牛市的疯狂与理智:市场繁荣莫忘风险管理,设定更长远的目标

深潮Publicado em 2024-09-25Última atualização em 2024-09-25

如果你在 2025 年赚到钱,你会把钱用在什么地方?

作者:Route 2 FI

编译:深潮TechFlow

今天我们来谈谈即将到来的牛市,以及你可能会成功的场景。

钱并不能解决你所有的问题,但它能解决你的财务问题。你有很多选择。

如果你追逐金钱,现在得到了它,却感到内心空虚,这可能并不是你的终极目标。你可能希望在生活中拥有更多的意义和影响。利用你的金钱来提升自我。设定新的目标,设定超越金钱的目标。

健康、健身、爱好、家庭和朋友等方面。你并不是为了只是待在同一个地方而赚了很多钱。要提升生活品质,拓宽视野,多去看看世界。

无论你多么富有,死亡是无法避免的。因此,唯一的有限资源就是时间。投资金钱来购买时间,利用钱去尝试不同的可能性,投资金钱来提高生活质量

很难想象加密货币牛市是多么疯狂。

我最近一直在思考自己的目标,思考我花这么多时间做什么,以及我想要朝哪个方向前进。

我想,偶尔思考这些事情是正常的,尤其是在市场波动不定的时期。我仍然梦想着再次经历一个即将来临的牛市。那种在高价位购买资产,睡觉后醒来看到价格更高的感觉简直让人难以置信。想象一下,这种感觉持续几个月,每天都在不断上涨。2021年真是疯狂,我记得周围的一切变得毫无意义。你没有时间做其他事。那些不在加密行业的人无法理解这一点。他们知道比特币上涨了几百个百分点,但对山寨币涨了几千个百分点一无所知,而且每天都有新的机会。

目前这些日子似乎已经过去,它们会再次回来吗?我们还会经历这样的经历吗?现在关于山寨币的分散情况存在争论,因为2021年与2024年的区别在于,当时只有少数几个可靠的山寨币,而在2024年,我们有数百个优质项目。但流动性不足以推动它们进入山寨季。这一次,散户更聪明,而不仅仅是散户。交易者更聪明,投资者更聪明,风险投资公司、KOL 等等,他们都比你拥有更多的经验和知识。他们拥有你所没有的资源和人脉。这让我想说,我认为在这次牛市中成功的难度会更大。人们了解“四年周期”,变得更加谨慎,随时准备抛售你手中的资产。你必须比以前的周期更加警惕。

但希望依然存在。因为在一个繁荣的牛市中,所有这些“规则”都会被忽视。人们会忘记风险管理,并做出非常不理性的决策,希望在短时间内获取巨额财富。而这正是你需要聪明的地方。在下一个达到 90,000% 年化收益率的收益项目出现时,保持冷静,不要失去理智。

如果你是一个新手,你知道 94,000% 的年化收益率意味着什么吗?

让我来告诉你。

如果你有 $100,经过 365 天后,你就会有 $94,000。

这意味着每天的利率为 1.9%。是的,天天如此。

好吧,人们不是投入 $100,而是投入 $100,000。

30 天的每日利率为 1.9% 意味着在 $100,000 上获得 $75,000 的利润。

而且,这个庞氏资产 TIME 的价格上涨得非常快,以至于人们在不到一个月的时间里就从 $1,000 成为百万富翁。

我一个加密货币朋友在这个项目上每天赚取 $30,000,并且实际上在接近顶峰时卖掉了,买了一栋新房子。这是一个励志故事。但正如我们所知,这种盈利情况不会永远持续下去,庞氏骗局最终还是崩溃了。

好吧,关于这个就够了。让我们继续。

你有什么目标,朋友?

如果没有更宏伟的目标,很容易就会漫无目的地漂流。

如果你每天只是醒来,没有任何计划,而是开始刷手机或电脑屏幕,你就输了。

我相信目标设定的金字塔结构。

基本上,从一个 20 年以上的使命开始,然后将其细分为 3 到 10 年的愿景。进一步地,要实现 3 年的目标,你需要将其细分为年度目标、季度目标等等。

你每天和每周所做的事情决定了你几年后会在哪里发展。当然,我们都可能会有糟糕的日子。但是,与其继续拖延,不如试着重新回到正轨上。

如果你的目标无法激励你,那么它们可能并不是你真正想要的目标。

我有目标吗?有,但如果我们把它与加密货币相关联,我的目标是成为最优秀的作家之一,并在这个领域成为一个知识渊博的人。在上一个市场周期,钱对我来说是一个更重要的因素。这一周期我感觉更轻松,我不需要以同样的方式赚钱。不要误解我,我认为在场的每个人都希望赚更多的钱。但我并不绝望,也不会为了赚钱牺牲我的健康(就像我在上一个周期中感受到的那样)。

请查看我下面的帖子,看看我做了哪些反思。

情况糟糕到让我实际上对所有我关心的事情失去了兴趣。书籍、写作(除了加密货币相关的)、健身、跑步、见朋友、我的女朋友和家人都变得非常无趣。我对我的手机和电脑上瘾,以至于我试图避免所有无法查看我的 DeFi 头寸、Twitter、Discord、TG 等的情况。我的女朋友(当时)试图告诉我我有多么上瘾,但我根本不听。

这让我思考,如果你不利用钱来改善自己的生活,那么钱的意义是什么。

我在下面的推文中写了更多关于这个的看法。

关键是,现在牛市再次加速,我开始重新感受到这一点。加密货币是如此重要,而其他事情只能暂时搁置。我把事情推迟,以便赚更多的钱(比我已经赚的还要多)。

听到其他人在加密货币 Twitter (CT) 上谈论他们打算花钱的事情感觉很自然,可以参考这条推文

我想你现在有足够的内容可以参考了,朋友。

就到这里吧。

但让我问你最后一个问题,你可以在下次之前好好想想。

如果你在 2025 年赚到钱,你会把钱用在什么地方?

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