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Bitcoin’s Santa rally is dead – But 2026 could have something better in store

Bitcoin's anticipated Santa Rally failed to materialize in 2025, with the cryptocurrency struggling near $87,440. Analysts note a fractal pattern similar to the 2021 bull run top, suggesting a potential 34% drop toward $70,000 in January. The market has entered a "mini-Bart" pattern, characterized by a quiet consolidation phase after losing key support. However, this period may be building towards a potential "Supercycle" in 2026, which could bring new all-time highs, extended rallies, and significant altcoin activity. Despite fading social interest and a more mature, institutionally-driven market reducing volatility, the current stagnation may present major opportunities before the next major move.

ambcrypto12/25 23:03

Bitcoin’s Santa rally is dead – But 2026 could have something better in store

ambcrypto12/25 23:03

Crypto Liquidations Topped $150 Billion In 2025, CoinGlass Report Shows

A CoinGlass report on the 2025 crypto derivatives market reveals that total liquidations exceeded $150 billion for the year, averaging $400-500 million daily. The most significant event occurred on October 10th, when Bitcoin’s sharp drop from its all-time high above $126,000 triggered a historic liquidation squeeze. While initially reported at $19 billion, the actual scale likely reached $30-40 billion, with long positions comprising 85-90% of the losses. That day also saw derivatives trading volume surge to $748.3 billion, nearly triple the yearly average of $264.5 billion. Total derivatives volume for 2025 reached $85.70 trillion, reflecting the market’s heavy use of leverage. Bitcoin was trading around $88,200 at the time of reporting.

bitcoinist12/25 23:02

Crypto Liquidations Topped $150 Billion In 2025, CoinGlass Report Shows

bitcoinist12/25 23:02

Why Bitcoin shorts look confident now, even as $90K looms

Despite Bitcoin's potential to reach $90K, short sellers are exhibiting strong confidence due to a significant 23% price drop in Q4 and waning institutional demand. U.S. Spot ETFs have seen consecutive daily net outflows since mid-December, while Open Interest on the CME has fallen below $10 billion for the first time since September 2024, signaling a risk-off shift. The decline is partly attributed to the breakdown of the basis trade, whose yield has dropped from 10% to around 5%, making it less attractive. Analysts project a potential drop below $80K in early 2026 if weak sentiment persists. However, a surge to $90,600 could liquidate $3 billion in leveraged shorts. Options trading indicates a range-bound market with key levels at $85K for a dip and $88K-$90K for a rally.

ambcrypto12/25 22:02

Why Bitcoin shorts look confident now, even as $90K looms

ambcrypto12/25 22:02

ZachXBT flags suspected Trust Wallet extension issue as users report drained funds

Security concerns emerged around the Trust Wallet browser extension on December 25, after blockchain investigator ZachXBT flagged suspicious activity potentially linked to a recent update. Reports suggest a supply-chain compromise may have been introduced in a December 24 update, where newly added code could silently exfiltrate sensitive wallet data—particularly during seed phrase imports—leading to immediate fund draining. Multiple users reported losses, with unverified estimates exceeding $2 million. The malicious code allegedly sent data to a recently registered external domain mimicking Trust Wallet infrastructure. The issue appears limited to the browser extension, with no evidence of mobile app compromise. Trust Wallet has not yet issued an official response or advisory. Researchers emphasize the situation remains under investigation, warning users to avoid importing seed phrases into the extension until clarified. If confirmed, this would represent a significant supply-chain attack.

ambcrypto12/25 21:57

ZachXBT flags suspected Trust Wallet extension issue as users report drained funds

ambcrypto12/25 21:57

Here’s How The Largest XRP Treasury Company Has Fared In 2025

Evernorth's large-scale XRP treasury experiment in 2025 has resulted in significant paper losses, testing institutional crypto strategies. The company accumulated 388.7 million XRP, reaching a peak value of $947 million with a $71 million gain. However, as XRP's price fell from $2.60 to around $1.80, the position dropped below its cost basis, resulting in an unrealized loss of approximately $220–225 million by late December. Despite the drawdown, Evernorth has not sold any assets. The case highlights concentration risks in single-asset crypto treasuries and the divergence between direct holdings and institutional ETF inflows, which continued despite the price decline. The outcome underscores the importance of endurance in long-term crypto investment strategies.

