下轮牛市前,有哪些赛道和项目值得关注?

深潮TechFlowPublicado em 2022-12-19Última atualização em 2022-12-19

Resumo

这些赛道和项目,值得在熊市关注和布局。

回顾过去,往往是最意想不到的事情往往表现最好。在上一轮牛市中,在叙事早期进入的人都成功地获得了巨大的收益,那么下一轮牛市呢?以下是一些你应该准备好应对的一些未来叙事:

NFT-Fi

众所周知,NFTs 在上一轮牛市中爆发,成交量达数十亿,散户关注度很高。即使是现在,虽然交易量明显降低,但 NFT 仍在积极交易。假设 NFT 卷土重来,NFT-Fi 应该会更加繁荣。

NFT 金融化(NFT-Fi)项目在某种程度上是行业的直接进步,随着 NFT 市场的回升,可能会看到更多的使用案例。这个板块我正在关注的项目有:Sudoswap、Nftperp、GumBallProtocol。

可持续 / 真实收益

在熊市的深处,人们已经将注意力转移到能够获得可持续和真实收益的协议上。虽然这不是一个具体的叙事,但它仍然是项目与市场契合度的一个很好指标。

能够持续保持盈利的项目将是一个的可靠赌注,因为它们的使用和收入将具有内在价值。我正在关注 GMX、GainsNetwork、Redactedcartel 等项目。

高 Beta ETH 项目

我认为,以太坊作为基础层,在未来几年将继续领先其他 L1s。随着 Celestia、Fuel、Eigenlayer、Arbitrum、zkSync 等更多基础设施 / 模块化解决方案的建立,以太坊将继续占据主导地位。

当谈到这个叙事时,我正在寻找直接受益于以太坊增长的项目。其中一些例如:

流动性质押衍生品

MEV

扩展解决方案

可以利用稳定币增长的项目

稳定币是加密货币和区块链技术的最大用例之一。它们对 DeFi 和其他 dApps 中少数了解它们的人有巨大帮助。另一方面,稳定币解决了许多当前的问题,如传统的支付轨道和更安全的货币的可及性。

寻找稳定币增长的项目很难,但我找到了一些:Frax Finance、Y2k Finance、Reserve Protocol。

创新的 DeFi 项目

很明显,创新的 DeFi 项目会做得很好,但让我对此进行扩展。我的意思是找到在加密货币中创造从 0-1 的项目。

例如:GammaSwapLabs、Eigenlayer、Morpho Labs 等。

期权

在过去的几个月里,去中心化期权得到了大量的炒作。从 Deribit 等中心化交易所的交易量创下新高的事实来看,人们对加密货币期权很感兴趣。

那么,为什么 DeFi 期权还没有大放异彩呢?我的猜测是两个原因:

1. 人们仍然不重视自我监管,从而选择了中心化期权,因为更加方便;

2. 去中心化期权仍然存在流动性、用户体验和可定制性问题。

我甚至不完全确定去中心化期权会像永续平台那样起飞,但是如果 / 当他们有 GMX 这样的项目时,做好准备是很重要的。

我正在关注的有 Lyra Finance、Panoptic、Dopex 等项目。

多链未来

虽然以太坊可能会继续成为最突出的 L1,但其他链也会看到增长。我对为这个未来而建设的项目感兴趣,例如 Synapse Protocol、Tapioca、Cosmos。

Cosmos 特别有趣。当许多链的增长停滞不前时,Cosmos 的生态系统却随着 Celestia 和 Berachain 等有趣的项目不断增长。

Cosmos 绝对值得成为你关注的焦点。

真实世界资产

RWA 是另一个我认为未来有显著增长的领域。因为就目前来说,加密货币和现实世界过于分散,没有太多的重叠,这对于 Web3 的增长来说显然是不行的。

我正在关注 Landxfinance、CytusFinance、Next Factor 等项目。

隐私

隐私可能并不显眼,但当人们发现他们的隐私被侵犯时,就意识到了它的重要。这种说法多年来一直很死板,我认为人们最终会看到链上隐私的价值。

无论这种情况的催化剂是过度的政府监管、链上工具的增长,还是基金意识到他们的交易被追踪,我认为这在某种程度上是不可避免的。

我对像 RAILGUN 和 Aztec network 这样的项目很感兴趣。

L2

Layer 2 在 DeFi 中占据主导地位,这是有充分理由的。他们可以利用以太坊的安全性和去中心化,同时具有可扩展性。随着未来代币的空投和每天新项目的启动,很难不感到兴奋。

虽然我确实认为这种叙事在某种程度上已经走到了尽头,但事实证明 L2 是创新和增长的地方。展望未来,我对 Polygon、Scroll、zksync 推出的一些 ZK-EVM 感到非常兴奋。

