HYPE Price Under Pressure: $12B Unlock and Hayes’ Ferrari Sale Shake Confidence

bitcoinistPublicado em 2025-09-25Última atualização em 2025-09-25

Resumo

The Hyperliquid (HYPE) token is under heavy selling pressure as concerns mount over a looming $12 billion unlock event. Trading...

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

The Hyperliquid (HYPE) token is under heavy selling pressure as concerns mount over a looming $12 billion unlock event. Trading at $43.37, HYPE has fallen more than 12% in the past 24 hours and is down 20.8% this week, raising alarm across the crypto market.

The scheduled unlock on November 29 will see team tokens representing 23.8% of the total supply released over 24 months, with analysts warning of $500 million in monthly selling pressure.

Research group Maelstrom described the upcoming vesting as a “Sword of Damocles” moment, noting that only 17% of the supply may be absorbed by buybacks.

This overhang has already caused major whales to trim their positions, with one investor withdrawing $122 million worth of HYPE while holding onto $90 million in unrealized profits.

Hyperliquid HYPE HYPEUSD

HYPE's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: HYPEUSD on Tradingview

Arthur Hayes’ Ferrari Sale Sparks Hyperliquid (HYPE) Selloff

Adding fuel to the bearish sentiment, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes recently exited his entire HYPE position, cashing out over 96,000 tokens for approximately $4.8 million. Hayes revealed on social media that the sale was to cover a deposit for his new Ferrari 849 Testarossa, generating nearly $823,000 in profit.

The move stunned the market, especially given Hayes’ bold prediction just weeks earlier at the WebX 2025 conference, where he forecasted a 126x surge in HYPE over three years. His abrupt selloff, paired with mounting unlock concerns, has shaken investor confidence in Hyperliquid’s long-term trajectory.

Tokenomics Reform Proposal: Can It Restore Trust?

In response to growing concerns, DBA Asset Management’s Jon Charbonneau and researcher Hasu have introduced a comprehensive proposal to overhaul HYPE’s tokenomics. The plan recommends:

  • Burning 45% of HYPE’s supply, including unminted tokens allocated for emissions and assistance funds.
  • Eliminating Hyperliquid’s fixed 1 billion supply cap, aligning with flexible issuance models seen in Ethereum and Solana.

Supporters argue the proposal could remove distortions in fully diluted valuation (FDV) metrics and create a fairer assessment of Hyperliquid’s fundamentals. However, critics warn that cutting emissions may weaken growth incentives and reduce flexibility in responding to future challenges.

Despite its current price struggles, Hyperliquid remains one of the fastest-growing decentralized derivatives exchanges, recently hitting $3.4 billion in daily trading volumes. Whether the proposed reforms can stabilize HYPE ahead of November’s unlock will be a decisive test for the project’s resilience.

Cover image from ChatGPT, HYPEUSD chart from Tradingview

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

Leituras Relacionadas

Interview with NDV Founder Jason Huang: Piercing the AI Bubble and the MicroStrategy Myth, Seeking the Ultimate Edge in the Crypto Market

In a podcast with WuBlockchain, NDV founder Jason Huang discusses recent market dynamics, expressing a bearish outlook on crypto in the near term. He attributes Bitcoin's recent decline to a combination of cyclical selling pressure, the start of a US stock market correction, and liquidity tightening. A key catalyst is the emerging financial strain on MicroStrategy (MSTR). Huang explains that MSTR's model of borrowing to buy Bitcoin created a positive "flywheel" in a bull market. However, with falling BTC prices turning its stock premium into a discount, the model is now under severe stress. While MSTR only sold 32 BTC recently, the market is "front-running" the fear of its massive 80,000+ BTC holdings potentially being liquidated to meet debt obligations. He believes a true market bottom requires a major, capitulation-level event similar to the FTX collapse. Regarding investments, Huang states his fund is up over 20% this year, outperforming Bitcoin by 50-60%. The strategy involves crypto assets and commodities like oil, gold, and silver, but avoids AI stocks due to a perceived lack of trading edge. He is cautious of crowded trades in semiconductors and sees bubbles in the broader market, citing the hype around a potential SpaceX IPO. Despite short-term pessimism, Huang remains long-term bullish on one crypto innovation: stablecoins. He views them as the clearest example of a "faster, better" financial tool with significant room for global adoption. For the future, he is very bearish on Ethereum. For Bitcoin, he anticipates potential for a significant drop below $48,000 before a eventual rebound, but stresses the need to wait for a true panic-driven bottom marked by widespread despair and disinterest in the market.

marsbitHá 12m

Interview with NDV Founder Jason Huang: Piercing the AI Bubble and the MicroStrategy Myth, Seeking the Ultimate Edge in the Crypto Market

marsbitHá 12m

Conversation with Jason Huang, Founder of NDV: Puncturing the AI Bubble and the MicroStrategy Myth, Searching for the Ultimate Trump Card in the Crypto Market

