2026-04-17 Sexta

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HTX Research's Latest Report Deciphers Pre-Market Trading Ecosystem: How a Hundred-Billion-Dollar Market Reshapes the Starting Line of Web3 Assets

HTX Research, the dedicated research arm of HTX, has released a new report titled "Pre-Market Trading Ecosystem: Mechanism Evolution, Market Structure, and Future Trends Behind a Ten-Billion Scale." The study systematically examines the formation, asset structures, and major models of the pre-market trading ecosystem in crypto, as well as its profound impact on project issuance and exchange systems. The report highlights the emergence of a "1.5-level market" that bridges primary and secondary markets, driven by tightened funding conditions and extended token generation event (TGE) timelines. This pre-market allows early contributions and future expectations to be transformed into tradable instruments. Three core asset structures form this ecosystem: pre-market OTC, spot, and perpetual contracts tied to future token value; tradable points systems linked to airdrop incentives; and NFT-based rights such as whitelist spots and early access passes. Together, these create a multi-layered pre-trading system. HTX has actively explored this space, launching pre-market perpetual contracts for assets like WLFI before their official listings. While pre-market has reached a multi-billion dollar scale with strong growth potential, it also faces challenges including thin liquidity, information asymmetry, and a lack of standardized regulations. Ultimately, pre-market trading is evolving from a grey-area activity into a structured, institutionalized market layer that is reshaping project launches, exchange strategies, and early user participation in crypto.

marsbit12/18 08:57

HTX Research's Latest Report Deciphers Pre-Market Trading Ecosystem: How a Hundred-Billion-Dollar Market Reshapes the Starting Line of Web3 Assets

marsbit12/18 08:57

Kevin Warsh Emerges as a Surprise Contender: How Did an Inflation Hawk Become a Top Candidate for Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor known for his hawkish stance on inflation, has unexpectedly re-emerged as a top contender for the next Fed chair, competing against Trump’s longtime economic advisor Kevin Hassett. President Trump has indicated his next Fed pick will aggressively cut interest rates, a priority for his administration. Warsh brings a blend of Wall Street experience, academic credentials, and prior Fed service during the 2008 financial crisis. Despite his historical skepticism toward quantitative easing and concerns over inflation, Warsh has recently signaled openness to rate cuts, aligning with Trump’s demands. He has proposed a “rate cuts plus balance sheet reduction” strategy to reconcile stimulus with inflation control. Hassett, by contrast, is seen as a loyalist who would more directly implement Trump’s preference for looser monetary policy. However, some within Trump’s circle question his technical competence compared to Warsh’s deeper central banking experience. The competition reflects a broader tension between professional independence and political alignment. Warsh is viewed as more institutionally cautious, while demonstrating recent flexibility, whereas Hassett advocates for a Fed more directly responsive to the White House. The outcome will significantly influence the Fed’s future direction and perceived independence.

marsbit12/18 08:43

Kevin Warsh Emerges as a Surprise Contender: How Did an Inflation Hawk Become a Top Candidate for Fed Chair?

marsbit12/18 08:43

Spot Bitcoin ETFs record $450M inflows in ‘early positioning’ push

Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $457 million in net inflows on Wednesday, the highest single-day intake in over a month. Fidelity’s FBTC led with $391 million, followed by BlackRock’s IBIT with $111 million. Cumulative net inflows now exceed $57 billion, with total assets surpassing $112 billion. Analysts suggest the rebound reflects early macro positioning amid expectations of lower interest rates, as signaled by potential Federal Reserve policy shifts. However, Bitcoin faces resistance due to a large supply cluster between $93,000–$120,000, with 6.7 million BTC currently held at a loss. Market demand remains fragile, and price stability may depend on absorbing sellers above $95,000 or new liquidity entering the market.

