor Turned a Simple $150 Ozak AI Purchase Into a Four-Figure Portfolio in Weeks — Analysts Say This Is Only the Beginning

A young investor turned a $150 investment in the Ozak AI token presale into a $2,100 portfolio within weeks—a 1,300% return. Currently in its 7th presale phase priced at $0.014, the token has raised over $5.1 million and sold 1.03 billion tokens. Analysts highlight its AI-driven technology, including predictive analytics and multi-agent reasoning systems, as key growth drivers. Strategic partnerships with platforms like Phala and Dex3 further strengthen its ecosystem. With a target listing price of $1, the project could deliver significant returns, positioning Ozak AI as a prominent emerging token in the crypto market.

TheNewsCrypto12/25 05:19

A Young Investor Turned a Simple $150 Ozak AI Purchase Into a Four-Figure Portfolio in Weeks — Analysts Say This Is Only the Beginning

TheNewsCrypto12/25 05:19

Despite a Challenging 2025 Crypto Market, These 12 Players Emerge as Winners

The crypto market faced challenges in 2025, but key winners emerged as the industry gained regulatory clarity and shifted from speculation to financial infrastructure. Major developments include pro-crypto U.S. policies under Trump, including the GENIUS Act and Bitcoin reserve directives. Spot ETFs, led by IBIT, gained massive inflows, with Ethereum, Solana, and XRP ETFs approved. Solana solidified its role as a global liquidity layer, while Ripple resolved its SEC lawsuit and expanded into institutional payments. Real-World Assets (RWA) grew significantly, with tokenization exceeding $20 billion. Stablecoin market cap hit $300 billion, supported by clear regulations. Hong Kong became a top ETP hub, and Base emerged as a key platform for consumer apps. Zcash advanced privacy coin legitimacy, perpetual DEXs gained market share, and prediction markets saw record growth. Early crypto adopters were ultimately validated as institutions like BlackRock entered the space.

marsbit12/25 05:07

Despite a Challenging 2025 Crypto Market, These 12 Players Emerge as Winners

marsbit12/25 05:07

Grayscale’s AVAX ETF enters the final lap – But can it beat VanEck, Bitwise?

The race for the first U.S. spot Avalanche (AVAX) ETF is intensifying as Grayscale Investments filed a second amendment to its S-1 registration statement, moving closer to converting its Avalanche Trust into a spot ETF (ticker: GAVX). The update includes "in-kind" creation and redemption models for better tax efficiency and price tracking, and consolidates governance under a single sponsor. However, Grayscale has not yet disclosed management fees or staking details, adopting a "wait-and-see" approach amid competition. Rivals like VanEck and Bitwise have also filed for AVAX ETFs, with VanEck revealing a competitive 0.34% fee and staking plans. Approval could significantly boost AVAX's institutional adoption and liquidity.

ambcrypto12/25 05:02

Grayscale’s AVAX ETF enters the final lap – But can it beat VanEck, Bitwise?

ambcrypto12/25 05:02

Former FTX Employee Secures $35 Million in Funding, This Time They Built a Special Exchange

Former FTX US President Brett Harrison's fintech firm, Architect Financial Technologies, has raised $35 million in Series A funding at a $187 million valuation. The round was led by MIAX and Tioga Capital, with participation from ARK Invest, Galaxy Ventures, VanEck, and Coinbase Ventures, among others. Founded in January 2023, Architect aims to bridge traditional and digital asset markets by offering brokerage services, trading technology, and post-trade solutions for institutional clients. A key product is AX, a perpetual futures exchange for traditional assets like forex, interest rates, and metals—bypassing strict U.S. crypto regulations. The platform provides API-driven tools, multi-asset brokerage, and compliance with U.S. financial standards. Architect, which operates as a B2B infrastructure provider rather than a crypto exchange, targets hedge funds and asset managers seeking to integrate TradFi and DeFi. Harrison, a Harvard graduate and ex-Jane Street executive, left FTX US in early 2022 before its collapse. Architect’s focus on regulated, institutional-grade technology positions it to capitalize on the convergence of traditional and blockchain-based finance.

