2026-08-02 Domingo

Notícias de cripto - Página 116

Mantenha-se a par do mercado de cripto. Notícias em tempo real, análises, preços, histórias em alta e análise de especialistas — tudo num só lugar.

Bitcoin Shifts Towards Consolidation, Long-Term Holder Selling Pressure Significantly Eases

Bitcoin's Bottoming Process Shows Signs of Shifting Dynamics Bitcoin's bottom formation is ongoing, but key characteristics are changing. The capitulation selling by long-term holders (LTHs), a primary source of selling pressure this cycle, has begun to cool from its recent peak. Buyers successfully absorbed the selling at the June lows, and price is now recovering to challenge overhead resistance. The market is testing higher resistance levels. Bitcoin reacted more strongly to soft inflation data than major equity indices, signaling sellers may be exhausted and buyers are waiting for a catalyst. Its correlation with stocks is weakening while its inverse relationship with the USD is deepening, suggesting liquidity dynamics are now more influential than risk sentiment. On-chain, price sits between the network's Realized Price (a historical bear market floor) and the Short-Term Holder (STH) cost basis near $69k, a key resistance level where recent buyers break even. LTH profit-taking has largely dried up, and losses now dominate realized on-chain volume—a typical late bear market signal. Crucially, the pace of LTH capitulation has started to decline. Derivatives markets show bearish positions are being unwound, with put/call ratios falling and crash protection costs moderating. However, this derisking hasn't been accompanied by significant spot buying, a missing link for sustained recovery. US spot ETF outflows have slowed but not reversed. In conclusion, foundational elements for a bottom are forming: LTH selling is easing, low-point selling was absorbed, and the market is responding to positive macro cues. The next critical test is whether spot-driven buying can push price through and hold above the STH cost basis near $69k. The follow-through is not yet confirmed.

marsbit07/17 01:51

Bitcoin Shifts Towards Consolidation, Long-Term Holder Selling Pressure Significantly Eases

marsbit07/17 01:51

Defending Champions or New Kings? World Cup Final Sees All AIs Backing the Same Side

Will the 2026 World Cup final see Argentina successfully defend their title or a new champion crowned? AI models from various platforms have made their prediction. The final in Buenos Aires pits defending champions Argentina against a resilient Spanish side that has reached this stage with a record of exceptional defensive solidity, conceding only one goal in seven matches. Argentina's path was dramatically different, filled with late comebacks and narrow victories, including a semi-final win over England secured by late goals assisted by the 39-year-old Lionel Messi. A poignant subplot adds narrative weight: a nearly 20-year-old photo shows a young Messi bathing an infant Lamine Yamal, who is now a 19-year-old key player for Spain, symbolizing a potential passing of the torch. In the semi-finals, most AI models incorrectly predicted a French victory over Spain, with only Google's Gemini correctly picking Spain's advancement and also accurately forecasting Argentina's win over England. For the final, however, all six surveyed AIs—ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek, and Qwen—unanimously predict a Spanish victory. Their reasoning centers on Spain's superior defense, midfield control, and better physical preparedness after a less strenuous knockout stage journey. While consensus favors Spain as champions, five of the six AIs believe the match will be tightly contested, predicting a draw (1-1 or 0-0) within regular time, with Spain's advantage potentially telling in extra time or even a penalty shootout. Only DeepSeek forecasts a clear Spanish victory within 90 minutes. The stage is set for a clash between Argentina's legendary fighting spirit and Spain's machine-like consistency, with artificial intelligence firmly backing the latter to lift the trophy.

Odaily星球日报07/17 01:35

Defending Champions or New Kings? World Cup Final Sees All AIs Backing the Same Side

Odaily星球日报07/17 01:35

From a Loss of 19.2 Billion to a Profit of 7.1 Billion, ChangXin Technology States 'Downturn Cycle Remains a Concern'

Changxin Technology, China's leading domestic DRAM manufacturer, is nearing its IPO on the STAR Market. After reporting significant net losses of -192.25 billion yuan and -90.51 billion yuan in 2023 and 2024 respectively, the company achieved a net profit of 71.44 billion yuan in 2025. This turnaround is attributed to an AI-driven surge in DRAM demand and tight industry supply, leading to a 33.69% increase in average selling prices alongside reduced unit costs. Despite the improved profitability, with gross margins rising from -1.93% in 2023 to 40.99% in 2025, Chairman Zhu Yiming cautions that the strongly cyclical DRAM industry remains vulnerable. Risks include potential macroeconomic shifts, uncertain AI demand, and new capacity expansions that could trigger another downturn. The company still faces high fixed costs, with depreciation reaching 246.8 billion yuan in 2025. Changxin plans to raise 29.5 billion yuan through its IPO to fund technology upgrades, DRAM advancement, and R&D. While its capacity ranks fourth globally, its 7.67% Q4 2025 market share lags behind leaders Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. Analysts note the company must now prove its ability to achieve stable mass production with high yields and low cost-per-bit, especially for advanced products. Its growth currently relies on transitioning from DDR4/LPDDR4X to DDR5/LPDDR5X and increasing domestic substitution. Successfully developing and commercializing high-value AI products like HBM is seen as crucial for future competitiveness and closing the gap with international giants.

marsbit07/17 01:06

From a Loss of 19.2 Billion to a Profit of 7.1 Billion, ChangXin Technology States 'Downturn Cycle Remains a Concern'

marsbit07/17 01:06

Stop Writing Prompts: Claude’s Official Guide to 4 Types of Loops That Automate Work

The article discusses a shift in AI development from manually crafting prompts to designing "loops"—systems where AI agents autonomously perform tasks until a defined stopping condition is triggered. Inspired by figures like Peter Steinberger and Boris Cherny, this approach, termed "loop engineering," focuses on creating self-running systems rather than one-off interactions. Claude Code's team formally defines a loop as an agent repeatedly executing work until a stop condition is met and categorizes four primary loop types based on their stopping mechanisms: 1. **Turn-based loops:** Human-controlled, step-by-step execution for short, discrete tasks. 2. **Goal loops (/goal):** An evaluator model checks outputs against predefined, quantifiable objectives (e.g., a performance score), forcing retries until the goal is met or a limit is reached. 3. **Time loops (/loop and /schedule):** Time-triggered, like cron jobs, for recurring tasks (e.g., daily summaries) or monitoring external systems. 4. **Proactive loops:** Event or time-triggered, fully automated workflows for ongoing, bounded tasks like bug triage, running until manually stopped. The core shift is from designing prompt content to designing the behavioral system—its triggers, verification mechanisms, and termination rules. Effective verification, where the agent can self-check its output, is highlighted as crucial for loop efficiency. The article warns that uncontrolled loops risk high costs and getting stuck in unproductive cycles. It recommends implementing essential "gates": machine-verifiable completion conditions, hard limits on iterations/cost, and stagnation detection. Best practices include using smaller models where possible, testing on small scales first, and automating deterministic parts with scripts. In summary, AI programming is evolving from prompt engineering to system design, where the skill lies in architecting loops that can autonomously execute, validate, and decisively conclude their work.

marsbit07/17 01:06

Stop Writing Prompts: Claude’s Official Guide to 4 Types of Loops That Automate Work

marsbit07/17 01:06

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