Polymarket在印尼遭禁,全球打击行动日益加剧

bitcoinistPublicado em 2026-05-26Última atualização em 2026-05-26

Resumo

在全球加强对线上赌博及预测市场监管的背景下,印度尼西亚近日宣布禁止访问预测市场平台Polymarket,起因是该平台上关于总统普拉博沃·苏比安托任期可能提前结束的投注在社交媒体上广泛传播并引发关注。 印尼通信与数字事务部在官方声明中表示,此举旨在保护公众,尤其是年轻一代和数字空间用户。该部数字空间监管总干事亚历山大·萨巴尔强调,即使以“预测市场”为名并使用区块链或加密资产,只要涉及对事件结果进行真实货币投注,即被视为赌博,违反印尼法律。当局将屏蔽其他涉嫌“便利线上赌博行为”的预测市场服务,并追查与之相关或进行推广的社交媒体账号。 印尼当局指出,此决定与全球其他司法管辖区的措施一致。过去两年,中国台湾、泰国、中国大陆和印度等地已依据当地法律对Polymarket实施限制,新加坡、哥伦比亚和印度则正式屏蔽了该平台。今年三月,阿根廷当局在全国范围内封锁了Polymarket,理由是其作为无照线上赌博平台运营;巴西央行也宣布禁止包括Polymarket和Kalshi在内的预测市场和投注平台,称其未遵守当地衍生品交易规定且引发投资者保护和市场诚信担忧。 在美国,预测市场同样面临审查。众议员詹姆斯·科默近日对Polymarket和Kalshi启动正式调查,起因是一系列涉及美国机密军事行动和地缘政治事件的可疑交易。他已致信两家公司首席执行官,要求说明平台如何检测和防止内幕交易、验证用户身份以及执行对受限地区用户的禁令。同日,这两家预测市场巨头在内华达州和华盛顿州试图阻止针对其的赌博相关执法行动也未获成功。

在全球打击在线赌博和预测市场的浪潮中,在一条关于总统任期的投注引起网络关注后,印度尼西亚已成为对Polymarket及类似平台实施限制的司法管辖区之一。

印度尼西亚封锁对Polymarket的访问

印度尼西亚最近封锁了预测市场平台Polymarket的访问,此前一项关于普拉博沃·苏比安托总统任期提前结束的投注上周在社交媒体上广泛传播并引起了关注。

通信和信息部在一份官方声明中宣布了这项禁令,并确认此举旨在保护公众,特别是年轻一代和数字空间用户。

数字空间监管总局局长Alexander Sabar确认,那些促进对事件结果进行真钱投注的平台,即使被包装成“预测市场”并使用区块链技术或加密资产,也被视为赌博。

“政府不会容忍印度尼西亚境内的任何形式的在线赌博。像Polymarket这样的活动涉及对结果不确定的事件进行金钱投注和投机,这违反了印度尼西亚的适用法律,” Alex强调说。

因此,当局将封锁对其他涉嫌“便利在线赌博行为”的预测市场服务的访问。此外,政府正在追查与Polymarket有关联或宣传Polymarket的社交媒体账户,以确保禁令在其他平台上得到执行。

该部还敦促公众不要访问或参与基于数字投机的赌博活动,包括那些使用加密货币的活动,因为这些活动可能违反印度尼西亚法律并给用户造成经济损失。

全球监管压力加大

印度尼西亚当局指出,他们限制对Polymarket访问的决定与其他全球法律框架一致。正如公告所述,其他几个司法管辖区也对Polymarket和其他预测市场平台实施了限制措施,认为它们类似于在线赌博行为。

过去两年,台湾、泰国、中国和印度已根据各自的当地法律对Polymarket实施了限制,而新加坡、哥伦比亚和印度则正式封锁了该平台。

今年三月,阿根廷当局在Polymarket预测通胀数据后,下令在全国范围内封锁该平台。据Bitcoinist报道,布宜诺斯艾利斯一家法院指示互联网服务提供商、谷歌和苹果封锁对该平台的访问,认为其作为未经许可的在线赌博平台运营。

与此同时,巴西中央银行在三月份宣布禁止预测市场和投注平台,包括Polymarket和Kalshi。当局确认这些平台未能遵守当地关于衍生品交易的规定,并引发了对其投资者保护和市场诚信的担忧。

预测市场在美国也面临审查,政策制定者和州级当局对该行业施加压力。上周,众议院议员詹姆斯·科默在对一系列与美国机密军事行动和关键地缘政治事件有关的可疑交易进行调查后,对Polymarket和Kalshi发起了正式调查。

这位议员宣布,他已致信两家公司的首席执行官,要求提供有关其平台如何检测和防止内幕交易的信息。他还要求提供详细信息,说明他们如何验证用户身份以及如何对来自受限司法管辖区的用户执行禁令。同一天,这两家预测市场巨头在内华达州和华盛顿州未能成功阻止针对他们的与赌博相关的执法行动。

一周图表显示,加密货币总市值达到2.56万亿美元。来源:TradingView上的TOTAL

Perguntas relacionadas

Q印度尼西亚禁止Polymarket的主要原因是什么?

A印度尼西亚禁止Polymarket的主要原因是其被视为在线赌博。印尼通讯和信息部指出,该平台允许用户用真实货币对事件结果进行投注和投机,这违反了印尼的法律,旨在保护公众,特别是年轻一代和数字空间用户。

Q文章中提到有哪些国家或地区也对Polymarket实施了限制或封锁?

A文章中提到对Polymarket实施了限制或封锁的国家和地区包括:台湾、泰国、中国、印度、新加坡、哥伦比亚、阿根廷和巴西。美国的相关机构也对该行业展开了调查并施加了监管压力。

Q阿根廷决定封锁Polymarket的直接导火索是什么?

A阿根廷决定在全国范围内封锁Polymarket的直接导火索是该平台对通货膨胀数据进行了预测。布宜诺斯艾利斯的一家法院认为其作为未经许可的在线赌博平台运营,因此下令互联网服务提供商、谷歌和苹果封锁对该平台的访问。

Q美国国会议员詹姆斯·科默对Polymarket和Kalshi发起的调查主要关注哪些问题?

A美国国会议员詹姆斯·科默对Polymarket和Kalshi发起的调查主要关注两个问题:一是这些平台如何检测和防止内幕交易(尤其涉及与美国军事行动和地缘政治事件相关的可疑交易);二是这些平台如何验证用户身份以及如何对来自受限司法管辖区的用户执行禁令。

Q根据文章,印尼政府在封锁Polymarket之外还采取了哪些配套措施?

A除了封锁Polymarket平台本身,印尼政府还表示将封锁其他被怀疑“助长在线赌博行为”的预测市场服务。同时,政府正在追查与Polymarket有关联或推广该平台的社交媒体账户,以确保禁令在其他平台上也能得到执行,并呼吁公众不要参与包括使用加密货币在内的数字投机活动。

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