cointelegraph12/18 08:34

Spot Bitcoin ETFs record $450M inflows in ‘early positioning’ push

cointelegraph12/18 08:34

Year-End Critical Moment: What the FOMC Decision Means for the Crypto Market

Amid a critical year-end period, Bitcoin hovers around $90,000 with the crypto fear and greed index hitting 25 (extreme fear). The December FOMC meeting delivered an expected 25-basis-point rate cut but adopted a hawkish tone, projecting only one more cut in 2026, causing a brief dip below $90k. However, the Fed also initiated a Reserve Management Purchase (RMP) plan, injecting $40 billion monthly in Treasury liquidity—a form of "stealth QE" that may reshape 2026 market dynamics. On-chain data shows significant capitulation among short-term holders, with realized losses near historic highs, while exchange reserves decline sharply, suggesting accumulation by long-term investors. Seasonal patterns like the "Christmas low-Lunar New Year rally" and increasing institutional adoption—shifting from pure Bitcoin exposure to ETH, altcoins, and tokenized assets—support a potential rebound. Despite short-term volatility and macro uncertainty, indicators like MVRV Z-Score and RHODL Ratio signal a buying opportunity. The convergence of cyclical patterns, improving liquidity, and structural institutional participation frames the current pullback as a mid-cycle adjustment rather than a bear market, offering a strategic entry point for 2026 positioning.

比推12/18 08:24

Year-End Critical Moment: What the FOMC Decision Means for the Crypto Market

比推12/18 08:24

Crypto Scammers Face Heat As SAFE Crypto Act Draws Top US Enforcers

A bipartisan bill introduced in December 2025, the Strengthening Agency Frameworks for Enforcement of Cryptocurrency (SAFE Crypto) Act, aims to combat rising cryptocurrency fraud. The legislation proposes a national task force involving Treasury officials, law enforcement, regulators, and private experts to detect, track, and shut down crypto-related scams in real-time. It also focuses on public education to help consumers identify fraud and provides local police with training and blockchain analytics tools. Industry experts warn that crypto scams have resulted in billions in losses, and proponents argue the bill would close enforcement gaps, potentially disrupting criminal operations using decentralized and cross-border systems.

bitcoinist12/18 08:21

Crypto Scammers Face Heat As SAFE Crypto Act Draws Top US Enforcers

bitcoinist12/18 08:21

Crypto Market Macro Report: Liquidity Repricing Amid Fed Rate Cuts, BOJ Rate Hikes, and the Christmas Holiday

The Federal Reserve's anticipated 25-basis-point rate cut on December 11 did not signal a shift toward monetary easing. Instead, the Fed's hawkish forward guidance—indicating fewer future cuts and internal dissent among policymakers—suggested constrained future policy flexibility. This led to a "sell the news" reaction, with risk assets like U.S. equities and cryptocurrencies declining as markets repriced expectations for liquidity. Simultaneously, the Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates to 0.75% on December 19, a move that threatens the long-standing yen carry trade. Higher Japanese rates could trigger unwinding of global leveraged positions, causing broad-based selling in risk assets, including crypto, due to increased funding costs and currency risk. These events coincide with the Christmas holiday period, when reduced liquidity amplifies market volatility. The convergence of tighter Fed expectations, BOJ tightening, and seasonal illiquidity creates a fragile environment for crypto, prompting a recalibration of risk rather than a trend reversal. Investors should prioritize risk management amid heightened macro uncertainty.

marsbit12/18 08:12

Crypto Market Macro Report: Liquidity Repricing Amid Fed Rate Cuts, BOJ Rate Hikes, and the Christmas Holiday

marsbit12/18 08:12

Grayscale Fund Outlook for 2026: Ten New Investment Opportunities and False Hypes in Crypto

Grayscale's 2026 outlook predicts a structural shift in digital asset investment driven by increased demand for alternative value stores and greater regulatory clarity. This is expected to attract more capital inflows, broaden adoption, and further integrate blockchain into mainstream finance. The report forecasts the end of the "four-year crypto cycle" and anticipates Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs in H1 2026. Key investment themes include: 1. Dollar devaluation boosting demand for assets like BTC and ETH. 2. Regulatory progress supporting adoption. 3. Growth of stablecoins post-GENIUS Act. 4. An inflection point for asset tokenization. 5. The need for privacy solutions as blockchain goes mainstream. 6. Blockchain-based solutions for AI centralization. 7. Accelerated DeFi growth, led by lending. 8. Next-gen infrastructure for mainstream adoption. 9. A focus on sustainable revenue models. 10. The rise of staking as a default for investors. The report identifies quantum computing and Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) as overhyped themes with limited market impact in 2026. The conclusion emphasizes that the era of institutional adoption will create a clear divide between assets with strong fundamentals and regulatory access and those without.