bitcoinist12/25 21:35

Here’s How The Largest XRP Treasury Company Has Fared In 2025

bitcoinist12/25 21:35

Bitcoin options worth $23.7B expire soon – Why traders expect fireworks

Bitcoin has been trading between $85k and $92k in December, but a record $23.7 billion options expiry on December 26th is expected to cause significant price movement. Analysts anticipate a potential 5%-7% swing, with a Max Pain Point at $95,000. Many predict a short-term dip to the $82k-$84k support level, followed by a rally toward $95k or even $100k. However, QCP Capital cautions that this holiday-driven volatility may not be sustainable and could mean-revert as liquidity returns in January.

ambcrypto12/25 21:03

Bitcoin options worth $23.7B expire soon – Why traders expect fireworks

ambcrypto12/25 21:03

Uniswap governance approves UNIfication — clears path for 100M UNI burn and protocol fees

Uniswap governance has approved the UNIfication proposal, a major tokenomics overhaul. The vote passed overwhelmingly on December 25, triggering a one-time burn of 100 million UNI tokens from the treasury and activating protocol-level fees after a two-day timelock. This shifts value capture from the interface to the protocol itself, while Uniswap Labs will discontinue frontend fees. Despite broad support, liquidity providers express concerns that protocol fees may reduce their profitability, potentially leading to liquidity migration or reliance on UNI incentives. Market participants will now monitor post-execution impacts on LP behavior, fee revenue, and overall ecosystem health.

ambcrypto12/25 20:33

Uniswap governance approves UNIfication — clears path for 100M UNI burn and protocol fees

ambcrypto12/25 20:33

Ethereum takes center stage – Liquidity rotates away from Bitcoin

The broader market is entering a cooling phase with balanced sentiment. Liquidation data shows a near-even split between longs and shorts. Bitcoin is losing dominance as perpetual contract activity drops sharply, suggesting capital is rotating into assets with clearer directional potential, particularly Ethereum. ETH contract activity remains steady, indicating sustained trader interest. The ETH/BTC chart shows stronger capital inflows into Ethereum, with a 14% increase in relative performance. Spot market activity also supports a bullish outlook, with significant ETH purchases. Liquidation clusters suggest potential price targets at $3,060 (upside) or $2,800 (downside). Capital continues shifting from Bitcoin to Ethereum in both spot and perpetual markets.

ambcrypto12/25 20:19

Ethereum takes center stage – Liquidity rotates away from Bitcoin

ambcrypto12/25 20:19

Bitcoin Plunged on Christmas Eve, Loses 'Santa Rally', Set for Worst Quarterly Performance in Three Years

Bitcoin experienced a rare flash crash on Binance’s BTC/USD1 trading pair, plummeting over 70% from $87.6k to $24.1k before quickly rebounding. The incident, attributed to thin liquidity in the emerging stablecoin pair, did not affect other major trading pairs. Currently trading around $87k, Bitcoin is down over 7% year-to-date and is on track for its worst quarterly performance since Q2 2022. The flash crash highlights the risks of low-liquidity trading environments, where large orders or technical issues can cause extreme short-term price deviations. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has missed the typical "Santa rally," underperforming compared to traditional assets like the S&P 500 and gold, which hit all-time highs. Gold has surged over 70% this year, while Bitcoin has failed to attract similar safe-haven inflows. Technical factors like falling below the 365-day moving average and significant options expiries have contributed to the stagnation. Persistent selling by long-term holders and ongoing outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs—$175 million and $57 million respectively on December 24—have further dampened momentum. Analysts expect limited movement until January due to year-end risk reduction and tax-related selling.

华尔街日报12/25 20:17

Bitcoin Plunged on Christmas Eve, Loses 'Santa Rally', Set for Worst Quarterly Performance in Three Years

华尔街日报12/25 20:17

Hong Kong tightens crypto rules for dealers and custodians – Details

Hong Kong has introduced a new licensing regime for virtual asset dealers and custodians, completing a key part of its regulatory framework. The rules, modeled on existing securities standards, require strict compliance for handling private keys and executing trades. This move aims to attract institutional investors by ensuring high levels of security and oversight across the ecosystem. The city encourages early engagement with regulators through pre-application discussions. Further regulations for advisors and asset managers are underway. Officials emphasize the framework balances innovation, risk management, and investor protection. Similar regulatory developments are occurring globally, including in Europe and Russia, signaling a broader shift toward a licensed and supervised crypto industry.

ambcrypto12/25 19:28

Hong Kong tightens crypto rules for dealers and custodians – Details

ambcrypto12/25 19:28

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