marsbit12/25 04:37

Former FTX Employee Secures $35 Million in Funding, This Time They Built a Special Exchange

marsbit12/25 04:37

Ten Individuals Redefining the Power Boundaries of Cryptocurrency in 2025

Ten individuals are redefining the boundaries of power in the cryptocurrency world in 2025, a year marked by institutionalization rather than just a bull market or regulatory compliance. Wall Street capital, sovereign wealth funds, and pension funds have systematically embraced crypto. Bitcoin, propelled by corporate adoption led by Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) and ETF inflows, reached a new high of $126,000. Stablecoins like USDT and USDC became integral to global payment systems. Key figures include: - Donald Trump, who leveraged political influence to launch a personal token and enact crypto-friendly policies, including the GENIUS Act. - Michael Saylor, pioneer of corporate Bitcoin treasury strategy. - Tom Lee, a bridge between Wall Street and crypto, advocating institutional adoption. - CZ (Changpeng Zhao), who regained influence post-pardon, reshaping exchange dynamics and meme coin trends. - Vitalik Buterin, balancing Ethereum’s decentralization ethos with its role as global infrastructure. - Kim Jong-un, whose regime exploited crypto hacking for funding, highlighting geopolitical risks. - Elon Musk, whose actions and holdings significantly sway markets. - Justin Sun, adept at navigating and leveraging regulatory and market systems. - Brian Armstrong, leading Coinbase’s compliance and infrastructure expansion. - Peter Thiel, building a crypto financial empire through strategic investments in infrastructure. 2025 signifies crypto’s transformation from a rebellious alternative to a core component of the global financial system, raising questions about centralization amidst institutional adoption.

深潮12/25 04:26

Ten Individuals Redefining the Power Boundaries of Cryptocurrency in 2025

深潮12/25 04:26

Hyperliquid: Can $912 mln in token burns help HYPE target $40?

Hyperliquid (HYPE) has faced significant selling pressure, dropping from a high of $50 to around $24. To counter this, the Hyper Foundation burned 37 million HYPE tokens (worth over $912 million) after an 85% approval in a governance vote. This reduced the circulating supply by 11-13%, aiming to increase scarcity and ease sell pressure. Exchange outflows have exceeded inflows, suggesting reduced selling pressure. Recent data shows buyers are outpacing sellers for the first time in weeks, indicating potential momentum. If the burn positively impacts the market, HYPE could target $30 or even $40. However, failure may lead to a drop below $20.

ambcrypto12/25 04:02

Hyperliquid: Can $912 mln in token burns help HYPE target $40?

ambcrypto12/25 04:02

RWA Utility Tokens, Stop Kidding Yourselves

The article, written by lawyer Shao Jiadian, critically examines the common claim by RWA (Real World Asset) token projects that their tokens are "utility tokens" rather than securities. The author argues that regulatory bodies globally do not classify assets based on their self-proclaimed labels but on their actual economic function and structure. The core argument is that most so-called "utility RWA tokens" involve users investing money into a common asset pool managed by the project, with the expectation of profits derived from the project's efforts (e.g., dividends, revenue sharing from assets like real estate or equipment). This structure meets the criteria of an "investment contract" and is therefore treated as a security in major jurisdictions like the U.S., EU, Switzerland, and Hong Kong. Two key legal cases are cited as evidence: 1. **DeFiMoney Market (DMM):** Its fixed-yield token and "governance" token were both deemed securities by the SEC because investors' profits came from a managed asset pool. 2. **Unicoin (2025):** An asset-backed token promising returns from real estate and equity was charged by the SEC as an unregistered securities offering and fraud. The author highlights an inherent conflict: utility tokens emphasize *use* and *consumption*, while RWA tokens are fundamentally linked to *assets* and *returns*. Any token offering profit-sharing, dividends, or redeemable cash flows will be viewed as a security by regulators. The conclusion is stark: projects are not avoiding securities laws out of ignorance but to circumvent the stricter requirements of a regulated securities offering. The only viable paths to avoid securities classification are: 1. Purely functional tokens with no profit expectation. 2. Private offerings strictly for accredited investors. 3. Operating under specific regimes like Dubai's VARA that regulate security-like tokens as virtual assets. Ultimately, any RWA token offered to the public that is tradable and promises returns will almost certainly be treated as a security. The choice for projects is not between utility and security labels, but between "long-term compliance" and "short-term gambling."

marsbit12/25 03:13

RWA Utility Tokens, Stop Kidding Yourselves

marsbit12/25 03:13

Powell Becomes Most Popular High-Ranking Official, Trump's Approval Rating Nears Historic Low

A new Gallup poll finds Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is the most popular among 13 U.S. leaders, with a 44% job approval rating, surpassing President Trump, whose approval remains near a historic low at 36%. Powell’s approval cuts across party lines, with support from 46% of Democrats, 34% of Republicans, and 49% of independents. In contrast, Trump’s approval shows sharp partisan polarization—89% among Republicans but near zero among Democrats. The survey, conducted December 1–15, reflects broad public dissatisfaction with national leadership, as no figure approached 50% approval. Powell’s popularity comes despite repeated public criticism from Trump over interest rate policy. Trump is expected to nominate a successor before Powell’s term ends in May.

marsbit12/25 03:12

Powell Becomes Most Popular High-Ranking Official, Trump's Approval Rating Nears Historic Low

marsbit12/25 03:12

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