The Altcoin Vector #29

insights.glassnodePublicado em 2025-11-17Última atualização em 2025-11-18

Altcoin Performance

Leituras Relacionadas

Annual Loss Rate Only 0.03%: Data Disassembles the Real Risk of DeFi Lending

DeFi lending's real-world annual loss rate from hacks and exploits is approximately 0.03% of the Total Value Locked (TVL), excluding cross-chain bridge incidents. This analysis, based on data from DeFi Llama, shows that while lending protocols are frequent targets due to their concentrated assets, the actual financial impact relative to the sector's massive scale is minimal. The overall DeFi hack total of $77.51B is heavily skewed by cross-chain bridge breaches. Removing those, losses drop to $45.18B, with lending and AMM protocols being the most affected non-bridge categories. Risk has significantly improved as the ecosystem has matured. For the year leading to May 2026, net losses in EVM and Solana lending protocols were $30.1 million against an average daily TVL of $99.6 billion, resulting in the 0.03% loss rate. Notably, the industry's asset recovery capability, exemplified by the full recovery and surplus from the Euler Finance hack, mitigates net losses, with a ~20% recovery rate for non-bridge lending incidents. Attack scale follows a log-normal distribution, meaning most incidents are small, and catastrophic losses are rare. This demonstrates that diversification across protocols is an effective risk mitigation strategy. The data indicates that DeFi lending has evolved into a measurable, compartmentalized, and relatively low-risk sector within the broader digital asset landscape.

marsbitHá 8m

Annual Loss Rate Only 0.03%: Data Disassembles the Real Risk of DeFi Lending

marsbitHá 8m

The Launch of the First Batch of Prediction Market ETFs is Temporarily Halted, Wall Street is Eyeing This Business

The launch of the first prediction market ETFs in the U.S. has been delayed after the SEC initiated further review, postponing their planned early May debut. The regulatory body is seeking more details from issuers like Roundhill Investments, Bitwise, and GraniteShares on product mechanics, risk disclosure, and how these funds track binary event contracts—such as political election outcomes or economic indicators—rather than traditional assets. Analysts view this not as a rejection but as a cautious, precedent-setting review, given the novel nature of these ETFs that allow investors to trade on the probability of real-world events. While the delay slows immediate rollout, it is seen as a step toward establishing clearer rules, and Wall Street's broader interest in monetizing "tradable future events" suggests this product category is likely to evolve, whether through direct event-based ETFs or investments in related platforms and infrastructure.

marsbitHá 38m

The Launch of the First Batch of Prediction Market ETFs is Temporarily Halted, Wall Street is Eyeing This Business

marsbitHá 38m

Crypto Systems Could Be Outpaced By Quantum Tech By 2033, Says Hoskinson

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson warns that quantum computers could break current blockchain cryptography by 2033, with a probability exceeding 50%. He highlighted Bitcoin Improvement Proposal (BIP) 361 as a potential path for Bitcoin to migrate to quantum-resistant addresses. Most blockchains, including Bitcoin, rely on encryption vulnerable to quantum attacks. Cardano is proactively researching lattice-based cryptography and plans to adopt federal quantum-resistant standards (FIPS 203-206), leveraging its scheduled annual hard forks for seamless upgrades. Hoskinson noted that while Cardano's transition could be straightforward, Bitcoin's path is less clear due to its slower, more contested upgrade process. The broader crypto industry faces an urgent deadline to overhaul its security systems.

bitcoinistHá 1h

Crypto Systems Could Be Outpaced By Quantum Tech By 2033, Says Hoskinson

bitcoinistHá 1h

First Predictive Markets ETFs Delayed, Wall Street Eyes the New Business

The launch of the first U.S. prediction market ETFs has been delayed following SEC intervention for further review. These novel ETFs, proposed by firms like Roundhill Investments, Bitwise, and GraniteShares, allow investors to trade on the probability of real-world events—such as election outcomes, economic recessions, or industry trends—through traditional brokerage accounts. Instead of holding assets like stocks, these ETFs are based on binary event contracts, meaning investors could face significant, even total, losses if their predictions are incorrect. The SEC's pause is seen not as an outright rejection but as a request for more detailed disclosures. Regulators are seeking clarity on how the products track events, manage settlement risks, and communicate potential extreme losses to retail investors. Analysts suggest the delay represents a careful regulatory review to set a precedent for such innovative products. While the timeline is pushed back, the industry remains optimistic. The focus is now on whether the SEC's concerns are primarily about disclosure or the fundamental nature of the product. Regardless, Wall Street is actively exploring the prediction market space, signaling a broader interest in trading future events as a new asset class.

Odaily星球日报Há 1h

First Predictive Markets ETFs Delayed, Wall Street Eyes the New Business

Odaily星球日报Há 1h

BTC on a Roller Coaster, HYPE Hits New Highs | Guest Analysis

**Market Analysis: BTC Volatility and HYPE's New Highs** This week, markets experienced significant volatility. Macro pressures intensified with a bond market sell-off, rising rate hike expectations, and oil surpassing $110. Bitcoin (BTC) broke below $78K and is currently testing a critical range. The core debate centers on the nature of BTC's rally from its February low: Is it the start of a new uptrend (Path 1: bullish) or merely a B-wave rally within a larger monthly corrective structure (Path 2: bearish)? The outcome of the battle in the $78,500-$79,500 zone is key this week. * **For BTC:** * **Mid-term:** Maintain a neutral, cash position. * **Short-term:** Two contingency plans with ≤30% position size and strict stop-losses: * **Plan A (Bearish):** Sell if price rebounds but faces resistance in the $78,500-$79,500 zone. * **Plan B (Bearish):** Sell if price convincingly breaks below the $73,500-$75,000 support. * A break above $90,000-$93,100 would strongly favor the bullish Path 1 scenario. * **For HYPE:** HYPE continues its independent rally, hitting new highs with over 10% gains this week. The trend remains bullish as long as price holds above the key support at $38.41. * **Short-term Strategies (≤30% position):** * **Plan A (Bullish):** Buy on a confirmed break above $45.76. * **Plan B (Bearish):** Sell short on a confirmed break below $45.76. * **Plan C (Bullish):** Buy on a pullback finding support near $38.41. **Trade Review:** Last week, a disciplined 1x leveraged BTC long trade at $79,812, based on model signals, was closed at $81,426 for a ~2.02% profit. **Important:** Market conditions change rapidly. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trade with caution and proper risk management.

marsbitHá 1h

BTC on a Roller Coaster, HYPE Hits New Highs | Guest Analysis

marsbitHá 1h

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Spot

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Como comprar CC

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Como comprar BLEND

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Como comprar ACN

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170 Visualizações TotaisPublicado em {updateTime}Atualizado em 2026.04.28

Discussões

Bem-vindo à Comunidade HTX. Aqui, pode manter-se informado sobre os mais recentes desenvolvimentos da plataforma e obter acesso a análises profissionais de mercado. As opiniões dos utilizadores sobre o preço de A (A) são apresentadas abaixo.