marsbit12/18 07:31

Grayscale Fund Outlook for 2026: Ten New Investment Opportunities and False Hypes in Crypto

marsbit12/18 07:31

A Structural Shift in Bitcoin: BTC’s Network Activity Tells a New Story

Bitcoin is struggling to break out of its bearish structure despite brief rallies, with price action remaining weak. Analysis by Darkfost reveals a structural shift: active Bitcoin addresses have been declining since April 2021, contrasting with historical cycles where bull markets saw expanding on-chain activity. Even during price gains since 2022, active addresses continue to trend lower, now near 680,000—almost half the peak. This suggests a move away from retail-driven participation toward more institutional, concentrated holding via ETFs, custodial services, and exchanges, reducing on-chain transactions. This divergence indicates a transformation in how Bitcoin is held and valued, challenging traditional cycle interpretations.

bitcoinist12/18 07:30

A Structural Shift in Bitcoin: BTC’s Network Activity Tells a New Story

bitcoinist12/18 07:30

Understanding DOGE Through Cyclical Patterns: Is Every Dip a Setup for a Higher Jump?

Examining Dogecoin through cyclical patterns suggests that despite recent subdued price action, key on-chain signals and historical trends indicate the meme coin may be at a critical juncture. DOGE is currently holding above a major support zone around $0.074, a level historically associated with significant buying activity and large transaction volumes. While short-term momentum remains weak, with RSI and MACD indicators still favoring sellers and four-hour charts showing lower highs, the price consolidation reflects a market in wait-and-see mode rather than a confirmed downtrend. The broader structure remains intact. From a macro perspective, Dogecoin's history is characterized by extended periods of accumulation followed by rapid, parabolic advances. This current phase of sideways movement could be building a foundation for a potential powerful upward move later in the cycle, mirroring its past behavior. The immediate outlook hinges on its ability to maintain this key support. A strong, high-volume rebound from this zone would reinforce bullish expectations, while a decisive break below it could trigger a shift in sentiment and a test of lower levels. Dogecoin is currently at a balance point between short-term weakness and its still-valid long-term structure, awaiting a catalyst for its next directional move.

金色财经12/18 07:22

Understanding DOGE Through Cyclical Patterns: Is Every Dip a Setup for a Higher Jump?

金色财经12/18 07:22

Hong Kong Web3 Daily Must-Read: Exchange Launches XRP and SOL Futures Contracts with Spot Pricing

Hong Kong Web3 Daily Digest: CME Launches Cash-Settled XRP and SOL Futures Key developments include Hong Kong’s SFC adding "Hong Kong Stablecoin Exchange" to its alert list for suspicious activities. Animoca Brands plans to acquire up to 15% stake in GROW Digital Wealth. Charles Schwab now supports Solana and Micro Solana futures trading. Regulatory updates feature the UK FCA launching a consultation on new crypto rules, while the SEC warns of potential "financial panopticon" risks with excessive crypto surveillance. Project updates: Cosmos L1 Pryzm announces gradual shutdown by January 2026. New York pension fund increases MSTR holdings to $50M. BiSwap warns of malicious redirects on its website. Russia’s Sberbank tests DeFi products, and SBI Holdings plans a regulated JPY stablecoin. Market insights include Grayscale’s 2026 outlook predicting the end of crypto’s "four-year cycle" and Bitcoin potentially reaching new highs. Analysis also covers policy challenges for Xinjiang mining operations and structural issues hindering non-USD stablecoin growth. Fear & Greed Index sits at 16 (Extreme Fear), with BTC at $87,611. Hong Kong BTC/ETH ETF flows showed zero net subscriptions on Dec 16.

金色财经12/18 07:19

Hong Kong Web3 Daily Must-Read: Exchange Launches XRP and SOL Futures Contracts with Spot Pricing

金色财经12/18 07:19

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