比特币或迎来今年最糟的一周，“小摩”警告：还有回调空间！

jin10Publicado em 2024-03-22Última atualização em 2024-03-22

随着对新兴现货比特币ETF的兴趣减弱，十只现货比特币ETF创下自1月11日推出以来最大的三日流出量。截至3月20日，比特币已从历史高点回落超过10%，但摩根大通策略师警告称，回调还有空间。

外媒表示，从周一到周三，现货比特币ETF净流出7.42亿美元，表现为Grayscale Bitcoin Trust的资金流出，以及贝莱德和富达投资等比特币ETF产品的认购有所放缓。截至周三，这些基金已获得114亿美元的净流入，仍是ETF类别中首次亮相最成功的基金之一。被转换为ETF的Grayscale Bitcoin Trust已经出现了133亿美元的资金流出。

摩根大通策略师重申了他们在二月份的预测，他们表示，比特币“看起来仍然超买”，并警告称比特币仍有进一步下跌的趋势，直到4月份迎来减半事件。

摩根大通策略师Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou领导的团队在周四的一份报告中写道，CME比特币期货的持续未平仓合约以及ETF资金流的减少是比特币价格看跌的重要信号。

策略师指出：“现货比特币ETF的资金净流入速度显著放缓，过去一周出现了大规模资金流出。这表明比特币现货ETF不太可能始终保持单向净流入的状态。随着减半事件临近，这种获利回吐现象更有可能持续下去，尤其是在尽管过去一周比特币价格出现回调，但仍看起来超买的背景下。”

上个月，该投行预测在4月比特币减半事件引发市场狂热消退后，比特币价格将下滑至42000美元左右。

ZayeCapitalMarkets首席投资官NaeemAslam表示，尽管3月14日比特币创下了近73840美元的历史新高，但散户投资者的热情可能正在降温。

Aslam表示：“许多人质疑此次反弹的力度。减半即将到来，如果这个事件无法真正维持比特币价格的上涨势头，那就意味着我们将面临严重的回调，比特币价格可能会跌破50000美元。”

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