In a podcast interview, NDV founder Jason Huang discusses the recent crypto market downturn, attributing the initial phase to typical Bitcoin cycle selling pressure, now compounded by a US stock market correction, tightening liquidity, and MicroStrategy's financial strain. He argues the market hasn't bottomed yet, noting true bear market lows often require a major, despair-inducing event like FTX's collapse. Huang details MicroStrategy's precarious position: its debt-and-equity fueled Bitcoin buying model has reversed into a negative cycle as prices fell. He interprets its sale of just 32 BTC as a signal prioritizing creditors over shareholders, sparking market "front-running" of its larger potential sell-off. A true bottom may arrive only after MicroStrategy resolves its looming debt payments, possibly via a large, private Bitcoin sale. His fund is up ~20% this year, outperforming Bitcoin by 50-60%, by shorting crypto and trading commodities like oil and gold. He avoided AI stocks despite being a heavy user, citing a lack of trading edge in the crowded semiconductor hardware trade, which he views as ripe for a significant correction. Long-term, Huang remains bullish on stablecoins as crypto's clearest, most practical innovation with high growth potential. He is very bearish on Ethereum and skeptical that Bitcoin has found its floor, suggesting $48,000 may not hold. He expects a sharp decline followed by a strong recovery within a year, but only after a major panic event leads to widespread capitulation and despair—the true hallmark of a market bottom.

链捕手Há 18m

Conversation with Jason Huang, Founder of NDV: Puncturing the AI Bubble and the MicroStrategy Myth, Searching for the Ultimate Trump Card in the Crypto Market

链捕手Há 18m

U.S. Stocks Trend (June 24): Korean Stock Plunge Ripples Global Chip Sector, Micron Tumbles Over 10%, Long-Term Supply Certainty Faces a 'Hard Test'

US Stock Market Trend (June 24): South Korean Market Plunge Disrupts Global Chips, Micron Drops Over 10%, Long-Term Supply Certainty Faces Hard Test On Monday, the South Korean KOSPI index plunged 10%, with SK Hynix and Samsung dropping over 12%, triggered by rumors that SK Hynix might slow its HBM4 production expansion. This shock quickly spread to the U.S. semiconductor sector. Micron plummeted 13.18% to $1,051.77, SanDisk fell 13.64%, and Marvell declined 8%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index closed down 7.87%, while the Nasdaq fell 2.21% to 25,587.04 points. The sell-off particularly hit memory chip stocks. Defensive sectors showed relative resilience, with gains in stocks like IBM and Johnson & Johnson. Market volatility spiked, with the VIX index jumping 12.79%. Commodities weakened, with WTI crude oil hitting a near three-month low and gold falling below $4,100. The core issue is not a challenge to AI demand itself, but a market reassessment of overly optimistic capacity expectations for memory chips, especially HBM. The rumor about SK Hynix undermined perceived certainty in the AI infrastructure cycle. Key upcoming events include Thursday's PCE inflation data, which will influence Fed rate expectations, and Micron's earnings report. The market will focus on Micron's HBM gross margins and its long-term capacity guidance. The shift indicates the AI investment cycle is moving from euphoria to rational pricing. Large institutions are questioning the sustainability of AI-related capital expenditure growth. Micron's repricing from an "AI infrastructure staple" to a more cyclical stock highlights this change. Thursday's data and earnings represent a critical juncture for assessing long-term supply certainty, which has now significantly decreased.

marsbitHá 26m

U.S. Stocks Trend (June 24): Korean Stock Plunge Ripples Global Chip Sector, Micron Tumbles Over 10%, Long-Term Supply Certainty Faces a 'Hard Test'

marsbitHá 26m

Preferred Stock Is Not the Trigger for Corporate Bankruptcy, MicroStrategy's Dollar Reserves Can Cover Dividend and Interest Payments Until February 2027

Preferred Shares Are Not the Catalyst for Corporate Bankruptcy; MicroStrategy's Dollar Reserves Can Cover Dividend and Interest Payments Until February 2027. This article analyzes the nature of preferred shares used by MicroStrategy (MSTR). Legally equity but economically similar to debt, these shares, including its Bitcoin-linked STR convertible preferred notes (STRC), offer fixed or floating dividends. Crucially, MicroStrategy's preferred shares lack rigid redemption clauses, meaning they are not classified as traditional debt. This eliminates principal repayment pressure and means missed dividends do not constitute default or trigger bankruptcy, creating a "self-contradictory virtuous cycle." The article clarifies that if funds are short, MicroStrategy can defer or suspend preferred share dividends (except for non-cumulative types like STRD) without immediate risk. The real potential crisis point lies with its convertible bonds. If a prolonged bear market prevents conversion, MicroStrategy might need to sell Bitcoin to repay these bonds starting from the earliest maturity in September 2027, potentially creating a downward spiral. Preferred dividend suspensions would only exacerbate market panic in such a scenario. Recent financial activity shows MicroStrategy strengthened its position through four weeks of common stock (MSTR) issuances, raising over $851 million without issuing new preferred shares. It increased its dollar reserves to approximately $1.4 billion, which is sufficient to cover all preferred share dividends and interest until around March 2027. While Bitcoin purchases slowed recently, this prioritization of cash reserves enhances the company's near-term financial safety. The analysis concludes that if the Bitcoin bear market ends by early 2025 as anticipated, MicroStrategy can resume issuing MSTR stock in a rising market to replenish reserves and manage future dividend obligations, thereby reducing the long-term pressure from its preferred share structure.

marsbitHá 1h

Preferred Stock Is Not the Trigger for Corporate Bankruptcy, MicroStrategy's Dollar Reserves Can Cover Dividend and Interest Payments Until February 2027

marsbitHá 1h

Trading

Spot
Futuros
活动图片