如何看待io.net去中心化云算力网络的后续市场影响?

Odaily星球日报Publicado em 2024-06-13Última atualização em 2024-06-13

Resumo

io.net接下来的表现对整个AI+DePIN赛道具有提振作用。

原文作者:Haotian

io 集 AI+DePIN+Solana 三大叙事方向为一身,事关 Crypto 行业能不能通过 AI 找寻到一个引爆牛市的主升浪出来。某种程度上,称之为「币圈英伟达」也不为过?接下来,简单说下我的看法:

1)io 一诞生就被寄予厚望,无论是 VC 还是矿工以及散户,都亟待 io 能够在 Crypto 接轨 AI 的方向起一个好兆头,有 AI 方向龙头项目的大预期。io 所提供的去中心化云算力解决方案,切中了 AI 大模型训练方向一个首要矛盾:中小型模型训练和微调、推理的巨量算力「需求」和集中式算力愈发增加的「成本」。

io 分布式云算力平台的出现,旨在解决这个矛盾。通过调动 IDC 数据中心,加密货币矿场以及普通用户的闲置算力,积聚了大量闲置并且低成本的算力,并基于 Crypto Tokenomics 激励框架,和一系列新型合约标准以及硬件设备标准化等等,把原本几乎不可能产生「协作」的算力经过整合,进而产生应用效能。

因此,io 这类分布式算力平台的出现,是 Crypto 治理框架和 AI 训练需求场景结合的首个刚需场景,是 Crypto 攻占 AI 领域的第一个山头。

2)OpenAI 引领的 LLM 大语言模型在互联网市场语境下正逐渐「垄断化」。我们观察 ChatGPT 3.5-4.0 到 Sora 再到 4 o 的演化过程就会发现,这类大模型正愈发智能和多模态化。

这类大模型能集成图、文、视频,甚至结合机器人、物联网设备还能做到实时动态输出。但这一切前提都建立在算力集中和能耗大的基础上。这样下去,中心化 AI 服务会逐步趋向寡头垄断,少数科技公司会掌控 AI 技术的发展方向,势必会限制多样化的创新。

io 等分布式算力平台的出现,可以给这些长尾需求提供一个低门槛、更灵活,更定制化,且还能发挥 Tokenomics 社区激励价值的平台,帮助它们在更垂直、细分的应用场景内(供应链金融、精准医疗、个性化教育等)发挥潜在价值。

何况,Tokenomics 能将算力提供者、开发者、用户等利益相关多方绑定,本就适合在一些传统算力资源可能忽略的边缘领域发挥奇效。集中算力会优先被作用到大语言模型、机器学习等通用性强、适用范围广、商业变现前景更广阔的领域。

这是我一直认为 AI+DePIN 能成为牛市主升浪的核心原因,因为这个赛道的火爆不限于存量 Crypto 行业的内卷,可通过实实在在的需求供应,能为 Crypto 场内吸引来增量用户和项目方。

3)io 基本业务直接对标亚马逊、阿里云等云服务,构建了 IO Cloud 集群,同时集成了 Render Network、Filecoin 等供应端的 GPU 资源,这让其提供的 GPU 资源具有了极强的可扩展性。因此,一旦龙头地位形成,自然会通过聚合其他闲散算力平台的资源,而进一步降低其成本效益。

当然,若 io 能在分布式云算力市场站稳脚跟,也会直接对原本 Crypto 行业的云存储( @Filecoin ),分布式协处理器(Livepeer)、分布式计算(Golem)云知识产权 IP 确权( @StoryProtocol)等,以及 DePIN 基础设施、中间件、边缘 AI、RWA 等衍生方向都会产生明显的带动可能性。

也许会有人诟病,io 的落地场景目前叙事性过强,但 Crypto 领域强情绪 Drive 的当下,若 io 能激活 AI+DePIN 上下游一系列关联项目热度,其本身叙事层的价值就足够有行业壁垒了。

加之 DePIN 表面上看还是硬件挖矿那一套,但背后的矿工链条、节点网络架构、软硬件一体化的催化效应,会引入更广泛的增量市场用户参与。(别低估了 Pan 圈的魔力)

以上

尽管现在称其为「币圈英伟达」恐怕还为时过早,但确实可以很形象地感知到,io 接下来的表现对整个 AI+DePIN 赛道的提振作用。无论怎样,应该给予其相应的市场预期,这轮一波三折的牛市,太需要一个主升浪拉开帷幕了。

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