ONDO: Will the $840M token unlock trigger a supply shock?

ambcrypto發佈於 2026-01-06更新於 2026-01-06

文章摘要

ONDO Finance is facing a significant token unlock event on January 18th, with 1.9 billion ONDO tokens (worth approximately $840 million) set to be released. This represents over 57% of the circulating supply and poses a major test for the token's market stability. The tokens will be distributed to founders, team members, private investors, and community pools. Unlocks involving team members and early investors often create higher sell pressure, as these groups may look to realize gains. Despite a rise in Open Interest to $77 million and positive funding rates indicating a cautiously long market sentiment, the large unlock could amplify price movements in either direction. If spot demand is insufficient to absorb the new supply, it could trigger rapid selling and increased volatility. Additionally, ONDO’s unlock is part of a broader January supply event, with over $5.5 billion in tokens scheduled to enter circulation across various cryptocurrencies, including Bitget (BGB) and Hyperliquid (HYPE). The market's ability to handle this influx of supply will soon be tested.

Ondo Finance [ONDO] is heading into a big month, with 1.9 billion tokens scheduled to unlock. Token releases don’t move prices alone, but they still check the overall market mood.

For ONDO, it’s about who owns the tokens, how they acted before, and if buying demand can handle the supply that’s coming.

A supply shock is arriving!

On the 18th of January, roughly 1.9 billion ONDO tokens (worth over $840 million at current prices) are set to unlock, according to Tokenomist data.

This accounts for over 57% of the released supply, making it a big test for the market.

Source: The Tokenomist

The tokens will be allocated to founders, team members, community pools, and private investors, groups that often operate with very different incentives.

Team-heavy unlocks tend to create more sell pressure than ecosystem-focused releases. This is because early holders look to realize gains.

The focus will be on how much of this supply the market can realistically absorb.

Derivatives lean long, but cautiously

At press time, ONDO’s Open Interest (OI) has gone up to $77 million, so positioning has built up ahead of the unlock. At the same time, Funding Rates were positive.

Therefore, traders were leaning long without aggressive leverage.

Source: Coinalyze

High OI into a major unlock can amplify moves in any direction. If spot demand holds, long positions may stay. But if selling pressure picks up, crowded trades can unwind quickly.

Beyond ONDO…

ONDO’s unlock is part of a much larger January supply event.

More than $5.5 billion in tokens are set to enter circulation this month, with ONDO, Bitget [BGB], Hyperliquid [HYPE], and Official Trump [TRUMP] making up the largest releases.

Around $2.5 billion will arrive through cliff unlocks, hitting the market all at once, while another $3 billion will be released gradually.

After ONDO, BGB will unlock nearly $500 million in tokens later this month, mostly for team and promotions. HYPE has a smaller but closer release, with tokens worth $327 million.

How much new supply can the market absorb at once? We’ll find out soon enough!


Final Thoughts

  • ONDO faces a test as $840 million worth of tokens hit the market on the 18th.
  • Price direction now depends on whether real demand can absorb a 57% supply unlock without panic selling.
Next: Chainlink: Assessing impact of $10.9M whale move on LINK price
Share
  • Share
  • Tweet

相關問答

QWhat is the total value and number of ONDO tokens set to unlock on January 18th?

A1.9 billion ONDO tokens, worth over $840 million at current prices, are scheduled to unlock on January 18th.

QWhich groups will receive the unlocked ONDO tokens?

AThe unlocked tokens will be allocated to founders, team members, community pools, and private investors.

QWhat percentage of ONDO's released supply does this unlock represent?

AThis unlock accounts for over 57% of ONDO's released supply.

QWhat was ONDO's Open Interest (OI) and Funding Rate status ahead of the unlock?

AAt press time, ONDO's Open Interest was $77 million with positive Funding Rates, indicating traders were leaning long without aggressive leverage.

QWhich other major tokens have significant unlocks scheduled for January besides ONDO?

ABesides ONDO, Bitget [BGB] will unlock nearly $500 million, Hyperliquid [HYPE] will unlock $327 million, and Official Trump [TRUMP] is also among the largest January releases.

你可能也喜歡

市场专家揭示为何以太坊是比Solana更好的投资选择

一位市场专家分析认为,尽管当前市场整体疲软,但以太坊(ETH)仍是比Solana(SOL)更好的投资选择。他指出,近期以太坊价格虽跌破关键支撑位且表现弱于大盘,而Solana过去一周也下跌超10%,但ETH的看涨逻辑超越了短期价格走势。 专家Emperor Osmo承认,以太坊网络手续费收入已大幅下降,而Solana的应用程序费用正以每月约9.5%的速度增长,两者年化费用差距已缩小至约900万美元。然而,他强调了以太坊的关键优势:其链上稳定币总价值高达约1618亿美元,占全网稳定币总值的50.7%。此外,全球最大资管公司贝莱德选择在以太坊上提交许可的ERC-20国债产品,显示出机构对其生态的青睐。 专家引用美国财政部长预测,指出稳定币市场规模到2030年可能达到3万亿美元。若以太坊能保持其稳定的市场份额,预计将有超过1.5万亿美元的价值锚定在其网络上。基于此,他设想了以太坊在捕获机构稳定币资产管理规模后的三种情景:牛市情况下,到2029年12月流通市值可能增长2400%;基准情况增长1150%;即使熊市情况也有400%的上涨空间。他认为,尽管当前价格反映了手续费增长放缓和市场结构疲软,但并未充分体现其由稳定币增长和长期网络价值支撑的潜力。

bitcoinist44 分鐘前

市场专家揭示为何以太坊是比Solana更好的投资选择

bitcoinist44 分鐘前

“ChatGPT以后可能要没了”

