要公平还是要倍数?从Whales Market创始人所推仿盘解读Pump统治力

Odaily星球日报Publicado em 2024-05-22Última atualização em 2024-05-22

Resumo

用户真正需要的不是“公平”,而是“赚钱效应”。

原创 | Odaily星球日报

作者 | 南枳

要公平还是要倍数?从Whales Market创始人所推仿盘解读Pump统治力

昨夜,Whales Market 创始人@dexter_cap 推出了类 Pump.fun 平台 Whales.meme,并向 GM 预售参与者、xWHALES 持有者空投了平台首个代币 GMCAT,GMCAT 市值一度上涨超 1000 万美元,目前回落至 250 万美元。该平台为何存活期仅一夜?Odaily星球日报将于本文解读该平台及其与 Pump.fun 的差异,解析 Pump.fun 的统治力来源。

Whales.meme

Whales.meme 的整体运行逻辑与 Pump.fun 一致。首先对于开发者,能够在数秒中之内创建一个新代币,仅需提供代币名称、图片和描述,同时也能加入 TG、X 账号、网站等信息,用于吸引用户和建立社区。

要公平还是要倍数?从Whales Market创始人所推仿盘解读Pump统治力

对于用户而言,大体上也是在内盘内进行交易,当达到一定进度时平台将把投入资金和代币组成 LP 并开启 DEX 交易。

要公平还是要倍数?从Whales Market创始人所推仿盘解读Pump统治力

落到细节上,Whales.meme 做了一个关键的改动,将内盘份额改为“股份制”,内盘交易中每个代币都被分为了 200 股,用户每次仅可交易 1 股。在开盘后根据用户的股比分配代币。而 Pump 对用户的交易数量不做限制,极端情况下可以是数个地址购入全部筹码,也可以是上千个地址。

Pump.fun 的统治力何来?

除了 GMCAT,Whales.meme 平台发行的首个代币为 NYL,目前市值仅剩 2 万美元,通常而言平台的首个代币应有不错的表现,为何实际表现如此不佳?

首先产品水准是一大关键因素,动则崩溃的网站、有限的购买渠道限制了用户的购买欲望和路径。但产品市场匹配(Product-Market Fit)是更根本的问题

Pump 已推出约 5 个月,从功能上而言特别简单,也出现了多个微创新的仿盘,但 Pump 仍占有显著的统治地位,为何?我们认为,这些仿盘更加追求“公平”,但市场或者说用户本质上想要的是“最纯粹、最具赚钱效应的赌场”

用户为何购买 Meme?对于绝大多数用户来说,更多是希望购入一个超高倍数的代币,从而获取大额盈利。Pump.fun 内盘的高倍差额,虽然是 DEV 的便捷收割手段,但也是用户“暴富”的可能。Whales.meme 对内盘份额的割离,优势上在于 DEV 难以购入大量的筹码然后倾倒给用户,但同样意味着用户只能购入少量的代币,难以有足够的获利空间。

公平叙事为何在这里就失效了?在铭文火爆的期间,“公平发射”曾被认为是铭文颠覆其他代币的根本因素,为何讲究公平在 Pump.fun 模式下就不起作用了?答案在于“倍数”才是驱动力,“公平”仅是锦上添花。在铭文的初期,将一套高总量铭文铭刻完毕的成本仅需数十万美元,如 rats、mice 等,上涨空间仍很高,所以用户愿意参与。但到了狂热时期,如 23 年 5 月的 VMPX 到上个月的符文,极高的成本和初始市值使得上涨空间被极度压缩,所谓“该上车的已经上车了”,造成了大量开盘即巅峰的现象出现。

因此讲公平的项目不会是 Pump.fun 的颠覆者,其真正的挑战者要么是将服务和产品进一步做到极致的同质化产品,要么是更纯粹的 Meme 赌场。不过,在收割和 PvP 日益严重的当下,或许将用户资金、精力与心理预期榨干之后,打败 Pump.fun 的将是它自己。

参考阅读

Pump PVP 手册:镰刀与韭菜相互促进进化

Solana 系代币增速续创历史新高的推手,解读增长发动机 Pump.fun

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