# Outflows Articoli collegati

Il Centro Notizie HTX fornisce gli articoli più recenti e le analisi più approfondite su "Outflows", coprendo tendenze di mercato, aggiornamenti sui progetti, sviluppi tecnologici e politiche normative nel settore crypto.

Bitcoin Consolidation Underway: Selling Pressure from Long-Term Holders Eases, ETF Outflows Slow

Bitcoin is in the process of bottoming out, with key dynamics shifting. Long-term holder capitulation has cooled from its peak, and profit-taking has largely subsided. The sell-off at the June lows was absorbed by broad-based buying. The price is now recovering and testing towards key overhead resistance around the short-term holder cost basis near $69,000, where significant supply pressure is expected. Macro drivers are evolving: Bitcoin is increasingly reacting inversely to the US dollar and showing a more positive response to favorable economic data like soft inflation reports, while its correlation with equities has weakened. On-chain data shows that long-term holders are now mainly selling at a loss, a classic late-cycle signal. This primary source of sell-side pressure is no longer expanding. ETF outflows have slowed but haven't reversed, indicating institutional selling has paused but not turned into buying. In derivatives markets, bearish bets are being unwound as seen in falling put/call ratios and reduced crash protection costs, though this positioning adjustment hasn't yet translated into strong spot market buying. Volatility has compressed to yearly lows, a potential calm before the next decisive move. While the foundation for a recovery is being laid with seller exhaustion and demand absorption at lows, confirmation is still missing. A sustainable uptrend requires spot-driven buying to decisively break and hold above the short-term holder cost basis. Failure to do so, or a reacceleration of long-term holder losses, would signal a return to range-bound trading.

marsbitIeri 12:08

Bitcoin Consolidation Underway: Selling Pressure from Long-Term Holders Eases, ETF Outflows Slow

marsbitIeri 12:08

BTC Hits Its Lowest Point Since 2024, But Is It Still Not the Right Time to Buy the Dip?

**Summary:** Bitcoin (BTC) has plunged to new lows in 2024, dropping over 50% from its all-time high to around $57,800, while Ethereum and Solana also show significant weakness. The market sentiment is at "extreme fear." The primary headwinds are identified as massive and sustained net outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs since May 2026, creating significant selling pressure, and the evaporation of expectations for a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut in 2026, which makes holding cash and bonds more attractive than risk assets like crypto. Analysts are actively debating the potential bottom. Key predictions include: * **glassnode's Rafael:** Suggests a bottom between $46,000 and $54,000, based on on-chain metrics like Realized Price and CVDD. He notes that institutional demand (via ETFs) is currently a net seller, not a buyer. * **BIT Analysis:** Argues the bear market is in its final stage, with a potential bottoming zone between $50,000 and $55,000, possibly aligning with the 2026 FIFA World Cup period (June-July). * **Wintermute:** Believes the market is in the late stages of a bear market but cautions the true bottom may not arrive until September-October 2026, contingent on renewed capital inflows. * **Liquid Capital's JackYi:** Posits that July-August 2026 could be the final capitulation and the best accumulation window, with potential bottom prices ranging from $51,000 to $43,000. * **Jiang Zhuo'er (BTC.TOP):** Predicts a bottom between $42,000 and $44,000 in October-December 2026, based on cycle analysis and MSTR's mNAV metric. * **Prediction Markets:** Polymarket data indicates a 79% chance BTC falls below $55,000 in 2026, a 65% chance below $50,000, and a 30% chance below $40,000. The consensus is that while bearish conditions are severe, the exact timing and price level of the ultimate bottom remain uncertain and depend on factors like ETF flows, macroeconomic policy, and potential market shocks.

Foresight News07/01 06:24

BTC Hits Its Lowest Point Since 2024, But Is It Still Not the Right Time to Buy the Dip?

Foresight News07/01 06:24

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