加密游戏

在上一轮牛市中,加密货币游戏和「元宇宙」是一个巨大的叙事。其中许多游戏仅凭一个游戏预告片就筹集了数百万美元,这导致了许多骗局和公然的现金掠夺。

由于这个原因,许多人完全放弃了加密游戏。

然而,已经有数十亿美元投资于这些早期阶段的游戏,我们将在未来一年左右开始看到它们的推出。虽然很多会很快消亡,但有些可能会流行起来。

例如:Treasure DAO、illuviumio、Aurory 等。

Criptomoedas em alta

Leituras Relacionadas

The "Impossible Triad" Is Fundamentally a Pseudo-Problem

The article argues that blockchain's fundamental limitation is not the scalability trilemma (decentralization, scalability, security), which has been largely solved, but the lack of **privacy** and, until recently, clear **legitimacy**. Blockchain is described as a slow, expensive, globally shared computer whose core value is censorship resistance and verifiability. While ideal for native digital assets like money (e.g., stablecoins), its default transparency acts as a **tax**, exposing all transactions and enabling MEV extraction, which deters serious institutional capital. Simultaneously, its permissionless nature created regulatory ambiguity. The piece contends that **privacy** is the missing critical feature. It rejects the false choice between total transparency and complete anonymity. Modern cryptography (like zero-knowledge proofs) enables **compliant privacy**: users can prove facts (solvency, KYC status, compliance) without revealing the underlying sensitive data (specific holdings, identities). This preserves auditability for regulators and eliminates the leak of financial information. With recent regulatory progress (e.g., the GENIUS Act) addressing legitimacy, adding default, provably compliant privacy becomes a pure upgrade. It transforms blockchain from a costly, public ledger into a confidential settlement layer, finally bridging the gap to mainstream institutional and individual adoption of on-chain finance.

链捕手Há 4h

The "Impossible Triad" Is Fundamentally a Pseudo-Problem

链捕手Há 4h

Optical Chips: Collective Capacity Expansion

The global optical chip industry is experiencing a massive wave of expansion driven by surging AI data center demand. Major players across the US, Japan, Europe, and China are aggressively investing to ramp up production capacity. In the US, Coherent is expanding its 6-inch Indium Phosphide (InP) semiconductor fab in Texas, supported by CHIPS Act funding and a $2 billion strategic investment from NVIDIA. Lumentum is building a new factory for InP optical devices, and Nokia is scaling its advanced photonic chip packaging and testing capabilities. NVIDIA's investments aim to secure future supply of critical lasers and optical interconnect products for AI infrastructure. Japan's JX Advanced Metals, a leading InP substrate supplier, plans a multi-billion yen investment to increase its capacity 7-10 times, strengthening its grip on the crucial upstream materials market. In Europe, IQE and Tower Semiconductor settled a patent dispute and signed a multi-year InP epitaxial wafer supply agreement, highlighting that next-generation silicon photonics platforms will integrate high-performance InP components. STMicroelectronics and Sivers Semiconductors are also expanding silicon photonics production and partnerships. China is rapidly building out its domestic supply chain. Dongshan Precision's subsidiary, Source Photonics, announced a $12 billion project to expand optical chip and module production. Companies like Sanan Optoelectronics and Yunnan Germanium are scaling up InP chip manufacturing and substrate production, moving towards vertical integration from materials to modules. While debate continues around the exact future architecture—whether CPO (Co-Packaged Optics), NPO, or pluggables will dominate—analysts like Morgan Stanley argue the underlying driver is unchangeable: the explosive growth in bandwidth demand. This will inevitably increase the volume of optical engines, lasers, and related content per GPU, regardless of the final technical path. The competition for "more light" in the AI era has intensified into a global, full-chain capacity race.

marsbitHá 6h

Optical Chips: Collective Capacity Expansion

marsbitHá 6h

Stablecoins Finally Find Real Yield: An In-Depth Look at On-Chain Reinsurance Re | A Conversation with Re Founder Karan Saroya

Stablecoin Real Yield Found: A Deep Dive into On-Chain Reinsurance with Re's Karan Saroya As stablecoin supply exceeds $170 billion, the search for sustainable, non-speculative yield intensifies. Re, an on-chain reinsurance platform, provides an answer: connecting stablecoin capital to the trillion-dollar traditional reinsurance market. Re operates as a regulated reinsurer, accepting stablecoin deposits as collateral to back US insurance companies. These insurers pay premiums, generating yield that flows back to on-chain depositors. Currently supporting 35 insurers and underwriting $500 million, Re projects scaling to over $1 billion soon. Key insights from a Bankless podcast with founder Karan Saroya and investor Avichal of Electric Capital: 1. **Uncorrelated, Real-World Yield:** Re offers stablecoin holders access to reinsurance returns (targeting 12-14%+), an asset class entirely separate from crypto or equity markets. 2. **Operational Efficiency via Smart Contracts:** Re replaces traditional, labor-intensive capital fundraising with smart contracts, allowing a ~12-person team to compete with industry giants. 3. **Regulatory Leverage:** For every $1 of collateral, regulations allow backing $5-7 in written premiums. This leverage amplifies returns from the underlying risk-free rate. 4. **DeFi Integration:** Depositors receive receipt tokens, which can be used in protocols like Morpho for "looping," potentially pushing yields to 18-20%+. 5. **The "DeFi Mullet" Model:** A compliant front-end (regulated reinsurer) paired with a decentralized back-end (smart contracts, DeFi capital markets). 6. **RE Governance Token:** Modeled on Lloyd's of London, the token governs the central capital pool's allocation, counterparty acceptance, and parameters. 7. **Real Economic Impact:** Capital funds real-world productivity (factories, clinics, businesses) via insurance, moving beyond crypto's internal loops. The discussion highlights a pivotal moment: DeFi's supply-side infrastructure is now met by real demand for productive yield, potentially kickstarting a flywheel where vast on-chain stablecoin capital seeks these real-world returns.

