【重磅解读】BTC构筑短线底部，钱包概念TWT趁机炒作

火币资讯Publicado em 2022-11-14Última atualização em 2022-11-15

Resumo

BTC融资利率较低，短线抛压较重。

1、BTC仍在筑底阶段

随着BTC价格短期内的波动空间较低，价格在反弹结束后持续缩量回调。30分钟的K线图小时，BTC在触及1.6万美元点位以后出现反弹迹象。近期利空消息引发了抛售潮，但是投资者低吸迹象增加，对价格的支撑效果也在提升。因此，不仅需要关注融资利率下行带来的抛压影响，还要关注长期投资者入市交易的买入力度。

2、BTC多头爆仓数量可控

BTC近期虽然波动强度较大，但是对多头的爆仓影响并不大，数值上看，爆仓10598枚BTC的峰值出现在11月8日。本次爆仓规模与2021年相比降低，相比2021年5月19日单日爆仓50377枚BTC要低许多。同时，BTC单日爆仓规模也为出现年内新高。这表明合约投资者的仓位减少，BTC价格短线回撤风险仍然可控。

3、BTC融资利率仍然低迷

从11月9日开始，BTC的融资利率回落到-0.03。近期11月9日到11月13日的价格走势相对弱势，或与投资者的主动抛售有关。由于低价买入BTC的难度较低，但是买盘还未主动拉升BTC价格，使得BTC调整步伐仍然没有结束迹象。短期来看，BTC倾向于在1.6万美元附近构筑局部支撑。压力位方面，可关注斐波那契78.6%对应的17246美元。

4、ETH融资利率同样下挫

ETH年内融资利率已经第二次大幅度回落，前期融资利率下跌期间峰值达到了9月15日的-0.199。本次融资利率再次回落，日内融资利率在多个交易日维持-0.04以下的位置。融资利率较低，ETH价格可能会维持近期调整态势。本次底部构筑仍然还有较大不确定性。因此，低吸交易仍然是首选的，支撑可关注斐波那契78.6%对应的1106美元。

5、 TWT飙升

在加密货币交易所FTX 倒闭以及随后的黑客攻击从其钱包中耗尽价值 6 亿美元的硬币之后，投资者重新考虑如何保护其资产安全。Trust Wallet Token (TWT) 是钱包的官方代币，允许持有者参与与应用程序功能和更新相关的决策，短线受到资金关注。

30分钟K线图显示，TWT明显放量上涨，价格回升期间交易量显著放大，表明资金推动了TWT飙升。但是高位价格震荡走势出现。从TWT价格上涨的背景来看，风险事件是推动因素之一，因此交易方面不必过度追高。价格短期翻倍以后，更多需要注意调整风险。

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