OpenAI在“Intelligence at Work”发布会上宣布,将在未来几周内把Codex正式并入ChatGPT应用,标志着其产品战略从“聊天”转向“执行”的关键一步。 此次合并的背景是Codex的快速增长:周活用户已突破500万,其中20%是非程序员的知识工作者,且企业营收贡献显著。OpenAI认为,未来的方向是构建“超级应用”,即用户通过ChatGPT发出指令,由Codex调用各种Agent(智能体)自动执行任务,实现从对话到全场景工作的闭环。为此,OpenAI还发布了三项Codex更新:覆盖六大岗位的Agent插件、可直接在原文上修改的Annotations功能,以及一键生成可交互网页的Sites功能。 文章指出,这次合并本质上是Codex路线对ChatGPT路线的升级。内部组织架构调整显示,Codex负责人已统领核心产品,而内部备忘录也强调建设“统一的agentic平台”。因此,ChatGPT将逐渐成为流量入口和品牌外壳,其内核将转变为以Codex为核心的智能体平台。 Codex的快速发展被认为是对手Anthropic旗下Claude Code竞争压力的结果。虽然Claude Code在代码质量上仍占优,但Codex凭借更实惠的价格和更少的token消耗(特别是搭配高效的GPT-5.5模型)实现了快速追赶。当前AI编程领域呈现双雄争霸,但竞争焦点已转向争夺Agent时代的核心入口。 最后,文章提出,合并后的应用虽然可能保留“ChatGPT”之名,但其本质已变——未来用户打开的或将是一个能直接完成任务的智能体,而“聊天”本身将不再是最核心的功能。这为中国AI玩家在Agent时代争夺本土化入口提供了新的机遇。

marsbit55 分鐘前

“ChatGPT以后可能要没了”

marsbit55 分鐘前

WWDC26终极前瞻:全新Siri是主菜,iOS 27修修补补又一年

苹果确认WWDC26将于北京时间6月9日凌晨1点举行。本届大会焦点在于,面对过去两年AI进展迟缓的局面,苹果能否通过全新Siri和系统更新,重新证明其生态在AI时代的竞争力。 根据爆料,iOS 27预计不会有颠覆性改动,重点在于细节优化和稳定性提升。主要变化可能包括:全新Siri将以更轻量的气泡形态从灵动岛弹出,并与系统搜索整合为一个统一入口;相机应用将增加“高级”控制选项;相册应用将增强AI编辑能力。系统亦可能为未来的折叠屏iPhone进行前期适配。iPadOS 27的重点则是继续完善多任务、文件管理等生产力基础。 macOS 27将成为Apple Intelligence的核心试验场,预计在性能优化、界面微调之外,重点展示AI如何深入复杂的工作流。系统将正式放弃对Intel芯片的支持。Safari浏览器将加入标签页自动分组功能。 毫无疑问,WWDC26的“主菜”将是基于谷歌Gemini技术驱动的全新Siri。其将与系统深度结合,调用本地个人数据,并可能推出独立App。苹果需借此机会阐明其AI战略:如何整合第三方模型与自身在隐私、端侧计算和生态协同上的优势,将AI能力无缝融入用户日常场景,而不仅是提供分散的功能点。 本届大会是对苹果AI能力的一次关键检验,它需要证明自己不仅能追赶潮流,更能重新定义AI在个人计算设备中的体验和价值。

marsbit1 小時前

WWDC26终极前瞻:全新Siri是主菜,iOS 27修修补补又一年

marsbit1 小時前

交易

現貨
合約

熱門文章

如何購買ONDO

歡迎來到HTX.com!在這裡,購買OndoFinance (ONDO)變得簡單而便捷。跟隨我們的逐步指南,放心開始您的加密貨幣之旅。第一步:創建您的HTX帳戶使用您的 Email、手機號碼在HTX註冊一個免費帳戶。體驗無憂的註冊過程並解鎖所有平台功能。立即註冊第二步:前往買幣頁面,選擇您的支付方式信用卡/金融卡購買:使用您的Visa或Mastercard即時購買OndoFinance (ONDO)。餘額購買:使用您HTX帳戶餘額中的資金進行無縫交易。第三方購買:探索諸如Google Pay或Apple Pay等流行支付方式以增加便利性。C2C購買:在HTX平台上直接與其他用戶交易。HTX 場外交易 (OTC) 購買:為大量交易者提供個性化服務和競爭性匯率。第三步:存儲您的OndoFinance (ONDO)購買OndoFinance (ONDO)後,將其存儲在您的HTX帳戶中。您也可以透過區塊鏈轉帳將其發送到其他地址或者用於交易其他加密貨幣。第四步:交易OndoFinance (ONDO)在HTX的現貨市場輕鬆交易OndoFinance (ONDO)。前往您的帳戶,選擇交易對,執行交易,並即時監控。HTX為初學者和經驗豐富的交易者提供了友好的用戶體驗。

542 人學過發佈於 2024.12.12更新於 2026.06.02

如何購買ONDO

相關討論

歡迎來到 HTX 社群。在這裡,您可以了解最新的平台發展動態並獲得專業的市場意見。 以下是用戶對 ONDO (ONDO)幣價的意見。

活动图片