莱特币价格预测:LTC突破65美元后触及9700万美元路障

币界网Publicado em 2024-08-20Última atualização em 2024-08-20

币界网报道:

莱特币价格在8月18日触及68美元的14天高点,反映出自8月5日创下的月度时间框架低点以来反弹了37%。链上数据趋势预示着早期获利回吐;LTC在未来一周将如何反应?

莱特币突破65美元阻力。

在过去的两周里,莱特币在排名前20的加密资产中脱颖而出。最近俄罗斯加密货币挖矿合法化似乎是LTC反弹背后的主要催化剂之一。

莱特币价格分析LTCUSD |交易视图

自俄罗斯宣布关于加密货币挖矿的新立法以来,投资者对LTC等工作量证明硬币的情绪显著改善。上图中的阴影区域显示了LTC价格在过去14天内的飙升情况,这可以追溯到8月5日的大崩盘。截至8月19日,LTC的交易价格已超过65美元,涨幅达37.65%。

值得注意的是,在此期间,Litecoin的表现优于以太坊和Solana等主要权益证明货币,这证实了围绕加密货币挖矿的国际监管立场的改善增加了对Litecoin等权益证明货币的市场需求的前景。然而,在65美元上方建立了稳定的支撑基础后,莱特币的价格现在面临着一个重大障碍,这可能会阻止反弹进入下一阶段。

短期交易者希望从价值9700万美元的LTC中获得早期利润

在突破65美元阻力位后,卖出订单的数量有所增加,暗示看涨情绪可能被抵消。这表明,在连续几周跑赢市场之后,在8月5日左右市场崩盘期间购买LTC的短期交易员现在正寻求兑现部分利润。

交易所市场深度指标汇总了各种加密货币交易所的莱特币订单,提供了市场需求和供应的全面视图。

莱特币交易所市场深度|IntoTheBlock

根据交易所市场深度数据,莱特币的总买入订单为1394380 LTC,而总卖出订单为1448100 LTC。按平均出价66.93美元计算,买入订单的价值约为9330万美元。相反,按平均要价66.96美元计算的卖出订单约为9696万美元。买入订单和卖出订单的总价值之间的差额为-364万美元,表明卖出订单的价值超过了买入订单。

市场需求和供应动态的这种不平衡表明前景看跌。大量的卖出订单,尤其是几天前还处于控制地位的空头,可能会阻碍莱特币进一步上涨。随着本周的展开,需求不足可能会导致价格调整阶段。

LTC价格预测:主要障碍在70美元

展望未来,Litecoin将面临70美元的关键阻力位。Ichimoku Cloud和RSI散度指标表明短期前景看跌。Ichimoku云通常用于识别趋势和反转,在70美元左右显示阻力,与云的上限重合。这表明Litecoin可能很难在短期内突破这一水平。

莱特币价格预测|LTCUSD

此外,衡量价格走势强度的RSI背离指标目前为53.06,表明上行势头可能放缓。这种看跌背离加强了回调的可能性,特别是如果卖出订单继续超过买入订单。

如果Litecoin未能突破70美元的阻力位,它可能会回落到63.49美元的支撑位。如果跌破这一水平,Litecoin可能会重新测试60美元的支撑区。相反,成功突破70美元阻力位可能为反弹至75-80美元区间打开大门。然而,鉴于当前的市场状况和订单簿的不平衡,可能性倾向于看跌修正。

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