Dogecoin: Breakout attempts fail, short sellers regain control – What’s next?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-01-19Last updated on 2026-01-19

Abstract

Dogecoin's attempt to break through the $0.15 resistance level on January 13th failed, leading to a continued price decline. This downward trend was further accelerated by Bitcoin's recent volatility. Market data shows the memecoin sector lost 6.66% of its market cap in 24 hours, with traders seeing significant long liquidations. The price has fallen below the key long-term support level of $0.129, indicating severe selling pressure. Analysis suggests seller dominance has persisted since October, with each price bounce being used for profit-taking. The overall sentiment remains bearish, with a potential short-term bounce to $0.14-$0.15 seen as a selling opportunity. A significant shift in momentum would require a reclaim of the $0.15 level and a resurgence in Bitcoin's price to improve capital flows into DOGE.

On the 13th of January, Dogecoin [DOGE] bulls forced a short-term rally to $0.15.

On that day alone, the leading memecoin had rallied by 8.8%, challenging the local supply zone where a breakout attempt failed in the first week of the month.

The second try was a failure too, and DOGE prices have been falling since then. Bitcoin’s [BTC] wobble in the early hours of Monday sent Dogecoin prices further south.

CoinMarketCap data showed that the past 24 hours saw the memecoin sector shed 6.66% of its total market cap. Traders faced $35.42 million in liquidations in the past 24 hours, with $33.69 million being long positions.

Dogecoin slips below key long-term support

The $0.150 supply zone was just below the key swing high from November at $0.156. Breaching it would have flipped the swing structure bullishly, but it was not to be.

Though the CMF was above +0.05 at the time of writing, the OBV signaled the seller dominance since October has not let up. Moreover, the $0.129 low from April 2025 was ceded to bears yet again.

It showed the severe selling pressure on Dogecoin. Each bounce is a profit-taking opportunity for underwater investors.

Arguing the bullish DOGE case

This was a tough argument to make. In 2025, Dogecoin shed 62.8%, measured from the year’s open to its close.

A recent AMBCrypto report highlighted the lack of conviction from smart money, evidenced by the 500 million DOGE deposit to Binance.

Traders’ call to action – Sell a bounce

There were sizeable imbalances overhead on the hourly chart. The one at $0.137 coincided with the $0.136-$0.140 zone, where the memecoin consolidated over the past few days before plummeting lower.

Traders can use a retest of $0.140 to go short if they see a lower timeframe trend shift to act as an early signal of a bearish reversal. Alternatively, the $0.150 was another supply zone to sell at.

Traders looking to buy would want a reclaim of $0.150 to signal strength from the bullish side.


Final Thoughts

  • The Dogecoin price prediction was bearish for the rest of the month. A price bounce toward $0.14-$0.15 is possible before another move lower.
  • A Bitcoin resurgence is necessary to shift sentiment and encourage capital flows to DOGE, which have been weak after the first week of January.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

Related Questions

QWhat was the key resistance level that Dogecoin failed to break out of in early January?

AThe key resistance level was the $0.150 supply zone, which was just below the key swing high from November at $0.156.

QWhat does the data on liquidations in the past 24 hours indicate about market sentiment?

AThe data indicates a bearish sentiment, as $35.42 million in liquidations occurred, with the vast majority ($33.69 million) being long positions.

QAccording to the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator, what has been the dominant market force since October?

AThe OBV indicator signaled that seller dominance has been the dominant market force since October and has not let up.

QWhat is suggested as a potential trading strategy for a price bounce towards $0.14-$0.15?

AThe suggested strategy is to sell into a bounce, using a retest of the $0.140 or $0.150 supply zones as an opportunity to go short.

QWhat event does the article state is necessary to shift sentiment and encourage capital flows back into Dogecoin?

AA Bitcoin resurgence is stated as necessary to shift sentiment and encourage capital flows back into Dogecoin.

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