链捕手Há 8h

Stablecoins Finally Find Real Yield: An In-Depth Look at On-Chain Reinsurance Re | A Conversation with Re Founder Karan Saroya

链捕手Há 8h

1996 or 1999? Walsh's First Test is 'How to View AI'

"1996 or 1999? Wall's First Big Test Is 'How to View AI'" Federal Reserve Chairman Wall's initial challenge is not whether to raise or cut rates, but a more fundamental judgment: what kind of boom is the current AI boom? This will determine the Fed's policy path and define his legacy. Economics is split between two opposing views, according to reporter Nick Timiraos. One sees imminent productivity gains that will increase supply and cool inflation, allowing the Fed to hold steady. The other argues that while productivity benefits are distant, demand shocks are here now, and waiting for data confirmation risks missing the intervention window, forcing sharper rate hikes later. Wall has signaled a leaning toward the first view, echoing 1996-era Alan Greenspan, who embraced strong, productivity-driven growth without fear of inflation. However, Wall faces a different macro environment than Greenspan did, with tariff pressures, expanding fiscal deficits, and diminishing globalization benefits, which could force more significant inflation pressures even if AI benefits materialize. Wall's logic, expressed before taking office, is that AI-driven productivity gains won't show in official data for years. If the Fed waits for confirmation, it might mistakenly tighten policy and choke off the very growth that could suppress inflation. This argues for using forward-looking narratives over lagging data. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee presents a key counter-argument. He distinguishes between expected and unexpected productivity booms. A widely anticipated boom, like the current AI wave, can cause people to spend future wealth gains in advance, overheating the economy before productivity actually rises, thus requiring preemptive rate hikes. He cites rising costs for AI data centers as evidence of such overheating. Fed Governor Christopher Waller offers a rebuttal to Goolsbee, noting the "expected spending" mechanism only works if people can borrow against future income, which many households cannot do due to borrowing constraints. Wall also faces a paradox related to his desire to reduce the Fed's use of "forward guidance" (pre-announcing policy moves). This practice was established in 1999 when Greenspan began signaling hikes to avoid market shocks. If the economy follows a less optimistic path, Wall may be forced to choose between using the guidance he wants to abolish or risking market volatility by staying silent. The ultimate question defining Wall's first major test remains: Is this 1996 or 1999?

marsbitHá 9h

1996 or 1999? Walsh's First Test is 'How to View AI'

marsbitHá 9h

Trading

Spot
Futuros

Artigos em Destaque

Como comprar ATOM

Bem-vindo à HTX.com!Tornámos a compra de Cosmos (ATOM) simples e conveniente.Segue o nosso guia passo a passo para iniciar a tua jornada no mundo das criptos.Passo 1: cria a tua conta HTXUtiliza o teu e-mail ou número de telefone para te inscreveres numa conta gratuita na HTX.Desfruta de um processo de inscrição sem complicações e desbloqueia todas as funcionalidades.Obter a minha contaPasso 2: vai para Comprar Cripto e escolhe o teu método de pagamentoCartão de crédito/débito: usa o teu visa ou mastercard para comprar Cosmos (ATOM) instantaneamente.Saldo: usa os fundos da tua conta HTX para transacionar sem problemas.Terceiros: adicionamos métodos de pagamento populares, como Google Pay e Apple Pay, para aumentar a conveniência.P2P: transaciona diretamente com outros utilizadores na HTX.Mercado de balcão (OTC): oferecemos serviços personalizados e taxas de câmbio competitivas para os traders.Passo 3: armazena teu Cosmos (ATOM)Depois de comprar o teu Cosmos (ATOM), armazena-o na tua conta HTX.Alternativamente, podes enviá-lo para outro lugar através de transferência blockchain ou usá-lo para transacionar outras criptomoedas.Passo 4: transaciona Cosmos (ATOM)Transaciona facilmente Cosmos (ATOM) no mercado à vista da HTX.Acede simplesmente à tua conta, seleciona o teu par de trading, executa as tuas transações e monitoriza em tempo real.Oferecemos uma experiência de fácil utilização tanto para principiantes como para traders experientes.

368 Visualizações TotaisPublicado em {updateTime}Atualizado em 2026.06.02

Como comprar ATOM

Discussões

Bem-vindo à Comunidade HTX. Aqui, pode manter-se informado sobre os mais recentes desenvolvimentos da plataforma e obter acesso a análises profissionais de mercado. As opiniões dos utilizadores sobre o preço de ATOM (ATOM) são apresentadas abaixo.

活动图片